TASS: Russia – Russia nuclear submarine to test-launch Bulava missile on Nov 30 — military source

The Alexander Nevsky strategic nuclear-powered submarine will make a single test-launch of the Bulava intercontinental ballistic missile on Sunday, November 30, a source in the Northern Fleet headquarters told TASS on Thursday.

“According to updated reports, the Alexander Nevsky is due to test-launch Bulava in a time interval between 12.00 and 3pm Moscow time (9am-12.00 GMT) on November 30. The test-launch will be made from the Barents Sea at the Kura firing range on the Kamchatka Peninsula from a submerged position,” the military source said.

TASS: Russia – Russia nuclear submarine to test-launch Bulava missile on Nov 30 — military source

Am I the only alarmed by all these Russian missile tests?

China-US Relations: The Return of Mao’s Noose | The Diplomat

By pivoting to Asia, Washington is placing a bet that Beijing desperately wants to avoid a disastrous conflict as much as it does, and that the status quo in the region will endure. By tightening the noose, Beijing is trying to call its bluff. As Sun Tzu might observe, both sides are trying to win without fighting.

For now, that may be a viable strategy. But even if China continues its steady growth, avoids threatening its neighbors, and generally demonstrates that it is a responsible stakeholder in the international system, it is inconceivable that it would allow another superpower to have the best real estate in its own neighborhood. At some point, the U.S. and China’s national visions will collide. When that happens, Washington and Beijing will both have to make a monumental decision about the future of East Asia, and the rest of the world.

China-US Relations: The Return of Mao’s Noose | The Diplomat

10 Signs That Russia Is Preparing To Fight (And Win) A Nuclear War With The United States

#3 Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu says that Russian nuclear bombers will now conduct regular patrols “in the western Atlantic and eastern Pacific, as well as the Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico“.

#4 Russia is constructing an anti-ballistic missile system which will supposedly be superior to anything that the U.S. currently has

#7 Russian media outlets are reporting that 60 percent of all Russian nuclear missiles will have radar-evading capability by 2016

#8 For the first time ever, Russia has more strategic nuclear warheads deployed than the United States does

#9 Russia has a massive advantage over the United States and NATO when it comes to tactical nuclear weapons

Meanwhile, the Chinese have been investing heavily in this kind of technology as well.

10 Signs That Russia Is Preparing To Fight (And Win) A Nuclear War With The United States

Another Look At The Military Base China Is Building On A Disputed Reef – Business Insider

With construction still underway, Andrew E. Erickson, Associate Professor at the US Naval War College, and Austin Strange of Harvard University wrote in July that the facility could eventually be twice as big as the US base at Diego Garcia, a British territory in the Indian Ocean. But according to their analysis the bigger concern to China’s neighbors is that “it could become a command-and-control center for the Chinese navy and might anchor a Chinese Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) similar to the one it announced over the East China Sea in 2013.”

An ADIZ is an area in which a country declares the need to control air traffic for security reasons although it lies outside of its usual airspace.

The declaration of an ADIZ in the East China Sea put the world on tenterhooks in November 2013 as China and Japan entered into a contest of brinkmanship, sending naval vessels and aircraft into the disputed zone and locking weapons systems onto one another.

Another Look At The Military Base China Is Building On A Disputed Reef – Business Insider

US Collision Course With Turkey – Business Insider

“The IS crisis has put Turkey and the US on a collision course,” the report says. “Turkey refuses to allow the coalition to launch military strikes from its soil. Its military also merely looked on while IS besieged the Kurdish town of Kobani, just across its border. Turkey negotiated directly with IS in the summer of 2013 to release 49 Turks held by the terrorist group. In return, Ankara reportedly secured the release of 180 IS fighters, many of whom returned to the battlefield. 

“Meanwhile, the border continues to serve as a transit point for the illegal sale of oil, the transfer of weapons, and the flow of foreign fighters. Inside Turkey, IS has also established cells for recruiting militants and other logistical operations. All of this has raised questions about Turkey’s value as an American ally, and its place in the NATO alliance.”

US Collision Course With Turkey – Business Insider

America Musn’t Neglect Its Nukes – NYTimes.com

Earlier this month the Pentagon released a devastating assessment of its own management of the nation’s nuclear arsenal. The report, authored by two widely respected former four-star officers, judged that America’s nuclear weapons complex — particularly the personnel who operate and maintain it — is near its breaking point, worn down by years of neglect, lack of funding and unnecessarily invasive and inquisitorial screening of employees. This malaise has been exacerbated by bouts of apathy and even hostility on the part of prominent voices in and out of government: The prevalent attitude is that there are more important national security priorities and, among some, that nukes are useless and should be left to rust.

The situation is considerably worse than we thought — even worse than in 2007 when it was revealed that the Air Force had inadvertently transported six live nuclear weapons from North Dakota to Louisiana. Last week a senior Pentagon official claimed in a background briefing that unless immediate and substantial action is taken to modernize antiquated infrastructure, prioritize the issue, and relieve suffocating bureaucratic pressure, the nation’s nuclear complex risks coming apart at the seams.

America Musn’t Neglect Its Nukes – NYTimes.com

Hamas Threatens ‘Holy War’ Over Jewish State Law – Middle East – News – Arutz Sheva

Hamas has an opinion on the ‘Jewish State Law‘ making rounds in the Knesset, Channel 2 reports Tuesday – claiming that the law could provoke a “holy war.” 

