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Invading Taiwan - China Rues The Waves

Posted by Matt in January 6th, 2008

China’s big problem with invading Taiwan is not just whether or not they could defeat the defending forces. The big problem is American control of the world’s oceans. It’s been that way for over sixty years, and many people just take it for granted. Chinese military planners see that control, which they can’t break, as a major obstacle to their success in grabbing Taiwan. Like Japan, in 1941, China has to import (a third of) its oil. That will increase to 50 percent in a few years. America can instantly turn off that supply. The U.S. did that to Japan in 1941, and then Japan went to war. But China would find that supply cut after they went to war.

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