Category Archives: Asia

Asia’s ‘Mach 5′ Nightmare: China’s Hypersonic Weapons Build-Up | The National Interest Blog

But just like all strategic challenges, threats can evolve — and in the case of the broader Asia-Pacific, the region is a far more dangerous place than it was in 2013. Indeed, the amount of places that China is now challenging the status quo — in the East China Sea, once again pushing back against Taiwan and in multiple places within the South China Sea — is a troubling sign of not only Beijing’s reckless approach towards its neighbors, but further evidence of an unyielding quest to dominate the region all the way to the first and likely second-island chains.

So what would be the instruments used to wage such a short, sharp war in any of these above contested bodies of water if the unthinkable occurred?

Asia’s ‘Mach 5′ Nightmare: China’s Hypersonic Weapons Build-Up | The National Interest Blog

China Makes Four Demands of Japan to Improve Relations

So when China talks about “win-win,” it is a veiled threat that Japan must do as its told, or there may be another economic war.

4. In terms of regional and international affairs, the two sides should respect each other’s legitimate interests and concerns, and have essential communication and coordination in a timely fashion. The Japanese side should cast aside the confrontation mentality and work with China to maintain peace, stability and prosperity of the region.

China’s message is this: “We want stability and peace. If you do exactly as you’re ordered, then we’ll have stability and peace. But if you don’t do as you’re ordered, then we’ll kill you, and get stability and peace that way.”

Generational Dynamics predicts that China and Japan are rapidly heading for a generational crisis war, and the time may not be far off. China Foreign Ministry and AP and Xinhua

China Makes Four Demands of Japan to Improve Relations

Pentagon Warns of Conflict Over Chinese Island Building

Retired Navy Capt. Jim Fanell, a former Pacific Fleet intelligence chief, said China appears to be seeking control of key chokepoints of the Luzon Strait by building up Scarborough Shoal.

“When combined with the seven new islands at the southern end of the Spratly Islands, a new naval base at the northern entrance will provide the PRC the ability to effectively control the freedom of navigation and free access to markets for all nations who ply the waters of the South China Sea,” Fanell said.

To counter China’s moves, Fanell said the Navy’s Pacific Fleet should begin warship patrols at Scarborough.

“This ‘Scarborough Patrol Station’ should be tasked with preventing the PRC from physically building a ‘new island,’ presuming afloat commanders are given flexible rules of engagement to allow them to physically prevent PRC construction work,” he said, adding allies such as Japan, Australia, and India should be part.

Pentagon Warns of Conflict Over Chinese Island Building

Russia, China team up over North Korea, South China Sea

Denouncing what they see as outside interference in the South China Sea and Korean Peninsula, the foreign ministers of Russia and China voiced mutual support Friday as they seek to counter the influence of Washington and its allies, particularly in Asia.

Following talks in Beijing, Russia’s Sergey Lavrov and China’s Wang Yi expressed opposition to the U.S. deployment of an anti-missile system in South Korea and said non-claimants should not take sides in the dispute over maritime territorial claims in the South China Sea.

Despite endorsing United Nations Security Council sanctions against North Korea over its missile launches and nuclear tests, the two strongly criticized the proposed deployment of the Terminal High-Altitude Area Defense system, or THAAD.

Russia, China team up over North Korea, South China Sea

U.S. “freedom of navigation” operations in South China Sea “very dangerous”: China – Xinhua | English.news.cn

The so-called “freedom of navigation” operations in the South China Sea conducted by the U.S. military are “very dangerous,” a spokesperson for China’s Ministry of National Defense said Thursday.

The U.S. operations are political and military provocations against China and could easily lead to unexpected incidents, spokesman Wu Qian said at a monthly press conference.

The Chinese military will continue to closely monitor the situations in the South China Sea and will take all necessary measures as needed, he said.

The “freedom of navigation” has been used by the United States as an excuse for intervening in disputes in the South China Sea, according to the spokesman.

U.S. “freedom of navigation” operations in South China Sea “very dangerous”: China – Xinhua | English.news.cn

Storm clouds gather over South China Sea ahead of key UN ruling – The Boston Globe

A summer storm is brewing in the South China Sea.

Evidence appears to be mounting that China is pondering another bout of island-building in the South China Sea, and the United States administration and military is already on the alert.

The [Scarborough Shoal] shoal is the latest point of friction between China, the United States, and nations ringing the South China Sea over Beijing’s moves to build maritime outposts and other sites that could have potential future military use.

‘‘Thunderclouds are gathering over the South China Sea, and China is the lightning rod,’’ said Carl Thayer, emeritus professor at the University of New South Wales in Australia.

Driving the rising tensions: a key ruling by a panel of jurists at a United Nations-appointed tribunal in The Hague that is expected soon.

