Nothing in 1914 made war between the great powers of Europe inevitable, and nothing today makes war inevitable between the great powers of Asia. But four features of the European scene in 1914 made it harder for a small crisis to be contained, so that a great war that could easily have been avoided nonetheless [...]
“Xi’s campaign is now so ferocious that some Chinese think they could be on the eve of another Cultural Revolution.”
While all this happens, economic activity is beginning to suffer. Nie Wen, an economist with Shanghai’s Hwabao Trust, tells Reuters that official inaction, caused by the anti-corruption campaign, is “having a big impact on the [...]
Dr John Blaxland from the Australian National University said the MH-17 tragedy could trigger an even deeper conflict in the Ukraine.
“Putin may choose not to back down. He has a lot invested in the Ukraine and if he takes that course it won’t be good,’ Dr Blaxland said.
“The Russian Army is poised on [...]
“Or, to take an even more dangerous precedent, it could resemble the World War I period, when various powers were jockeying for influence and power in the Balkans.”
Neither Obama nor German chancellor Angela Merkel has much appetite for a military confrontation. The last thing Germans want is to get dragged into a conflict that [...]
A majority in the Asian countries polled in a new Pew study say they fear a looming military conflict with China
China’s neighbors fear the worst is yet to come.
Strong-arm tactics and tough talk coming from Beijing in the past year have succeeded in convincing neighboring countries that war may just be around the [...]
” I think there is a real possibility that fighting might be started deliberately by one side or the other, …”
Few people believe that either China or Japan would deliberately start a war in the East China Sea. Most analysts assume that an armed clash could only occur through accident, misunderstanding or [...]
“Recent pessimism suggests that China and the U.S. are already well on the road to great power confrontation.”
Even as the U.S. and China put on happy faces for their annual Strategic and Economic Dialogue, recent articles in U.S. newspapers suggest that the relationship has taken a major (and perhaps irreversible) turn [...]
Now imagine the world of the central scenario: Los Angeles and Detroit look like Manila – abject slums alongside guarded skyscrapers; the UK workforce is a mixture of old white people and newly arrived young migrants; the middle-income job has all but disappeared. If born in 2014, then by 2060 you are either a 45-year-old [...]
“He said China would continue on its trajectory because of popular nationalism, dynamics within the armed forces “and of course also our top leaders’ personal beliefs and strategic personalities”.”
A leading Chinese analyst says political leaders in Beijing are committed to a strategy that will cause territorial disputes to get worse.
But asked about [...]
ARMED troops have taken over territory in Eastern Europe. First-world navies are jockeying for territorial waters in the South China Sea. Barbarous rebel forces are overrunning regime troops in Iraq and Syria.
And the jailing of Australian Peter Greste has shone a spotlight on the unrest in formerly stable countries like Egypt.