“We should be aware that no society is invulnerable and that every society in the history of the world has ultimately collapsed.”
Consider this, if you would: a network of far-flung, powerful, high-tech civilizations closely tied by trade and diplomatic embassies; an accelerating threat of climate change and its pressure on food production; a rising [...]
But in the midst of crisis can come learning. Honeybee collapse has much to teach us about how humans can avoid a similar fate, brought on by the increasingly severe environmental perturbations that challenge modern society.
Honeybee collapse has been particularly vexing because there is no one cause, but rather a thousand little cuts. …
“As anti-Chinese protests roil Vietnam, a domestic pro-democratic opposition is quietly gathering steam.”
HANOI, Vietnam — When journalist Pham Chi Dung quit Vietnam’s Communist Party in December,
he was so angry he published his letter of resignation on the Internet. One of the country’s leading dissidents, Pham accused the party of rampant corruption and [...]
It might take years or even decades, but the cracks are already starting to show
“And without prosperity, the only remaining basis of legitimacy is nationalism.”
There is something very wrong in China at the moment. China, I believe, has just passed an inflection point. Until recently, everything was going its way. Now, however, it seems all its problems are catching up with the Chinese state at the same time.
“… it is not success in the next election that keeps Chinese leaders awake at night but anxieties about social unrest that could potentially bring down the communist regime.”
The United States is supposed to be the world’s superpower not because it is dominating the entire world, but because of its complete domination of the [...]
‘The risk of some local turf dispute exploding into a great power collision will remain alarmingly real.’
The Pacific rim is ever more densely strewn with the toys of war. The risk of some local turf dispute exploding into a great power collision will remain alarmingly real.
Indeed, there is a profound fear in [...]
We’re going to need a great of luck to avoid a nuclear catastrophe – and this can be traced back to the First World War and the death of Frederick III in 1888
As we look forward to the First World War commemorations, three stark conclusions are hard to refute. First, that in the course [...]
Here’s a long, must-read essay by Oxford historian Margaret MacMillan, who looks at the world of 1914 — the start of the Great War — in comparison to our own time. It’s annoyingly formatted, but well worth your time. Excerpts:
‘At Cambridge’s Centre for Risk Studies we model hypothetical chains of events that lead to global economic catastrophe, and a conflict over the barren rocks of the Senkaku Islands (or the Diaoyu Islands as the Chinese call them) closely fits one of our scenarios.’
When China recently declared a new “air defence identification zone” covering [...]