Imagine that the world is a large sandpile that has built up over many years. There are hills and valleys all over this sandpile. Over time the entire pile has gotten too high, and fingers of instability connect all regions of the sandpile. When a collapse in one areas occurs, it can be transmitted to [...]
With Its Eye on China, Japan Builds Up Military
This strategic shift is another step in a gradual and limited buildup of Japan’s forces, aimed at keeping up with the changing power balance in Asia while remaining within the bounds of Japan’s antiwar Constitution and the constraints of its declining economic power. Political analysts say [...]
Take the Political Instability Task Force, funded by the CIA and based at George Mason University in Fairfax, Virginia. Since it was formed in 1994, it has used historical data on conflicts, political structures and economics to rate the stability of countries around the world. Details of the model are publicly available, but the forecasts [...]
“The United States is demanding that we give up our nuclear weapons program,” Kim Il Sung said. “What should we do? Give them up or not?”
The room was silent. Finally, Kim Jong Il spoke, saying he would answer his father’s question.
“Nuclear weapons are Chosun,” he said, using the North Korean word for Korea. [...]
Iran’s stability is in question. Time for war to refocus people’s attention.
Iran’s stability is once again in question, as historic protests sweep the Middle East and revive the flagging fortunes of its own opposition movement. Expectations of the Islamic Republic’s inevitable demise are further fueled by the revolutionary state’s own vulnerabilities.
Today’s Turks are focused on taking issue with people and ideas they consider offensive to Muslims. While a negative reaction to perceived anti-Muslim sentiments is understandable from the Turkish people’s perspective, this new morality is based on a la carte morals and selective outrage: Turks take issue with perceived offensive behavior by Westerners against Muslims, [...]
We could hardly agree more with Prof. Daniel Lynch’s appraisal of the situation across the Taiwan Strait—let’s not mistake happy talk and economic agreements for a durable cross-strait status quo. Beijing shows no sign of relenting on its goal of imposing its rule on Taiwan, and Chinese spokesmen are admirably forthright about [...]
China is not afraid of a nuclear war with America because it is willing to sacrifice its people, the dissident said. Now take a look at a statement by Chinese general Zhu Chenghu:
… declaring that China would launch nuclear weapons against America if it attacked China and that “we will prepare ourselves for the [...]
South Korea and the US start new war games Monday, just days after the South dropped propaganda leaflets about Middle East revolutions over North Korea.
David Murrin is not the most optimistic person I have ever met.
In his recently published book “Breaking the Code of History” the hedge fund manager who runs Emergent Asset Management writes that he believes by 2025 there will be a major conflict over the fight for commodities [...]