Category Archives: Favorites

Are Israel and Hezbollah Preparing for War? | The Nation

Hezbollah’s role in the Syria conflict has transformed and emboldened the Lebanese Shiite movement—and worried Israel.

“I can assure you we have a nice, shiny new anti-aircraft system to show them,” says Samir, referring to Hezbollah’s planned response to an Israeli aerial assault. “We’ve got heavy long-range missiles, directly from the Russians, that can hit anywhere in Israel.” He denied requests to see the weapons, citing security concerns.

Sponsored Ads

While he boasts about Hezbollah’s reinforced military capability, Samir says war with Israel isn’t on the agenda at the moment. But he’s convinced that at some point there will be another round of conflict, one that will be very costly for both sides but one that his forces will win.

Are Israel and Hezbollah Preparing for War? | The Nation

1914 Redux? Growing Asia-Pacific Tensions Demand New US Strategy « Breaking Defense

In this timely op-ed, Maj. Paul Smith, who works in the J-9 of U.S. Pacific Command but is, of course, writing in a personal capacity, compares today’s international security situation to that preceding World War I and sees worrying parallels. He calls for a reassessment of our strategy toward China. Read on. The Editor.

The global environment today eerily resembles that of Europe in the early twentieth century, when a rising tide of nationalism swept through the continent. That nationalism led to increased trade competition, networks of intertwined and complicated alliances and social and political ferment that sparked a war that eventually spread to engulf much of the world in the flames of World War I.

Are we headed towards another global conflict? If so, then where? Most importantly, can this crisis be averted?

1914 Redux? Growing Asia-Pacific Tensions Demand New US Strategy « Breaking Defense

Israel’s Next Big War – Opinion – Forward.com

Israel’s next big war is almost certainly going to pit it against some combination of Iranian, Syrian and Hezbollah forces along its northern borders with Syria and Lebanon. To be sure, an additional confrontation with Hamas in Gaza (Israel’s opponent in the costly 2014 Gaza War. which led to the death of roughly 2,100 Palestinians and 73 Israelis) could also be in the offing. But the forthcoming war in Israel’s North — home to an estimated 1.2 million people — could be closer to the kind of all-out war that the Jewish state hasn’t fought since 1973.

These developments raise weighty questions. Can Putin be persuaded to escort Iran’s forces and proxies out of Syria as part of the Russian endgame there? Will the Israeli threat to target all of Lebanon next time around succeed in deterring another war with Hezbollah, or could it have the unfortunate effect of widening that war? And if war breaks out and Hezbollah rains tens of thousands of missiles over most of Israel, will an all-out Israeli response that targets large portions of both Syria and Lebanon succeed in ending the next war quickly? Will Iranian forces suffer enough damage in the fighting to deter Tehran in the future? Will Israel, too, suffer heavy civilian and infrastructure damage?

Israel’s Next Big War – Opinion – Forward.com

Asia’s Promise Gives Way to Its Growing List of Troubles – WSJ

“If these four worries weren’t bad enough, they pale in comparison with the most profound obstacle to Asia’s continued rise: the risk of war.”

Riddled with economic, political and security woes, today’s Asia is more likely to produce instability and conflict than the freedom and prosperity many once hoped for

But this impressive ascent [of China] has not reconfigured world affairs, and it is unlikely to. The more important Asia has become on the global stage, the more glaring have its flaws become. The region is deeply fractured, threatened by economic stagnation, political upheaval and flashpoints that could trigger new wars. And in our more integrated global society, its troubles could quickly become everyone else’s. Much of the world’s attention in the coming decades will be devoted not just to accommodating Asia’s growing power but to managing and mitigating its many serious problems.

If these four worries weren’t bad enough, they pale in comparison with the most profound obstacle to Asia’s continued rise: the risk of war. Increasingly, the region is regressing to a 19th-century brand of power politics in which might makes right. Such realpolitik is hardly reassuring in a neighborhood that includes five nuclear-armed powers: China, India, North Korea, Pakistan and Russia.

 

Asia’s Promise Gives Way to Its Growing List of Troubles – WSJ

The Autumn of Western Civilization

Dangerously jaded and cynical, the West is rudderless and adrift in existential crisis.

The West seems only able to masochistically focus on its past sins and imperfections?—?“We’re so guilty and morally compromised. Just look at all the bad we’ve done: slavery, Hiroshima, Iraq, Vietnam and beyond . . . We don’t deserve to lead the world.” Meanwhile, over the weekend, Sergei Lavrov, Russia’s Foreign Minister, called for a “post-West world order” in a speech. The only atmosphere in which he could express such a sentiment is one in which the West utterly lacks the will to defend itself and its values on the world stage. The fact that Lavrov was bold enough to express such a goal is a dire warning sign to the decadent West: our world order is crumbling.

