Mexican Immigration Will Solve Itself

Fertility data suggest that the international migration picture is about to change.

As the debate over illegal immigration from Mexico rages in Washington and across the country, and as the administration’s reform bill hangs by a thread, few Americans are aware that this problem is on track to decline, and will eventually become a vague memory.

There has been a stunning decline in the fertility rate in Mexico, which means that, in a few years, there will not be nearly as many teenagers in Mexico looking for work in the United States or anywhere else. If this trend in the fertility rate continues, Mexico will resemble Japan and Italy—rapidly aging populations with too few young workers to support the economy.

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Mexican immigration isn’t going away on its own

But if you were to look at how fertility trends and immigration overlap, you might well reach the opposite conclusion from Dowd. In 1970, when Mexico still had a total fertility rate of well over 6, the Mexican immigrant population in the United States was less than 800,000. Over the next 30 years, Mexico’s fertility fell by more than half, yet its immigrant population grew more than ten-fold. In itself, this doesn’t disprove Dowd’s claim, but it sure muddies it up.

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Syria building more missiles, but unlikely to attack against Israel

JERUSALEM: Syria is producing more rockets and preparing its army for possible armed conflict with Israel, but is unlikely to initiate an attack, a senior Israeli defense official said Saturday.

In an alliance with Iran, Syria also continues to help arm the Lebanese guerrilla group Hezbollah, despite a U.N. arms embargo, and supports the violent Palestinian groups Hamas and Islamic Jihad, Defense Ministry adviser Amos Gilad told Israel Radio.

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Iran regime drowning in oil

The need to ration gas in OPEC’s second largest exporter of crude oil reveals a major vulnerability of Iran’s theocratic regime.

Government policy is clearly to blame for the rationing. The problem begins with subsidies for consumers; at 34 cents per gallon (and a total cost of $5 billion last year), the subsidized price acts as a powerful stimulant of consumption. Yet Iran suffers from an acute shortage of refining capacity, forcing it to import 40 percent of the gasoline supplied to the public. And Iran’s inability to rectify the refinery deficit can be attributed to Ahmadinejad’s truculence on the nuclear issue and regional conflicts. His belligerence makes it ever more difficult to attract the foreign investment and technology Iran need s to rehabilitate its oil-industry infrastructure.

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Georgia: Giving Russia a Reason for Military Action?

Russian media reported a series of attacks June 28 in Georgia’s breakaway region of South Ossetia. While fighting is normal in the secessionist region, these attacks were not small in scale, and Russia could use them as the means it has been looking for to move not only back into South Ossetia, but into Georgia itself.

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Oil Boom, Politics Shape Africa’s Future

As China and India increasingly prospect for resources here, terrorism concerns rise and the U.S. military seeks a permanent military presence in Africa, the continent has its greatest international influence in decades. Whether Africa can use its newfound might to end its longtime blight is a separate issue.

“There’s a new dynamic in play” for African nations, says Antony Goldman, an independent risk-analysis consultant based in London. “And the challenge for those countries is how to manage that.”

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The U.S. Military is Running a Parallel Earth Simulator

The US Department of Defense (DOD) is developing a parallel to Planet Earth, with billions of individual “nodes” to reflect every man, woman, and child this side of the dividing line between reality and AR.

Called the Sentient World Simulation (SWS), it will be a “synthetic mirror of the real world with automated continuous calibration with respect to current real-world information”, according to a concept paper for the project.

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Belligerence renewed

As the 45th anniversary of the Chinese attack on India nears, disturbing signs flow from across the Himalayas.

China is today providing Pakistan missiles and nuclear capabilities designed to ensure that Pakistan permanently remains an Albatross around India’s neck. Pakistan’s nuclear weapons capabilities are being augmented by providing it with designs, equipment and knowhow to build high yielding plutonium-based nuclear warheads, which can be miniaturised and fitted on Chinese origin DF-15 and DF-21 Missiles, rechristened by Pakistan as “Shaheen 1″ and “Shaheen 2″.

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My Comment:

Perhaps India should hint that other players (China) might be attacked if Pakistan fires nuclear weapons. Don’t mention names, but the other players will know who they are.

The Axis is spinning

This week two members of the “Axis of Oil” – Russia and Venezuela – were especially active and transparent so the world can see their true colors. Venezuela nationalized their oil industry and kicked all US oil interests out. Russia is doing their best to do the same. They want to use oil not only as an economic tool but as political weapon. It was a bad week for those who care about freedom, free markets and the future security of oil and gas for consuming nations.

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