HAGEL: The World Is ‘Damn Dangerous’ And Our Army Is Not Ready

“We live in this imperfect, dynamic, changing, threatening, dangerous, interconnected world that we have never seen before, that we have never seen anything like this before,” Hagel said.

“The world is dangerous. It is damn dangerous,” Hagel said.

Earlier on, Hagel conceded to an array of US foreign policy failures read aloud by Rose from the op-ed pages of The New York Times, adding they came in response to an unprecedented and uniquely volatile global environment.

“We live in this imperfect, dynamic, changing, threatening, dangerous, interconnected world that we have never seen before, that we have never seen anything like this before,” Hagel said. “And so policies, yes, are predicated on historical knowledge and cultural awareness and all that goes into that. Have we made mistakes over a series of many years? Yeah, I think we have. I think anybody would agree to that. But that’s not the issue. That’s not the responsibility I have now or the president has or John Kerry. Our responsibilities now are to find ways that we can make it better, find strategies and policies that work within a world of uncontrollables.”

HAGEL: The World Is ‘Damn Dangerous’ And Our Army Is Not Ready – Business Insider

“We live in this imperfect, dynamic, changing, threatening, dangerous, interconnected world that we have never seen before, that we have never seen anything like this before,” Hagel said.

So we’ve never seen anything like the current world before, says Hagel.

I’ve talked about this in past but it’s been awhile. We are currently stuck in the middle of a phase change – like going from water to ice. In the current state things won’t work like they did in the past. Things are very sensitive. Things that worked in the past now don’t seem to work all that well. These are signs of an impending crisis which I talk about here and the Fourth Turning discusses as well. The Fourth Turning points out that the US reaches a big crisis every 80 to 100 years since the beginning of the last crisis period due to demographics. When the people who experienced the last crisis are almost all gone, then the US becomes susceptible all over again. The last crisis period ran from 1925 to 1945 and the new one goes from 2005 to 2025.

Report: China nuclear forces significantly expanding | Washington Free Beacon

China’s nuclear forces are expanding and details about the nation’s strategic weapons programs remain hidden by Beijing’s secrecy, according to the annual report of the congressional U.S. China Economic and Security Review Commission.

New missiles, missile submarines and multiple-warhead systems will be deployed in the coming years, the report said.

“Despite the uncertainty surrounding China’s stockpiles of nuclear missiles and nuclear warheads, it is clear China’s nuclear forces over the next three to five years will expand considerably and become more lethal and survivable with the fielding of additional road-mobile nuclear missiles; as many as five JIN SSBNs, each of which can carry 12 JL–2 submarine-launched ballistic missiles; and intercontinental ballistic missiles armed with multiple independently targetable reentry vehicles (MIRVs),” the report said.

Report: China nuclear forces significantly expanding | Washington Free Beacon

China and Russia band together to counter US | TODAYonline

China and Russia have vowed to strengthen bilateral military cooperation and hold joint naval exercises to counter United States influence in the Asia-Pacific region as a growing chorus of voices warns of a looming “new Cold War”.

During a visit to Beijing where he met his Chinese counterpart and Premier Li Keqiang, Russian Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu said the two sides “expressed our concern with the US attempts to reinforce its military political influence in the Asia-Pacific region”, Chinese and Russian state media reported.

“Our cooperation in the military spheres has great potential and the Russian side is ready to develop it across the broadest possible spectrum of areas,” Mr Shoigu added. “We see the formation of a collective regional security system as the primary objective of our joint efforts.”

China and Russia band together to counter US | TODAYonline

Foreign Governments Have Hacked U.S. Grid, NSA Head Says – Bloomberg

Several foreign governments have hacked into U.S. energy, water and fuel distribution systems and might damage essential services, the top national security official said.

Those intrusions have left the U.S. vulnerable to a cyber-attack that will cause significant loss of life or physical damage one day, National Security Agency Director Admiral Michael Rogers told the House intelligence committee at a hearing in Washington today. Rogers said such an attack will occur during his tenure.

“This is not theoretical,” Rogers said. Hacking attacks on U.S. networks are “literally costing us hundreds of billions of dollars” and will have “truly significant, almost catastrophic, failures if we don’t take action.”

Foreign Governments Have Hacked U.S. Grid, NSA Head Says – Bloomberg

An academic investigation into the networks that control Russia

The overall thesis of Ms Dawisha’s book is that Mr Putin’s advance to power was not accidental but part of a pre-meditated plan. Furthermore, the system that has emerged in Russia was created by a group of men who followed Mr Putin. “The group did not get lost on the path to democracy,” she writes. “They never took that path.” But hindsight can be misleading. Ms Dawisha imposes her view of today’s Russia on to the time when Mr Putin came to power. In fact, Russia’s descent into the corporatist, nationalist state that it has now become was by no means predetermined.

In a pluralistic state, the scandalous, ugly stories about Mr Putin and his associates would bring down the government. In Russia they have had little effect. Part of the reason lies in the Kremlin’s control of television, the main source of information for most Russians. The vast increase in incomes, particularly in large cities, has also made people more tolerant of corruption. It was not just Mr Putin’s cronies who benefited from the rising oil prices. So did those who voted for him. Russia’s aggression in Ukraine and the propaganda that accompanied it struck a chord with people keen for an imperial resurgence. But as the economy slows down and real incomes start to fall, the focus may shift back to the issue that sparked the protest in 2011. If so, the stories that Ms Dawisha tells may start to resonate more loudly.

