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Seoul’s Impetuous Summit Initiative

Posted by Matt in August 8th, 2007

Seoul’s agreement to hold an inter-Korean summit is premature because North Korea has made insufficient progress in its denuclearization to justify any reward. South Korean President Roh Moo Hyun’s attempt to secure his legacy and influence coming presidential elections risks undermining multinational efforts to denuclearize North Korea and could strain Seoul’s relationship with Washington, in the long term undermining the U.S.-South Korean military deterrent to the North’s lingering threat. A North-South summit could boost South Korean public approval for unilateral aid to Pyongyang, weaken support for the conservative opposition party in December’s presidential election in South Korea, and reduce domestic support for the presence of U.S. troops. The Bush Administration should counsel Seoul that unilateral, uncoordinated diplomacy benefits Pyongyang and increases suspicion of Roh’s motives.

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[Countries link to CIA Factbook. States link to Wikipedia.]


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