You said on Bloomberg Television yesterday that there is a 50-50 chance of a double dip in housing.
I am really going out on a limb to say it’s as high as 50-50. Double dips are rare. You know, I have a forecasting model that I used to use years ago when we were doing forecasts for The Wall Street Journal in the late 1990s, and that model emphasized momentum before anything else.
Economist Robert Shiller: Is a Double Dip in Housing Ahead? – BusinessWeek
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