1913 Intel

International Conflict, Western World Threats and Geopolitical Intelligence

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North Korea: 50 nuclear weapons per year believed possible

Posted by Matt in February 16th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Koreas, Nuclear

In June, ISIS said North Korea might possess nuclear weapons small enough to be loaded onto Rodong ballistic missiles, whose range can reach any part of Japan.
In Yongbyon, a 50,000-kilowatt graphite-moderated reactor is scheduled for construction. However, work on the reactor, whose power output is 10 times greater than the current experimental reactor, has been [...]

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Iran’s Oil Problems

Posted by Matt in February 16th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Economy, Iran, Oil

Iran’s energy sector is slowly collapsing under the weight of subsidized gas prices and poor development of its aging oil fields, according to a number of Western economists. Despite boasting the world’s second-largest oil reserves after Saudi Arabia, Iran has resorted to rationing its gasoline. As global energy prices slide downward, some analysts predict Iran’s [...]

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Analysis of the North Korean Nuclear Agreement

Posted by Matt in February 16th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Koreas, Nuclear

Flaws
* This agreement does not immediately address North Korea’s suspected highly enriched uranium (HEU) program—only its plutonium. North Korea has reportedly made a verbal promise addressing HEU, but it was not included in the text.
* This agreement does not require North Korea to turn [...]

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Russian Policies and Western Choices: Energy Dependence Versus Energy Security

Posted by Matt in February 16th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Energy, Europe, Russia, West

Overview:
On February 13, The Jamestown Foundation hosted an event featuring Vladimir Socor, a Senior Fellow at The Jamestown Foundation, and Ambassador Keith Smith, a Senior Associate in the Europe Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Entitled “Russian Policies and Western Choices: Energy Dependence Versus Energy Security,” the discussion focused on three main [...]

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2 are rivals to succeed Putin

Posted by Matt in February 16th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Russia

MOSCOW - President Vladimir Putin promoted his hawkish defense minister to a top government post yesterday, a move that puts Putin’s two heirs apparent on equal footing before next year’s election to replace the popular leader.
Both Sergei Ivanov and the more liberal Dmitry Medvedev have received lavish coverage in the Russian media and are seen [...]

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Lovelorn - European Anti-Americanism

Posted by Matt in February 16th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Anti-Americanism, Europe

For the most part, anti-Americanism has become ultra-respectable. More than at any time I can remember, anti-Americanism is now a general assumption in Europe, a permanent way of seeing the world. You can say anything you wish about America in a European capital and never have to explain yourself or bother with annoying details, because, [...]

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India to start work on a reusable hypersonic missile

Posted by Matt in February 16th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in India, Missiles

Visakhapatnam: India is now all set to start work on a hypersonic reusable missile, which will have the ability to cruise to a target at Mach 4 speeds, deliver its warhead and return to base. This fact was revealed by Dr. A. Sivathanu Pillai, CEO & MD, BrahMos Aerospace.
“We are studying the project and the [...]

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Gulf States Plan Weapons Buying Binge

Posted by Matt in February 16th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Middle East, Military

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates — Deep fears about the war in Iraq and growing tension between the United States and Iran are driving the wealthy oil states of the Persian Gulf to go on shopping sprees for helicopters, ships and tanks, officials say.
Some 900 weapons makers and security firms from around the world, including [...]

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Russia to face gas shortages, aide says

Posted by Matt in February 16th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Energy, Russia

Analysts have long suspected that Russia is facing massive gas shortages, but Russian officials have been denying it. This is the first time that the top official has confirmed the looming shortages.
The development explains why Russia in anticipation of its own shortages has been seeking to stop selling gas at below market prices to Ukraine [...]

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Burma: China and Russia Continue to Provide Political Cover

Posted by Matt in February 16th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Asia, China, Russia

U Tin Oo, a former Army Chief of Staff who was purged in the late 1970s and helped form the NLD, was arrested on trumped-up charges of disturbing public order on May 30, 2003, after pro-government militias attacked the convoy carrying him and other opposition leaders near Depayin in upper Burma. An unknown number of [...]

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Strategic Interests Pull Japan and India Together

Posted by Matt in February 16th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in India, Japan

In recent years, Japan and India have come out of their self-imposed shells and constraints of history to emerge as increasingly active players on the international stage. Nonetheless, further progress is required if these states are to reach their full potential in the foreign policy spheres. Japan would have to escape the shackles of its [...]

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Russia Warms Up to Brazil and Latin America

Posted by Matt in February 16th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Americas, Brazil, Russia

In the past several years, however, and with a burst of new-found visibility, Moscow has been gradually restoring itself as a major regional presence throughout the western hemisphere. It is now on the verge of fully reviving its stake in the region’s political and commercial agendas, buying and selling a broad range of commodities and [...]

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Vladimir Putin: The Godfather

Posted by Matt in February 16th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Russia

Then, at the end of 1999, Putin took over. Since then he has ruthlessly reasserted Kremlin control over the energy sector and the media. The economy has bounced back, with growth averaging 6.8% and inflation coming down into single digits. Putin’s most impressive achievement, however, has been to restore Russia’s global clout. While his predecessor [...]

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Platts Survey: World Nuclear Generation Sets Record In 2006

Posted by Matt in February 16th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Energy, Nuclear

WASHINGTON, Feb. 15 /PRNewswire/ — The world’s nuclear operators have set a record for total power generation in 2006, according to preliminary data just released by Nucleonics Week, a publication of Platts, the world’s leading energy information provider and top supplier of benchmark spot energy prices.
Led by notably improved output in Canada, Japan and Russia [...]

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Target Iranian forces

Posted by Matt in February 16th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Iran

The question of the day is how to avoid military confrontation with Iran while confronting the Islamic Republic over its nuclear program, its support for terrorist groups and its involvement in improvised explosive device (IED) networks in Iraq.
But while Washington has enjoyed some success reaching out to the public sector — several banks have [...]

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Why Russia Fears Ballistic Missile Defense

Posted by Matt in February 16th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Missiles, Russia

First, Barabanov expressed skepticism that the Iranian threat is the real reason the new BMD system is going to be deployed with frontline radar bases in Poland and the Czech Republic. Like the late Henry Ford, Barabanov argued that people have two reasons for doing what they do: a good reason and the real reason. [...]

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Dealing with North Korea: Trust Me?

Posted by Matt in February 16th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Koreas

You would have to be mad to do so. This time make sure Kim Jong Il keeps his promises.
WOULD you buy a used nuclear bomb from this man? The most devastating criticism of the nuclear “disarmament” deal struck with Kim Jong Il’s North Korea this week by America, China, Japan, South Korea and Russia is [...]

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The Putin Doctrine

Posted by Matt in February 16th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Russia

There is something amusing about criticism of the use of force by the man who turned Chechnya into a smoldering ruin; about the invocation of international law by the man who will not allow Scotland Yard to interrogate the polonium-soaked thugs it suspects of murdering Alexander Litvinenko, yet another Putin opponent to meet an [...]

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One Yalta Was Enough

Posted by Matt in February 16th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Europe, Russia

Russia can’t dictate what clubs European countries join, and that’s a good thing.
One of the low points of the 20th Century—a century which had many—came at Yalta. At a conference at that Crimean port in 1945, Britain and the U.S. essentially acquiesced to a Soviet sphere of influence that included the entire eastern half of [...]

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