Storm clouds gather over South China Sea ahead of key UN ruling – The Boston Globe

South China Sea: The fight China will take to the brink of war

“In the past few centuries, no new great power has managed to arise without going to war with an existing one over clashing spheres of influence.”

Xi has declared the pursuit of “China’s Dream”, a national resurgence after centuries of foreign domination. Shi, a professor of international relations at Renmin University in Beijing, says there are three international implications. First, Xi wants China to be acknowledged as a superpower equal to the US. Second, he wants China to become the co-manager of global affairs with the US, a Group of Two for world governance. Third, “China must be the preponderant power in the Western Pacific and have some advantage over the US”, he told me. Shi’s definition of Chinese aims supports that of the commander of the US Pacific Fleet, Admiral Harry Harris, who says China seeks “hegemony in East Asia”.

Shi, who has been an adviser to the State Council, China’s cabinet, for the past five years, says this will be “based on an arms build up and the strategic ability to go tit-for-tat with the US and to force the US finally to recognise Chinese preponderance” in China’s claimed sphere.

“China,” Shi explains, “must be number one in diplomatic influence and economic clout and maybe in [military] force. It wants to prevent the US military’s freedom of navigation eventually, and gradually squeeze Vietnam, the Philippines and all the others out of the South China Sea.” This is precisely what the region’s governments fear.

Xi is a decisive leader, says Shi, who “shows that he has guts – he’s not afraid of confrontation”.

South China Sea: The fight China will take to the brink of war

“In the past few centuries, no new great power has managed to arise without going to war with an existing one over clashing spheres of influence.”

The prudent will be expecting war here too. And that means being prepared for nuclear war.

Scarborough ‘Shoaldown’: An Opportunity to Push Back Against China | The National Interest Blog

Essentially stolen from The Philippines back in 2012 after the US helped broker a de-escalation of tensions–sitting clearly in Manila’s exclusive economic zone (EEZ) — could be the place where America could slow or possibly halt China’s dangerous ambitions.

So why pick Scarborough Shoal to make a stand and why now? Because according to various reports, it seems likely to be Beijing’s next island reclamation project. A report in The Diplomat explains that, “China is poised to take “decisive and provocative action” in the Spratly Islands. These sources report that China may dynamite Scarborough Shoal to build an artificial island to house military facilities…”

A Line in the Sand:

And while putting an emphasis on this one shoal can’t make up for the absence of a clear strategy for the South China Sea and the region when it comes to dealing with Beijing’s coercive and bullying acts in recent years, Scarborough Shoal could offer an opportunity to halt a dangerous trend.

Scarborough ‘Shoaldown’: An Opportunity to Push Back Against China | The National Interest Blog

Is war with China inevitable?

The nightmare come true

War breaks out [in the war game simulation] between North Korea and Japan, and between China and the US. While China continued the militarisation of their artificial islands in the South China Sea, the US responded by increasing their naval and military presence in the South China Sea, eventually leading to a direct military confrontation between the two countries. While the US was distracted and focused on Chinese military activity, North Korea took the opportunity to conduct false-flag operations in order to attack and destroy Japan. Diplomatic solutions did not even seem close to the horizon.

While this was only a crisis simulation, it raises concerns over the current situation. Will war break out between China and the US, or between China and Japan? Will North Korea attack Japan?

Our simulation suggests that if China continues to increase their military and naval activities in the South China Sea, without being transparent and communicating the purpose of their activities, misunderstandings and rising tensions could be the spark that starts a war. Over the East China Sea, on the other hand, while the US and China went at it against each other, North Korea took the opportunity to increase their military activities by launching attacks against an ‘abandoned’ Japan, as the US was too ‘distracted’ about China.

Is war with China inevitable?

Chinese fighter jets seen on contested South China Sea island, evidence of Beijing’s latest bold move | Fox News

The Chinese military has deployed new fighter jets to a contested island in the South China Sea and bolstered their advanced surface-to-air missile system on the island, new satellite imagery provided exclusively to Fox News shows. The move is expected to escalate tensions in the region days before Defense Secretary Ash Carter visits the Philippines, where China’s recent provocative actions in the region are expected to be a point of discussion.

Satellite imagery from ImageSat International (ISI) taken on April 7 and authenticated by U.S. defense officials Tuesday show two Chinese Shenyang J-11 fighter jets on Woody Island. The Chinese J-11s, known as “Flankers” by the Pentagon first entered service in 1998. They are a modified version of the Russian Sukhoi Su-27, comparable to a U.S. Air Force F-15 or Navy F/A-18 Hornet.

Chinese fighter jets seen on contested South China Sea island, evidence of Beijing’s latest bold move | Fox News