Back to 30s: A head-on collision between China and Japan is growing

“According to a senior government adviser, the security situation in the east Asian region has begun to resemble Europe in the 1930s, when a resurgent, re-arming Germany began to project its power beyond its borders.”

Experts say chances of head-on collision between the world’s second and third biggest economies are growing

The potentially explosive struggle between China and Japan for physical control of the energy-rich Senkaku islands in the East China Sea reflects broader security, ideological and historical tensions between the two east Asian leviathans, the world’s second and third biggest economies respectively, which could yet produce a head-on collision, Japanese officials and analysts say.

“China is not going to back off. It views the East China Sea as a core interest. But so too does the US forward-deployed navy and Japan. So how do we manage this clash of core interests? …

Senkaku islands row reflects broader tensions between China and Japan | World news | theguardian.com

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Maybe we don’t know how to manage the clash of core interests very well, but doing something obviously stupid is not going to help. One would think that at a minimum the US should be getting ready for war with China. Instead, the Obama administration is needlessly gutting its ICBM launch facilities: Despite Promises, Obama Planning to Voluntarily Close ICBM Squadron | Washington Free Beacon. I guess if one actually wants a war to start, then disarming yourself is a good way to go.

I mentioned this before, but here it is again: The historical signs of war.

  1. Financial crisis in 1907, and World War I in 1914

  2. Financial crisis in 1929, and World War II in 1939

  3. Financial crisis in 2008, and World War III in 2015?

Historically the US hits a crisis every 80 to 100 years since the beginning of the last crisis:

  1. 1765-1785 => The American Revolutionary War (1775–1783)

  2. 1845-1865 => The American Civil War (1861-1865)

  3. 1925-1945 => World War II (1939 to 1945)

  4. 2005-2025 => World War III?

If you would like to know more about the historical signs of war then check out this article: 25+ Signs That Point to Nuclear War | 1913 Intel