Nuclear Zero is a Dangerous Number

On February 18, 2012, the acting Under Secretary for Arms Control and International Security, Rose Gottemoeller, delivered a speech on her plan for making the outbreak of nuclear attack against the United States a 100% certainty.

Delivering the talk to students and faculty at Yale University, Gottemoeller began by citing McMurdo Station, an outpost in Antarctica that is used by international climate scientists, geologists, as well as experts in other disciplines, on a rotating and cooperative basis, as the model of how the world will get to “zero.”  “Zero” is the theoretical concept of a world completely void of nuclear weapons.  Gottemoeller spilled the beans in this recent speech, making it clear that “nuclear zero,” not military superiority, is the end game of the Obama Administration.  The world looked on when the New START treaty was signed by Obama 3 years ago, and assumed that this was another step in a strategic partnership between Russia and the United States, to reduce and manage their nuclear stockpiles and bring defensive capabilities into equilibrium, while maintaining a measure of deterrence.   START was, instead, a first step in a radical plan that will leave the United States completely helpless in a world where nuclear non-proliferation is a joke to established nuclear regimes like North Korea and emerging menaces such as Iran.

Gottemoller asserted:

“New START was just the beginning. Going forward, we know that we are going to have to think bigger and bolder….

Nuclear Zero is a Dangerous Number

Nuclear zero is the goal of modern liberals today. As I scan hundreds of articles each day, I see many articles discussing the massive cuts to our nuclear arsenal that Obama wants to make. They mostly start out telling us that the probability of nuclear war is just about zero. And a bolt out of the blue nuclear attack is zero. So if nuclear war is just not going to happen, then why do we need so many nucleear weapons?

Why do we need any nuclear weapons? And it is America who should lead the way to nuclear zero. America should get there first as an example to other countries.

Is it really all that hard predicting calamity based on this kind of talk?

The solution is just to ask some basic questions. Peter Schiff was able to predict the coming real estate collapse by just asking some basic questions about real estate. Watch the very fascinating talk that Peter gave in 2006 to some mortgage brokers. He explained to them that soon many of them would be out of a job. Watch it here: Predicting the Economic Mess in 2008

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Because almost everyone alive today in the west has only known peace and prosperity for the most part, they cannot imagine war. We are in an unprecedented era of peace. We have conquered the big war. This long period of peace has changed people’s thinking. We must go to nuclear zero so that nuclear war cannot happen.

Since the end of World War II in 1945, what has kept the peace in the west? Has it been weakness and no nuclear weapons, or has it been toughness and a lot of nuclear weapons?

In all of history, has any country disarmed itself and gained peace?

There’s an old and true, military motto, “Si vis pacem, para bellum” from Flavius Vegetius Renatus circa 375 AD: “If you want peace, prepare for war.”

How Byzantium, not Rome, can help preserve Pax Americana.

The lessons of the Byzantine empire:

I. Avoid war by every possible means, in all possible circumstances, but always act as if war might start at any time. Train intensively and be ready for battle at all times — but do not be eager to fight. The highest purpose of combat readiness is to reduce the probability of having to fight.

II. Gather intelligence on the enemy and his mentality, and monitor his actions continuously. Efforts to do so by all possible means might not be very productive, but they are seldom wasted.

III. Campaign vigorously, both offensively and defensively, but avoid battles, especially large-scale battles, except in very favorable circumstances. …

IV. Replace the battle of attrition and occupation of countries with maneuver warfare — lightning strikes and offensive raids to disrupt enemies, followed by rapid withdrawals. …

V. Strive to end wars successfully by recruiting allies to change the balance of power. …

VI. Subversion is the cheapest path to victory. …

VII. When diplomacy and subversion are not enough and fighting is unavoidable, use methods and tactics that exploit enemy weaknesses, avoid consuming combat forces, and patiently whittle down the enemy’s strength. …

Take Me Back to Constantinople

Today we suffer from a fourth quadrant problem. We think we understand the process that drives our life forward in time but we really don’t. We are really driven by the Thanksgiving Turkey process: Life is good until one day it is not. Think about the collapse of the Soviet Union, or the collapses in the Arab Spring. Think about the economic collapse that started in 2008. These collapses were preceded by long periods of relative stability, then bam – collapse. That’s the Thanksgiving Turkey process. Long periods of relative stability are followed by sudden collapse. That means the long period of peace that the exists for the west will end suddenly with war. Disarming will most surely help this process.