Russia: Band of brothers | The Economist

Extensive Network of Secret Chinese Military Units Attack US on Daily Basis – The Epoch Times

Casey Fleming, CEO of BlackOps Partners Corporation, which does counterintelligence and protection of trade secrets for Fortune 500 companies, spoke about the dangers posed by the army of spies at work against the United States under the direction of the GSD.

“It is clearly America’s biggest threat,” he said.

“It’s a war of the technology age, an economic war, a war where bombs are not dropped and guns are not fired, but it’s a war we’re squarely in,” he said.

Extensive Network of Secret Chinese Military Units Attack US on Daily Basis – The Epoch Times (Page 1)

Does Russia Think Their New Nuclear Weapons Could Win World War III?

The recent START 3 treaty was overwhelmingly favorable to Russia, and they have taken advantage of it with gusto.

Russia has developed long-range cruise missiles of a new generation that will soon be deployed on submarines of the Black Sea Fleet and missile ships of the Caspian Flotilla.

The U.S. State Department admitted as much in a report published at the beginning of September, stating that Russia has passed us in nuclear weapons capability for the first time in 40 years.

In the end, however, our nuclear force crews, and the American public, see the threat of full-scale nuclear war as “simply nonexistent.”

Not so in Russia. They’re ready. And what would we do if they used these tactical nukes against one of its neighbors? Would we start World War III? Would our weapons actually work?

This same question never seems to go away.

Does Russia Think Their New Nuclear Weapons Could Win World War III?

US Report: China’s Nukes Getting Bigger and Better | Defense News | defensenews.com

“However, the report said some analysts assess China may be obscuring a much larger nuclear effort and have much larger stockpiles.”

The report said China’s growing nuclear warfare capabilities are ominous. Over the next five years, China’s nuclear force will rapidly expand and modernize, providing China with an extensive range of military and foreign policy options and “potentially weakening U.S. extended deterrence, particularly with respect to Japan.’

Over the next three- to five years, China’s nuclear program will also become more lethal and survivable with the fielding of additional road-mobile nuclear missiles; five nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarines, each of which can carry 12 sea-launched intercontinental-range ballistic missiles (ICBM); and ICBMs armed with multiple independently targetable re-entry vehicles (MIRV).

In 2013 the Pentagon reported that China’s nuclear arsenal consisted of only 50- to 75 ICBMs, with the number of ICBMs capable of reaching the United States could expand to more than 100 within the next 15 years. However, the report said some analysts assess China may be obscuring a much larger nuclear effort and have much larger stockpiles.

US Report: China’s Nukes Getting Bigger and Better | Defense News | defensenews.com

Russia is closer to crisis than the West or Vladimir Putin realise

In fact, a crisis could happen a lot sooner. Russia’s defences are weaker than they first appear and they could be tested by any one of a succession of possibilities—another dip in the oil price, a bungled debt rescheduling by Russian firms, further Western sanctions. When economies are on an unsustainable course, international finance often acts as a fast-forward button, pushing countries over the edge more quickly than politicians or investors expect.

Russia’s biggest recent economic crisis, in 1998, led to a government default. This time a string of bank failures, corporate defaults and a deep recession look likelier. Even so the pain from these could spread abroad quickly, both to countries that rely on Russian trade (exports to Russia account for fully 5% of GDP in the Baltics and Belarus) and through financial ripple effects. Banks in both Austria and Sweden are exposed. And if firms in one badly run commodity-driven country start to default on their dollar debts, then investors will worry about others—such as Brazil.

Russia: A wounded economy | The Economist

Kasparov likens Putin to Hitler, urges West to act – The Washington Post

Russian chess master and political activist Garry Kasparov compared President Vladimir Putin’s “one-man dictatorship” to the rule of Adolf Hitler on Thursday, warning that if the West fails to stop him now the price to do so could rise.

Kasparov also argued that Western leaders should not try to appease Putin in a search for strategic ground with him on issues such as Iran’s nuclear program and the fighting in Syria and Iraq, because Putin has no real interest in compromise and instead needs instability to try to justify staying in power.

“Pretending that Putin has a certain strategic interest that can be shared, it’s wrong. I don’t see any real strategic issue where his interest could be common with Europe,” Kasparov said at the Warsaw Security Forum.

Kasparov likens Putin to Hitler, urges West to act – The Washington Post

Given that Putin’s regime is equivalent to the mafia, allowing him to acquire a sphere of influence is very dangerous. He will work even harder to undermine the West as he is already doing. However, trying to stop him could put the US at risk of nuclear attack.

I don’t see a good outcome here. If we do nothing then Russia, China and Iran will undermine the West and eventually get into a war with the US. If we try to stop any of them then there is a great risk of getting into a great-power war.

I am not going to talk about what the US should do right now because it is a waste of time. Nothing of consequence will get done by the Obama adminstration.

What you should do is get ready for a preemtpive nuclear attack on the US in the middle of the night while you are sleeping with no warning. Then you need a plan to leave the US at some point.

If you don’t believe there is going to be a nuclear war then you had better start doing some research on this website. The signs are present that the US is in danger of collapse via war.

What is my best estimate for war?

Based on history, big wars have occurred 7 to 10 years after a big financial collapse. That puts 2015 to 2018 at risk. There is no guarantee that a war will occur during those years but that’s my best estimate right now. If there is some kind of Sarajevo moment in 2015 then the spring of 2016 would put the US at risk. We will just have to see what happens during 2015.

Monitoring emerging risks.