The Autumn of Western Civilization

New Iran Sanctions Risk the Threat of War | The National Interest

Moreover, reimposing additional sanctions or other “counter-measures” would likely “lower direct investment and capital inflows, and disconnect Iran from the global financial system.”

That’s a recipe for bolstering the voices of Iran’s hawks and exacerbating already existing feelings among the people that our end of the deal is not being held up. They’ve reduced their stockpile of enriched uranium by over 95 percent, cut their number of active centrifuges by two-thirds and subjected what is left of the program to the most invasive inspections regime in the world. If the reciprocal economic relief we promised isn’t forthcoming, the survival of the deal is endangered.

New Iran Sanctions Risk the Threat of War | The National Interest

Iran Strengthening Hezbollah, Palestinian Terrorists for Possible Conflict with Israel

Iran is responding to President Donald Trump’s warnings against the Tehran regime by strengthening Hezbollah and Gaza-based terror groups as well as allying itself with Russia in exchange for economic and military privileges, an Iranian military source said.

… the Islamic Republic was mulling its response to “increasing threats by America,” which have the potential to turn into an “extensive military confrontation.”

[One potential response to “increasing threats by America”:]

“A new war between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon, as well as with Palestinian groups, will completely divert global public attention from Iran and focus it on Israel. Such a war could become the focal point of the first four-year term of Donald Trump, and prevent an opportunity to fight Iran,” the source was quoted as saying.

Iran Strengthening Hezbollah, Palestinian Terrorists for Possible Conflict with Israel

Ex-NATO commander says Russia, China will surpass U.S. military – NY Daily News

A prominent retired general said Sunday that the U.S. military was in decline and indicated that not even President Trump’s proposed $54 billion increase in defense spending was likely to prevent it from soon being surpassed by those of Russia and China.

Former NATO Commander Gen. Wesley Clark, a Democratic presidential candidate in 2004, told John Catsimatidis on the “Cats Roundtable” radio program on AM 970 in New York that, “if you look at what’s happened over 25 years, the United States has mostly put its military modernization on warm idle.”

Ex-NATO commander says Russia, China will surpass U.S. military – NY Daily News

Palestinian terror leader urges Iran to join ‘all-out war’ on Israel, then Jordan | The Times of Israel

The head of a Palestinian terrorist group in Lebanon said he would like to see Iranian soldiers take part in an “all-out war” to liberate Palestine, and that the future Palestinian conquest would include an invasion of both Israel and Jordan.

Jibril spoke of spoke of creating “an axis of resistance” against Israel that would include Syria, Iraq, Iran and Hezbollah — all devoted to “the liberation of Palestine from the Mediterranean Sea to the Jordan River.”

He added that “The war with this enemy will be an all-out war… in the Golan, in South Lebanon, in the Galilee…[and] will be waged from Rosh Hanikra to Aqaba.

“Hezbollah is getting ready for it, and so are we.”

Palestinian terror leader urges Iran to join ‘all-out war’ on Israel, then Jordan | The Times of Israel

Is a new Middle East war on Israel’s horizon? – BBC News

Professor Asher Susser, a senior fellow at the Center for Middle Eastern Studies at Tel Aviv University, summed it up in one sentence.

“The changes in Syria,” he told me, “have brought Iran closer to Israel’s borders than ever.”

He told me that at least in theory it creates “the possibility of Iranian-Hezbollah co-operation not only along the border between Israel and Lebanon but along the border between Israel and Syria as well”.

In his view there is “a dangerous potential for a long border from the Mediterranean, across Lebanon and Syria, with Hezbollah and Iran at very close quarters with Israel.

“Israel,” he stressed, “has never faced that kind of situation on its northern border before.”

Is a new Middle East war on Israel’s horizon? – BBC News

Recently Iran threatened war with Israel over settlement activity:

Iranian Revolutionary Guards Spokesman: Settlements Will Spark War That Will Lead to Israel’s Destruction

Ongoing Israeli settlement construction will spark a war that will lead to the Jewish state’s “complete destruction,” an Iranian military official said on Thursday, the Tehran regime-aligned Tasnim news agency reported.

Iranian Revolutionary Guards Spokesman: Settlements Will Spark War That Will Lead to Israel’s Destruction | Jewish & Israel News Algemeiner.com