1913 Intel

Threats to the Western World, and Geopolitical Intelligence

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Real Estate Crisis Threatens Spanish Economy

Posted by Matt in July 18th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Economy, Europe, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Spain’s economy is in trouble. Rising property values earlier this decade lured many Spaniards into the market. Now that the bubble has burst, the crisis is quickly spreading through the country’s economy. By Reiner Wandler in Madrid more…

Photo Gallery: Housing Market Crisis
Sliding into Recession: Economic Tempest Overtakes Europe
Housing Market Slump: Britain’s Homebuilders Get Bloodied
Real Estate [...]

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What if Israel does attack Iran?

Posted by Matt in July 17th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Conflict, Economy, Iran, Israel, , , , , , , , , ,

What would happen to the world economy?
Quite simply the economic consequences of such a raid would be cataclysmic.
It isn’t just that Iran is the world’s second largest oil producer, with the third largest global reserves of oil and the second largest of natural gas. The truly significant part is where Iran actually is. Even assuming [...]

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Could Globalization Fail?

Posted by Matt in July 17th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Conflict, Economy, War, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Policies That Spawn Economic Inequality Rather Than Free Trade Could Bring about an Economic Crisis
These developments have raised concerns about the durability of globalization among its supporters. In April 2005, Martin Wolf of “The Financial Times” gave a lecture titled “Will Globalization Survive?” at Washington’s prestigious pro-globalization Institute for International Economics. More recently, Harvard professor [...]

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Quarterly Forecast: Third Quarter 2008

Posted by Matt in July 10th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Economy, Financial, general, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

This is brought to you by JohnMauldin@InvestorsInsight.com. John provides a free daily newsletter that you can sign up for. George Friedman is making this forecast available so that you might sign up for his service.
Read original source with maps included.
Here’s the article:
By George Friedman at Stratfor.Com.
Introduction
For the first half of 2008, Stratfor focused [...]

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China’s Economy Is on Track to Surpass the U.S. by 2035

Posted by Matt in July 8th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in China, Economy, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

A new study assesses both commercial and potential military implications
Keidel forecasts that China’s economy will double by midcentury, fueled by domestic demand, not exports. Potential stumbling blocks to sustained Chinese growth—export concerns, domestic economic instability, inequality and poverty, pollution, social unrest, or even corruption and slow political reform—are unlikely to undermine China’s long-term success, according [...]

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Do natural disasters stimulate economic growth?

Posted by Matt in July 8th, 2008 | 1 comment 
Published in China, Disasters, Economy, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Traditionally, analysts have cautioned that Chinese growth figures should be greeted with skepticism, but according to one school of economic thought, there may be something to the idea that the quake served as a brutal stimulus. In fact, some economists argue that despite the widespread destruction they leave behind, hurricanes, earthquakes, floods, volcanic eruptions and [...]

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Who runs the world?

Posted by Matt in July 3rd, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Economy, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The post-war global institutions have largely worked well. But rising countries and growing threats are challenging their pre-eminence.
That is how many outsiders, not just in the poor world, will see the summit that takes place from July 7th to 9th of the G8, the closest the world has to an informal (ie, self-appointed) steering group. [...]

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Wanted: Skilled Workers for a Growing Economy in Brazil

Posted by Matt in July 2nd, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Brazil, Economy, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

If you’re looking for a job then head to Brazil. That’s where the action is.
From the article:
The engineering shortage here is spreading across industries. The lack of civil and construction engineers threatens infrastructure projects; areas like banking, aircraft manufacture, petrochemicals and metals are all competing for the same top graduates. In the booming oil and [...]

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Half of Europe’s millionaires are Russian

Posted by Matt in June 28th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Economy, Russia, , , , , , , , , , , ,

The number of rich individuals in Russia grew by 14% last year - more than twice the global average. Merrill Lynch says this was fuelled by increased market capitalisation, rising direct foreign investment, strong consumer demand and soaring energy prices.
Jean-Marie Deluermoz of Merrill Lynch said: “The conclusion of our findings this year is that in [...]

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The Economic and Strategic Rise of China and India

Posted by Matt in June 23rd, 2008 | no comment 
Published in China, Economy, India, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

DEVIN STEWART: I’m Devin Stewart, from the Carnegie Council.
Welcome. Thank you very much for coming.
The “rise of the rest” is a huge topic in the academic world, as well as the policy world and the world in general.
What does the rise of other countries besides the United States—the rise economically, politically, and culturally—what does it [...]

