More than half of Chinese people think their country could go to war with Japan, according to a recent poll.
The survey, conducted by Japanese non-governmental organisation Genron and state-run newspaper China Daily, revealed that 53.4% of Chinese people believe a conflict will happen, with many thinking it will occur “within the next five years”.
It is currently fashionable to use the centenary of the outbreak of the First World War for all sorts of comparisons reaching from power dynamics in East Asia to the Euro Crisis. As the Ukrainian crisis coincides with the 100th anniversary of the First World War, there is also plenty of opportunity to think about [...]
But Putin would never actually use nuclear weapons, would he?
The scientist and longtime Putin critic Andrei Piontkovsky, a former executive director of the Strategic Studies Center in Moscow a political commentator for the BBC World Service, believes he might.
… In August, Piontkovsky published a [...]
“Cold war dynamics are rushing back, and the danger is that heated rhetoric and symbolic gestures of today can become tripwires for disaster tomorrow, experts say.”
“So, we’re making this turn to self-isolation and a tense new cold war situation, which at any point could erupt into hot war.“
NATO’s plans for a ‘rapid response’ [...]
In this case study, Copeland makes a convincing case that it was the power transition between Germany and Russia–not Germany and Great Britain–that was the real cause of the war. Specifically, he shows that German leaders had long feared that Russia’s greater land mass, resources and population made it a long-term threat to Germany’s survival. [...]
´Perhaps the tipping point has already been reached. If so, all we policy analysts and policymakers are doing now is akin to “rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic.”´
Many analysts in both the U.S. and China have warned of a “tipping point” in China-U.S. relations beyond which the two conclude that conflict is unavoidable [...]
“Throughout history, those power transitions have almost invariably resulted in war — and the US-China relationship is in just such a transition.”
… Or to put it another way, clear patterns recur when two rival nations are locked in a cycle of rise and decline.
Throughout history, those power transitions have almost invariably resulted in [...]
As the World War I centennial is celebrated, repressed thoughts of great power war once again begin to surface. With today’s highly “interconnected global economy” underwritten by a liberal order leading to the “
As Ukraine battles separatists and Russia appears poised to invade, many historians and scholars are warning of ominous similarities to the outbreak of World War I in 1914. But they are ignoring a more [...]
“We should be aware that no society is invulnerable and that every society in the history of the world has ultimately collapsed.”
Consider this, if you would: a network of far-flung, powerful, high-tech civilizations closely tied by trade and diplomatic embassies; an accelerating threat of climate change and its pressure on food production; a rising [...]