Philippine Warship, China Ships in Standoff – WSJ.com

The Philippine government said its newest warship is locked in a standoff with two Chinese surveillance vessels in a fresh dispute over fishing rights in the resource-rich South China Sea, potentially escalating an already-tense security environment in the contested region.

The two navies engaged each other after the Philippine vessel—a former Coast Guard cutter provided by the U.S. Navy—attempted to arrest the crew of several Chinese fishing boats who were anchored at Scarborough Shoal, off the Philippines’ northwest coast but which is also claimed by China.

Philippine Warship, China Ships in Standoff – WSJ.com

Here’s a situation that could easily escalate into something much bigger should one or more ships get damaged in the process. It’s an example of nonlinear systems potentially blowing up over something small.

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It is critical to ensure that any non-Asian ship stay away from this conflict. Bring in a new civilization, like the West, and all bets are off. The fact that China claims the South China Sea as its own has probably put it on a path to war with the U.S. The article below was posted on December 6, 2011. It suggests China is preparing for an eventual war with the US.

Chinese President Hu Jintao Tuesday urged the navy to prepare for military combat amid growing regional tensions over maritime disputes and a US campaign to assert itself as a Pacific power.

China’s Hu urges navy to prepare for combat {warfare} | 1913 Intel

What is even more terrifying than Hu’s comment is the West’s collective shrug over it. Well, he says this sort of stuff all the time, so no big deal. Actually, the fact that he says it all the time means it’s a bigger deal than we ever could have imagined. Why would Hu say it all the time unless he as serious about it?

In the end, it is likely that a war or conflict that escalates into a war will catch you off-guard. That is why you must prepare when things are calm. You will have no time during the real thing.