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Economic crisis: new starts on new horizons

Posted by Matt in June 19th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Britain, Economy, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

As the economic mood darkens, Britain’s wealth generators are moving abroad. So where exactly is everybody heading, asks Terry Kirby
The exodus is accelerating faster than house prices are falling. Refusing to risk their livelihoods on our spluttering financial situation, or have their spirits crushed by fear of rising crime, a new swath of high-flyers, [...]

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World major economies see new nuclear dawn

Posted by Matt in June 9th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Economy, , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The 11 nations, which together consume two-thirds of world energy said in their joint statement that “a growing number of countries have expressed interest in nuclear power programmes.”
“We are on the verge of a new nuclear age,” John Hutton, Britain’s energy secretary, told reporters.
He argued it was a “positive thing for the world,” arguing that [...]

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The Coming Euroinvasion

Posted by Matt in June 4th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Economy, Europe, U.S., , , , , , , , , , , ,

First they came for the iPods. Then the Europeans snatched up condos in Manhattan. Now they’re coming for the companies.
Why is this happening now? The plummeting U.S. dollar has made the move across the Atlantic affordable for many European companies. And this may be a once-in-a-lifetime chance to relocate: American companies have rarely [...]

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Report Sees Decade of High Food Prices

Posted by Matt in May 29th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Economy, general, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The United Nations report, the global agriculture outlook through 2017, said prices for farm crops will remain substantially higher over the next decade because of fundamental changes in demand, though they will gradually decline from current highs.
Because the recent spike in crop and food prices has been caused in part by temporary factors like drought, [...]

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Seven Questions: How Countries Get Rich

Posted by Matt in May 29th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Economy, , , , ,

Why do some countries succeed when others struggle? That’s what Nobel laureate A. Michael Spence and the Commission on Growth and Development set out to discover in their landmark study of the world’s 13 fastest-growing economies.
Read More…

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The Economic Dimensions of Syria’s Strategic Relations with Iran

Posted by Matt in May 29th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Economy, Iran, Syria, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

An examination of the economic relations between the two countries reveals that, beyond their propaganda value, these relations are of small benefit to Syria and of negligible benefit to Iran. The alliance is driven first and foremost by political and strategic interests, not by economic considerations. While Syria has benefited from Iran’s economic support, this [...]

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Why Do Economists Make Such Dismal Arguments About Trade?

Posted by Matt in May 27th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Economy, Trade, , , , , , , ,

My fellow economists are manning the barricades to defend free trade from a growing public backlash. But with globalization increasingly seen as a threat, our arguments are falling on deaf ears. Maybe it’s time to stop claiming we know what is best for everyone?
Read More…

The Moral Challenge of Globalization - Robert Samuelson, Newsweek

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Globalization’s Aftershocks

Posted by Matt in May 26th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Economy, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

What does the collapse of communism have to do with the credit crunch? According to Italian economist Loretta Napoleoni, author of the best-selling book “Terror Inc: Tracing the Money Behind Global Terrorism,” the fall of the Berlin wall set off a global economic transformation that led directly to the turmoil on Wall Street and will [...]

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The Dollar: Shrinkable but (So Far) Unsinkable

Posted by Matt in May 11th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Economy, Middle East, U.S., , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Now, however, people in international financial circles detect a subtle shifting of the ground in confidence about the dollar. A few years ago, the suggestion that another currency could rival the dollar would have been ridiculed. Today, some economists say the dollar could begin surrendering some of the advantages of dominance to the euro [...]

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The Rise of the Rest (The Post-American World)

Posted by Matt in May 4th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in China, Economy, Military, Nuclear, Russia, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

It’s true China is booming, Russia is growing more assertive, terrorism is a threat. But if America is losing the ability to dictate to this new world, it has not lost the ability to lead. American anxiety springs from something much deeper, a sense that large and disruptive forces are coursing through the world. [...]

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China farms the world to feed a ravenous economy

Posted by Matt in May 3rd, 2008 | no comment 
Published in China, Economy, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

CHALEUNSOUK, Laos: The rice fields that blanketed this remote mountain village for generations are gone. In their place rise neat rows of young rubber trees — their sap destined for China.
All 60 families in this dirt-poor, mud-caked village of gaunt men and hunched women are now growing rubber, like thousands of others across the rugged [...]

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