1913 Intel

Monitoring Strategic and Geopolitical Developments

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U.S. Options in Taiwan War Scenarios

Posted by Matt in August 31st, 2006 | no comment 
Published in Asia, China

Link to this article.
Four scenarios for China-U.S. conflict:
Scenario A-
A low-intensity conflict scenario in which China’s special warfare forces invade into Taiwan. The special forces, whose number is unaccounted for, albeit some estimates at around 100 to 1,000, sneak into Taiwan in small boats, submarines and helicopters with the aid of its military intelligence group acting [...]

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HOW SOON FOR THE IRANIAN NUCLEAR BOMB?

Posted by Matt in August 31st, 2006 | no comment 
Published in Iran, Middle East

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Let’s spend just a few moments thinking of what happens when Iran gets the bomb. There are several scenarios. A nuclear strike on Israel is one, of course. Would the West retaliate? Perhaps. Remember, though … Ahmadinejad and his Islamic fascist pals don’t really care how [...]

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WILL THE WEST DEFEND ITSELF?

Posted by Matt in August 31st, 2006 | no comment 
Published in War

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Does the United States have the power to eliminate terrorists and the states that support them? In terms of capacity, as opposed to will, the answer is a clear yes.
Think about it. Currently, the U.S. has an arsenal of 18 Ohio class submarines. Just one submarine is loaded with 24 Trident nuclear [...]

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Should the US Nuke Iran and Syria?

Posted by Matt in August 31st, 2006 | no comment 
Published in Iran, Middle East

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In a recent article, “Will the U.S. Defend Itself?”, economist Walter Williams seems to make a case for nuclear war on Syria and Iran. His case cries out for a response. Here’s mine.
I preface by noting that Williams and I both earned our Ph.D.s in economics at UCLA and that he is [...]

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Korea-U.S. ties: Deterioration by default?

Posted by Matt in August 31st, 2006 | no comment 
Published in Asia, Koreas

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In July, a group of foreign diplomats and business executives gathered for a dinner in Seoul. Talk around the table quickly focused on North Korea’s missile launches. The United States and its allies were alarmed by the tests, and frustrated by South Korea’s moderate response. One senior diplomat noted that “Kim Jong-il [...]

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U.S. Senator Lumps Russia In with Iran and Venezuela

Posted by Matt in August 31st, 2006 | no comment 
Published in Russia

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On Tuesday, head of the U.S. Senate Committee on International Affairs Richard Lugar accused Moscow of abusing its energy capacity and using its energy resources for political ends. He placed Russia in the same category as such countries as Iran and Venezuela, which use energy blackmail as an instrument of foreign policy. [...]

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The Budding Russia-Japan Relationship

Posted by Matt in August 31st, 2006 | no comment 
Published in Asia, Russia

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Japan finds itself at a crossroads, facing important economic, energy and security issues that are forcing Tokyo to revise its foreign policy, while at the same time maintaining friendly relations with the West and traditional ally the U.S. One example of this change is Japan’s relationship with long-time military adversary Russia.

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N. Korea Transships Missiles Via Russia

Posted by Matt in August 31st, 2006 | no comment 
Published in Koreas, Missiles

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Instead of sending unconventional weapons by sea as in the past, North Korea now is shipping missiles and missile components on planes that fly via Russia, landing at Russian airports for refueling and possible transshipment to Mideast clients.
The missiles are sent in kits from which recipients, with North Korean technical expertise, put [...]

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Facing the Ugliest Truth: Islamic Nazism

Posted by Matt in August 31st, 2006 | no comment 
Published in general

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Last week President Bush mentioned “Islamo-Fascism” in a speech, and was instantly lauded in the conservative press for calling it what it is, and instantly lambasted by the Council on American Islamic Relations (CAIR, rhymes with “care”) and other Islamic advertising agencies for dissing Arabs and Islam. As far as I [...]

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Is the Middle East Heading for Peace or War?

Posted by Matt in August 31st, 2006 | no comment 
Published in Middle East, War

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Although there are calls for a ‘global and durable’ peace settlement between Israel and Palestine — the core cause of violence in the Middle East — until Israel and the United States commit to negotiation and compromise, the region is headed for more conflict, says Patrick Seale.

