Desperate people do desperate things. When, in a year or so, economic contraction becomes too big to hide, China’s rulers may start a war to redirect public ire onto a “foreign devil.”
India’s Research and Analysis Wing thinks the most likely targets for a Chinese attack are the Scarborough Shoal belonging to the Philippines or Tibet. The Lowy Institute, an Australian think tank, believes war may start over the Senkaku Islands, an uninhabited pile of rocks administered by Japan, because new Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe isn’t backing down in the face of Chinese threats.Sponsored Ads
To make sure America couldn’t interfere with their territorial ambitions in Asia, the Japanese attacked the Pacific Fleet in Pearl Harbor on Dec. 7, 1941. If China starts a war, it may begin the same way, for the same reason.
Starting a war suddenly and unexpectedly is China’s MO: How China Fights: Lessons From the 1962 Sino-Indian War – Newsweek.