“The Middle East is a powder keg, and today the flame is coming very near. We cannot talk merely about the Syrian response, but about what might take place after the first strike. But nobody knows what will happen. Everyone will lose control of the situation when the powder keg explodes. Chaos and extremism will spread. There is a risk of regional war,” Assad told the French newspaper Le Figaro.
“We know that the regime ordered this attack,” he said. “We know they prepared for it. We know where the rockets came from. We know where they landed. We know the damage that was done afterwards.”
What is the mechanism of a regional war and even World War III?
First, one must recognize that the Middle East is in a precollapse state. So it’s not going to take a whole lot to set the region aflame. There are three events which could set off a regional collapse – war:
- US attacks Syria.
- Israel attacks Iran concerning its nuclear program.
- Israel attacks missiles in Syria which it fears will be transferred to Hezbollah in Lebanon.
Based on the Clash of Civilizations, things tend to escalate heavily when two different civilizations come into conflict. If one of the above events happens, then expect a massive attack on Israeli cities by Syria, Hezbollah and groups in the Palestinian West Bank. Then there is the possibility of attacks by Syria on Turkey and/or Jordan depending on their support for the rebels. The inclusion of Israel will be automatic, but additional conflict is based on Sunni-Shiite rivalry.
It’s not the Middle East that is the only thing in a precollapse state. The great powers – US, Russia and China – are also in a precollapse state. We find ourselves in a situation much like the Great Depression plus World War II. Except now its the Great Recession and a world war has not happened. However, the signs of great international change are present. There is a massive power transfer from the West to the East. Think of it as transferring power from an area that respects the rule of law and human rights to an area that does not. Those who know history will understand that this period is a very dangerous one. Additonally, the decline of a superpower (the US) also marks the start of a very dangerous time.
There have been many articles discussing the possibility of war between the US and China. One recent article discusses how the US and China are now in a very unstable state.
Gompert argues that as a result “crisis instability” involving the two is increasing rapidly. Crisis instability occurs when “the price of failing to attack before the opponent does mean defeat. Each side knows the other is thinking the same way and so has all the more incentive to act preemptively if war seems imminent. Or probable. Or maybe just possible. Given the penalty for attacking second, such spiraling logic can turn confrontation into conflagration.”
What about war between the US and Russia?
Take a look at what Foreign minister Sergey Lavrov had to say about Western meddling:
- Russian foreign minister says war would cause ‘suffering across the world’
- Iran says neighbours in ‘dangerous position’ if they ally to U.S.
- ‘Iran would go guerilla in war with U.S.,’ says Pentagon-linked report
Russia has warned of a ‘very big war’ causing suffering across the world if Western countries encourage anti-government uprisings in the Middle East and North Africa.
Foreign minister Sergey Lavrov said Western meddling would lead to ‘a very big war that will cause suffering not only to countries in the region, but also to states far beyond its boundaries’, the New York Times reported.
A ‘seriously worried’ Lavrov spoke yesterday at his annual press conference, where he said a military attack on Iran would trigger a ‘chain reaction’ to destabilise the world.
In other words, Russia (Putin) is determined to stop Western meddling in other countries one way or another. That includes the use of nuclear weapons.
An unusually candid reference to nuclear war by Russia’s prime minister prompted a sell-off in the nation’s stock market this week, underscoring how nervous traders here have become about worsening relations with the West, a street protest movement in Moscow and an overall slump in emerging markets.
In remarks Thursday afternoon, the prime minister, Dmitri A. Medvedev, uttered the phrase “nuclear weapons” in a reference to the United States. Although oblique, the comment rattled traders, who sent the main stock market index down 3.5 percent within four hours.
Please take a look at a few more articles if you are not sure:
- Could a maritime conflict start a Sino-American war? | The Japan Times
- One Great Big War – NYTimes.com
- U.S., China and an unthinkable war – latimes.com
- It’s [Global] War, You Idiots
- War in Northeast Asia: Possible Scenarios (Part 1) | Russia Beyond The Headlines ASIA
- World War III? | American Thinker
- Iran: Armageddon at hand, prepare for war
- Probability of World War III: 75% or more
- The 21st century looks a lot like the chaos of the past
- Will conflict in the Middle East trigger the next great power war? | Foreign Policy
- Superpowers on a war footing
- U.S. and China smile for cameras, prepare for war
- Further destabilisation in the Middle East possible according to new report
- Financial Crisis and War by Harold James – Project Syndicate
- Warning: Victory for Syrian rebels means regional war – Israel Today | Israel News
- Syrian civil war ‘dress rehearsal’ for world war? – Israel Today | Israel News
- Could Syria be the spark that causes the Middle East to explode? – Bill Neely – Mirror Online
- Could Syria ignite World War 3? That’s the terrifying question as the hatred between two Muslim ideologies sucks in the world’s superpowers | Mail Online
- Senkaku Islands are “core interest” of China, Xi tells Obama | GlobalPost
- Air Force Expert: US-Russia Confrontation Likely If Russia Delivers Missiles to Syria
- Could a Middle East War Trigger a Much Wider War Involving America and Russia?
- Chinese think tank warns of military clashes with Japan – The Economic Times
- China wants war with America
- Chinese think tank warns of military clashes with Japan
- Israeli Air Force chief warns a multi-front war could be imminent | World Tribune
- Could the United States really go to war with China? | Foreign Policy
- Senkaku Islands Dispute: How China Could Spark the Next Big War
- Xi’s War Drums – By John Garnaut | Foreign Policy
- China’s Militant Nationalism :: Gatestone Institute