Nothing in 1914 made war between the great powers of Europe inevitable, and nothing today makes war inevitable between the great powers of Asia. But four features of the European scene in 1914 made it harder for a small crisis to be contained, so that a great war that could easily have been avoided nonetheless [...]
‘This is the decade of power transitions in Asia.’
No rising power is ever a status quo power. Power is, by nature, expansionist. It is actually intoxicating. In 2009, the bestseller in China was a book called Unhappy China. When the world is their oyster, why would China be so unhappy, [...]
A majority in the Asian countries polled in a new Pew study say they fear a looming military conflict with China
China’s neighbors fear the worst is yet to come.
Strong-arm tactics and tough talk coming from Beijing in the past year have succeeded in convincing neighboring countries that war may just be around the [...]
” I think there is a real possibility that fighting might be started deliberately by one side or the other, …”
Few people believe that either China or Japan would deliberately start a war in the East China Sea. Most analysts assume that an armed clash could only occur through accident, misunderstanding or [...]
The poll found that an extraordinary 93 per cent of Filipinos, 85 per cent of Japanese, 84 per cent of Vietnamese and 83 per cent of South Koreans were worried ”that China’s territorial ambitions could lead to military conflict with its neighbours”.
Beijing is locked in territorial disputes to varying degrees with all of these [...]
The South China Sea is a powder keg of territorial claims mized with oil and gas resources.
Almost every country in the area has a longstanding animus towards at least one of its neighbors. China claims 90% of the Sea, and Beijing is viewed with fear and suspicion throughout the region.
The U.S. [...]
“Recent pessimism suggests that China and the U.S. are already well on the road to great power confrontation.”
Even as the U.S. and China put on happy faces for their annual Strategic and Economic Dialogue, recent articles in U.S. newspapers suggest that the relationship has taken a major (and perhaps irreversible) turn [...]
China’s territorial dispute with Japan over a chain of uninhabited islands in the East China Sea could lead to an “explosive” confrontation, Taiwan’s top diplomat in the United States warned Wednesday.
“These little islands could trigger something,” Lyushun Shen, ambassador of the Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office in the United States, said in an [...]
As the sixth meeting of the US-China Strategic and Economic Dialogue (S&ED) takes place July 9-10 in Beijing, with US Secretary of State John Kerry and Treasury Secretary Jacob Lew representing the United States, and State Councilor Yang Jiechi and Vice Premier Wang Yang representing China, here’s a troubling question to keep in mind: Does [...]
That was then. But after two decades of sustained military modernization, the Chinese military has fundamentally changed its strategy in just the last year or so. According to Fuell, recent writings by PLA officers indicate “a growing confidence within the PLA that they can more-readily withstand U.S. involvement [in a China-Taiwan war].”