Osirak Reux?

Posted by Matt in July 8th, 2008

Assessing Israeli Capabilities to Destroy Iranian Nuclear Facilities

Orginally published in April 2006.

This paper will attempt to fill this gap in the existing literature by providing a rough net assessment of an Israeli strike on known Iranian nuclear facilities. It will do so by taking the strike on Osirak as a generic template for the strike and then attempting to update the scenario to account for both the improved IAF capabilities and the much tougher Iranian defenses. The paper will first present a short overview of the Osirak raid, followed by a description of the nature and location of the Iranian nuclear facilities in the context of targeting for the IAF. The next section will attempt a rough estimate of the “weaponeering” necessary to destroy the target set. The third section will discuss the forces the IAF and Iran possess relevant to this planned strike, while the fourth will attempt to evaluate potential attack routes and the interaction of the forces. The paper will conclude with a brief discussion of the likely outcome of an Israeli attack and some policy considerations based on this outcome.

Tip of the hat to Joe for pointing out this article.

PDF File - Read More…

Published in Iran, Israel, Attack, Capabilities, Gap, Generic Template, iaf, Interaction, Iran, Israeli Attack, Literature, Nuclear Facilities, Osirak, Policy Considerations, Reux, Rough Estimate, Short Overview, Target, Tip Of The Hat

Map for Tehran, Iran

[Countries link to CIA Factbook. States link to Wikipedia.]

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