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Why Iran Wants War

Posted by Matt in August 31st, 2006 | no comment 
Published in Iran, War

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“The Iranian nation will wipe the strain of regret on the foreheads of those who want to bring about injustice”, President Ahmadinejad scorned at a recent rally in the province of Zanjan . Iran “will cut off the hands of any aggressor”, any attack would be met with a response that is [...]

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Japan firmly on a conservative path

Posted by Matt in August 31st, 2006 | no comment 
Published in Asia

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TOKYO - Chief Cabinet Secretary Shinzo Abe, now widely believed to be a shoo-in to succeed Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi in September, has made it clear, if ever there was any doubt, that he will pursue an ultra-conservative, nationalistic and pro-US political and foreign-policy agenda.

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U.S. military sees Iran’s nuke bomb 5 years away

Posted by Matt in August 31st, 2006 | no comment 
Published in Iran, Middle East

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The U.S. military is operating under the assumption that Iran is five to eight years away from being able to build its first nuclear weapon, a time span that explains a general lack of urgency within the Bush administration to use air strikes to disable Tehran’s atomic program.
Defense [...]

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Taming the Next Set of Strategic Weapons Threats

Posted by Matt in August 30th, 2006 | no comment 
Published in general

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Long discounted by arms control critics, traditional nonproliferation efforts now are undergoing urgent review and reconsideration even by their supporters. Why? In large part, because the current crop of nonproliferation understandings are ill-suited to check the spread of emerging long-range missile, biological, and nuclear technologies.
Attempts to develop a legally binding inspections protocol [...]

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Countries Capable of Building Nuclear Weapons by 2015

Posted by Matt in August 30th, 2006 | 1 comment 
Published in Nuclear

This list is an estimate of the countries that will be capable of building nuclear weapons by 2015. Most of these countries probably will not actually build nuclear weapons by 2015, but they will be in position to rapidly build (within a year or two) these weapons if the need arises. This build-up will certainly [...]

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Report Paints Gloomy Future for Pakistan

Posted by Matt in August 30th, 2006 | no comment 
Published in general

Feb., 2005
U.S. intelligence officials have said Pakistan will be a failed state by 2015, the Times of India reported Sunday.
An assessment report compiled by the CIA and other U.S. intelligence agencies forecasts a Yugoslavia-like fate for Pakistan, thanks to civil war, Talibanization and a struggle for control of nuclear weapons.
Pakistan will not recover easily from [...]

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Hezbollah building bunkers near Israeli border

Posted by Matt in August 30th, 2006 | no comment 
Published in Israel, Middle East

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JERUSALEM – Hezbollah, with the help of Iran, has started building underground war bunkers in Palestinian camps in south Lebanon just a few miles from the Israeli border, according to senior Lebanese officials.
During its 34-day confrontation with Hezbollah in Lebanon, Israel destroyed scores of complex Hezbollah bunkers that snaked along the Lebanese [...]

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Iran’s nuclear progress to uranium enrichment

Posted by Matt in August 30th, 2006 | no comment 
Published in Iran, Middle East

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LONDON, August 30 (IranMania) - In a nuclear programme that began before the Islamic revolution, Iran has succeeded in enriching uranium to levels required to produce atomic fuel but has still yet to complete its first reactor, AFP reported.

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The War Comes to Us

Posted by Matt in August 30th, 2006 | no comment 
Published in Uncategorized

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July, 2006
If, in the face of repeated threats and provocation by an aggressive dictatorship, you refuse to go to war, the war will eventually come to you.
That’s the meaning of Iran’s de facto declaration of war against Israel–which is, ultimately, a new war Iran is waging against the US. Iran is so [...]

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Modern-Day China Like Nazi Germany, Says Australian MP

Posted by Matt in August 30th, 2006 | no comment 
Published in Asia, China

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An Australian MP has drawn parallels between Nazi Germany and the Chinese Communist regime following the release of an independent report into the killing of Falun Gong practitioners for their bodily organs.

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One-third of China bathed in acid rain

Posted by Matt in August 30th, 2006 | no comment 
Published in Asia, China

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One-third of China’s vast landmass is suffering from acid rain caused by rapid industrial growth and the failure of local governments to enforce environmental standards for fear of hurting business, a new report shows.
China’s factories last year spewed out 25.5 million tons of sulfur dioxide - the chemical that causes acid rain [...]

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