“The law sounds an alarm regarding Israel’s ambitions in the region, and threatens to bring about a religious war,” Hamas representatives in Gaza threatened Sunday. 

“The Israeli occupation is trying to protect Zionist myths and take control of Arab-populated areas, steal resources and humiliate [Palestinians],” it claimed. 

Hamas also appealed the international community to crack down on Israel for considering the law, which is claimed is “racist.” 

“The movement will continue to act against the Israeli occupation to overthrow the imperialist enterprise”, stressed the organization’s leaders.

Hamas Threatens ‘Holy War’ Over Jewish State Law – Middle East – News – Arutz Sheva

Destroy Hamas in Gaza now, urges the ‘Green Prince’ | The Times of Israel

“Don’t wait for the summer for Hamas to surprise you again,” he urged. “Hit them this winter when they’re not ready. If you can solve the problem of Hamas in Gaza, that will pave the way forward regarding the Palestinians in the West Bank and Abu Mazen (Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas), who is currently replicating methods that remind me of the days of the Second Intifada and Yasser Arafat.

“The people throwing stones and petrol bombs in Jerusalem, and carrying out terrorist attacks, think that Israel is weak. It’s precisely now that Israel needs to show its strength,” he insisted, “while also acting responsibly and avoiding harm to civilians because that serves Hamas.”

Destroy Hamas in Gaza now, urges the ‘Green Prince’ | The Times of Israel

The Arabs think Israel is weak, but isn’t it true? Israel has a weak will even if it has a strong military. In the end Israel is weak. Of course Israel can change that perception but will it?

I think that eventually the Arabs will push too far and Israel will finally act. It will get strong. But until then, weak. Perhaps when Israel has no other option and its back is against the wall, it will finally get strong.

New NATO Chief Jens Stoltenberg: “But we do not live in peaceful times”

NATO’s Rapid Response Strategy to Counter Russia Begins to Take Shape

‘In peaceful times, he added, cutting defense spending made sense. “But we do not live in peaceful times,” he said.’ “He” refers to new NATO chief Jens Stoltenberg.

Stoltenberg’s comments, combined with new details about NATO’s planned rapid-response force and Ukraine’s potential interest in NATO membership, are likely to do little to diffuse tensions between Russia and NATO. In a wide-ranging interview published by Russian state-controlled media Sunday, Putin accused the alliance of undermining Russia’s strength.

“As soon as we rise, some other nations immediately feel the urge to push Russia aside, to put it ‘where it belongs,’ to slow it down,” he told Russia’s Tass news agency.

NATO’s Rapid Response Strategy to Counter Russia Begins to Take Shape

“But we do not live in peaceful times”

Relatively peaceful times have existed for almost 70 years, but now we hear that things have changed. Now the times are not peaceful. That is going to come as an absolute shock to a lot of people. But they won’t hear it. I mean they won’t acknowledge it. It is as if it were never said.

Now we have reached a world transition point in going from peaceful times to times of peril. This is a sign of things to come.

“Putin accused the alliance of undermining Russia’s strength.”

‘”As soon as we rise, some other nations immediately feel the urge to push Russia aside, to put it ‘where it belongs,’ to slow it down,” he told Russia’s Tass news agency.’

Notice how Putin is complaining against the West, primarily the US. Japan did the same thing before World War II. And Japan built up its military to defend against the US. China also appears to be following the path of Imperial Japan: China’s President Pushes Back Against Western Culture.

China territorial disputes: a warning in the history of Imperial Japan – CSMonitor.com

The emerging Japan of the 1920s and ’30s, like today’s China, was steeped in historic resentment of the West’s forcible imposition of commercial and cultural influence. Even as Western interaction hugely benefited Japan’s economy then and China’s now, both countries set about building military capabilities commensurate with their new economic prowess.

Naked military power was seen by Imperial Japan, as it is by the Communist Party in China, as necessary to defend and expand industrial achievements and economic influence against hostile Western nations, most notably the United States.

China territorial disputes: a warning in the history of Imperial Japan – CSMonitor.com

Scientists stunned to find Antarctica sea ice much thicker than thought | Science Recorder

Findings of thicker sea ice near Antarctica are causing scientists to scratch their heads.

The ice paradox has already been a puzzling one for researchers who believe global warming risks melting sea ice and causing water levels to rise worldwide. Sea ice has been growing each year, bucking conventional wisdom, but now there’s even more confusing results: an underwater robot has found that sea ice is also much thicker than previously though, according to Discovery News.

Climate models suggests that sea ice should actually be shrinking due to a rise in global temperatures, largely believed to be due to humanity’s output of carbon dioxide particularly in the last century.

However, satellites observations show that the ice is actually expanding, setting new records the last three years. Antarctica’s land-based ice sheet, meanwhile, is melting.

Climate scientists hope to use measurements of sea ice thickness to help explain why the sea ice is growing. They want to know if the thickening is happening underwater as well.

Scientists stunned to find Antarctica sea ice much thicker than thought | Science Recorder

The climate models got it wrong again. I don’t know whether to laugh or cry.

Monitoring emerging risks.