1913 Intel

International Conflict, Western World Threats and Geopolitical Intelligence

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The Effects of Nuclear War

Posted by Matt in April 6th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Nuclear, War, ,

Chapters
1: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ~69K
2: A NUCLEAR WEAPON OVER DETROIT OR LENINGRAD: A TUTORIAL ON THE EFFECTS OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS ~2028K
3: CIVIL DEFENSE ~99K
4: THREE ATTACK CASES ~714K
5: OTHER LONG-TERM EFFECTS ~201K
Appendixes
A: LETTER OF REQUEST ~34K
B: STRATEGIC FORCES ASSUMED ~56K
C: CHARLOTTESVILLE: A FICTIONAL ACCOUNT BY NAN RANDALL ~76K
D: SUMMARY OF REPORT ON EXECUTIVE BRANCH CALCULATIONS ~121K
E: [...]

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Leon Gouré, 84; Sovietologist and Civil Defense Expert

Posted by Matt in April 6th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Russia, War, , , ,

In “War Survival in Soviet Strategy” (1973), he wrote: “The fundamental Soviet view is that the better the USSR is prepared for war, the greater and more credible is its ability to deter its adversary from risking military confrontation. This is the main reason why Moscow categorically rejects any concept of security based on a [...]

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North Korea seeks aid as millions face famine

Posted by Matt in April 6th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Koreas, , ,

BEIJING — Unable to feed millions of its people, North Korea has made an abrupt about-face and asked the World Food Program to increase its aid, an official with the U.N. agency said this week.
After a visit to the isolated nation, where hundreds of thousands died from famine in the 1990s, WFP Asian regional director [...]

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An International Failure

Posted by Matt in April 6th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Europe, , ,

The E.U. and U.N. only make things more difficult.
Ironically, the existence of transnational institutions like the U.N. makes it harder for collective action against bad actors. In the past, interested parties would simply get together in temporary coalitions to do what they had to do. That is much harder now because they feel such action [...]

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The Age of the Climate Refugees?

Posted by Matt in April 6th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in general, ,

The picture painted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change is one of blighted nations and millions of desperate immigrants fleeing climate disaster. But experts disagree about whether the bleak vision will ever come true.
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Hizbullah prepares for war

Posted by Matt in April 6th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Israel, Middle East, War, , , , ,

Lebanon’s Hizbullah organisation is mobilising its military wing, the Islamic Resistance (IR), in preparation for an expected new confrontation with Israel in mid-2007.
New recruits are being pushed through an intensified training programme at the Iranian-backed group’s training camps in the Bekaa Valley and a steady flow of arms, including surface-to-surface rockets, is coming into Lebanon [...]

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Analysis: Global nuclear boom expected

Posted by Matt in April 6th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Nuclear, , , , , , ,

WASHINGTON, April 6 (UPI) — A global “nuclear renaissance,” the cliché for a growth in nuclear power plant construction, is not merely talk, according to a new report by the Cambridge Energy Research Associates. New reactors are in various phases, from planning to construction, and even the United States, which hasn’t approved a new reactor [...]

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U.S. Preparing for Iranian Missile Threat

Posted by Matt in April 6th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Iran, Missiles, U.S., , , ,

This comes to us from Senior Editor Anna Mulrine, who covers the Pentagon:
Lt. Gen. Henry “Trey” Obering, director of the Missile Defense Agency, told reporters Thursday that the agency is modifying radars in the United Kingdom and Greenland to better protect the United States from missile strikes.
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Russia: A Rogue Intelligence State?

Posted by Matt in April 6th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Russia,

Why Europe and America Cannot Ignore Russia.
Vladimir Putin’s Russia is a new phenomenon in Europe: a state defined and dominated by former and active-duty security and intelligence officers. Not even fascist Italy, Nazi Germany, or the Soviet Union–all undoubtedly much worse creations than Russia–were as top-heavy with intelligence talent. What does this mean for Russia [...]

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Shield or sword?

Posted by Matt in April 6th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Europe, Missiles, Russia, U.S., , , , ,

MOSCOW:
It is obvious that the deployment of a U.S. antimissile defense system in Poland and the Czech Republic would fundamentally change the structure and philosophy of continental and even global security - as well as threatening the entire edifice of relevant international accords.
This is not just a question of Russia’s concerns. The situation is rather [...]

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Russia: Would-Be Great Power?

Posted by Matt in April 6th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Russia,

But commentators, academics and policy makers are still behind the curve in understanding that Russia will play in increasingly active role on the world stage.
Hence the general surprise when President Putin was at pains to point out during the G8 summit in St. Petersburg in July 2006 that Russia was now an energy superpower - [...]

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China Accelerating Ballistic Missile Tests

Posted by Matt in April 6th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in China, Missiles, , , , ,

Secret new U. S. intelligence about China proves the Chinese are accelerating the test of new medium and long range ballistic missiles, Aviation Week & Space Technology will report in its April 9 issue.
China is also demonstrating a wide range of new tactics with those missiles, Aviation Week will report.
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China and Africa

Posted by Matt in April 6th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Africa, China, , , , , , , , , , , , ,

A New Scramble?
What distinguishes China’s involvement in Africa from that of other nations is that it is accompanied by a clear government policy in support of African commercial ventures, abundant financing and tax benefits for Chinese firms operating abroad and robust diplomacy toward the region[1]. State-owned Chinese companies can depend on the Ministry of Commerce, [...]

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