1913 Intel

Threats to the Western World, and Geopolitical Intelligence

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Iran’s Nuclear Program

Posted by Matt in July 18th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Iran, Nuclear, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Iran’s leaders have worked to pursue nuclear energy technology since the 1950s, spurred by the launch of U.S. President Dwight D. Eisenhower’s Atoms for Peace program. It made steady progress, with Western help, through the early 1970s. But concern over Iranian intentions followed by the upheaval of the Islamic Revolution in 1979 effectively ended outside [...]

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Using Bombs to Stave Off War

Posted by Matt in July 18th, 2008 | 1 comment 
Published in Iran, Israel, War, , , , , , , , , , , , ,

ISRAEL will almost surely attack Iran’s nuclear sites in the next four to seven months — and the leaders in Washington and even Tehran should hope that the attack will be successful enough to cause at least a significant delay in the Iranian production schedule, if not complete destruction, of that country’s nuclear program. Because [...]

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What if Israel does attack Iran?

Posted by Matt in July 17th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Conflict, Economy, Iran, Israel, , , , , , , , , ,

What would happen to the world economy?
Quite simply the economic consequences of such a raid would be cataclysmic.
It isn’t just that Iran is the world’s second largest oil producer, with the third largest global reserves of oil and the second largest of natural gas. The truly significant part is where Iran actually is. Even assuming [...]

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Nations with vast oil wealth gaining clout

Posted by Matt in July 17th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Iran, Oil, Russia, Venezuela, , , , , , , , , , , ,

Some autocratic governments are challenging U.S. policies and silencing domestic dissent. But their increased spending raises the risk of inflation, which could erode popular support.
But some of the most obvious effects are in countries whose leaders are most hostile to the United States: Venezuela’s populist President Hugo Chavez, Iran’s stringent Islamic rulers and Russia’s growing [...]

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‘Iran missiles could hit US by 2015′

Posted by Matt in July 16th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Iran, Missiles, U.S., , , , , ,

“If you look at the assessment by the Intel community, they say that by about 2015, 2017, in that timeframe, they may even have a missile that can reach the United States, which is an ICBM (Intercontinental Ballistic Missile) class missile,” he added as quoted by Reuters.
Read More…

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U.S. says Iran has missile that could hit Europe

Posted by Matt in July 16th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Europe, Iran, Missiles, , , , , , , , ,

The Pentagon said on Tuesday that Iran has the ability to launch a ballistic missile capable of hitting sections of eastern and southern Europe.
Air Force Lt. Gen. Trey Obering, director of the Missile Defence Agency, told reporters he believes Iran now has a missile with a range of 2,000 km, but he declined to say [...]

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High military tension over Iranian presence on strategic Lebanese peak

Posted by Matt in July 14th, 2008 | 1 comment 
Published in Iran, Israel, Middle East, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

DEBKAfile’s military sources report that Israel has placed its military and air forces on its northern borders on high alert after Iran and Syria ignored Jerusalem’s warning, relayed to Washington, that the continued presence of Iranian, Syrian and Hizballah officers on the strategic Lebanese Sannine peak may spark a military clash.
Monday, July 14, two days [...]

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Iran Orders Secret Network of Civilian Companies to Resume Nuclear Weapons Production

Posted by Matt in July 14th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Iran, Nuclear, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The private front companies, hidden on the outskirts of Teheran, are designed to operate undetected by the United Nations nuclear inspection teams. Concerns that nuclear weapon production will continue despite Iran’s proclamations of peaceful use only have circulated among Western experts.
One of the front companies will be located in Amir Abad, western Tehran, intelligence sources [...]

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Iran and Russia sign major oil deal

Posted by Matt in July 14th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Energy, Iran, Russia, Unhelpful, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Gazprom is a busy beaver these days. First Libya, then Iran. This probably falls under the strategic unhelpfulness category.
From the article:
A few days after French oil giant Total withdrew from its planned multi-billion dollar gas investment project in Iran, Russia’s Gazprom is entering the market in a multi-billion-dollar deal.
Gazprom’s Chief Executive Alexei Miller met on [...]

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Greece assists Israel as war with Iran looms

Posted by Matt in July 14th, 2008 | 1 comment 
Published in Iran, Israel, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Greece has the same Russian S-300 ground-to-air radar systems as Iran. A June 2008 exercise with Israel may be preparation for strike.
While the Israeli-Greek air tactics were amply reported in the world’s media after initial reports in the New York Times, the pivotal information from Greece’s S-300 batteries has remained below the radar. By swarming [...]

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Report: Pentagon official says Israel has ‘amber light’ for Iran strike

Posted by Matt in July 13th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Iran, Israel, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

U.S. President George W. Bush has given Israel an “amber light” to begin preparations for a military attack on Iran, a Pentagon official told The Sunday Times this week.
“Amber means get on with your preparations, stand by for immediate attack and tell us when you’re ready,” the official said.
The official told the Times that Bush [...]

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Plagued by optimism

Posted by Matt in July 13th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Iran, Israel, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Like Camus’ Oranians, who refused to believe in the plague, we are in grave danger of underestimating Iran
Have some commentators responded to the Iranian regime’s threat to the state of Israel in the same way as Oranians? The question is raised in a new study (PDF) by Joshua Teitelbaum, an academic who lays out exactly [...]

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Iranian Early Warning Station, Anti-Air Base on Lebanese Peak

Posted by Matt in July 12th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Iran, Middle East, Syria, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

In the past few weeks, Hizballah at the behest of Iran and Syria has commandeered the 7,800-foot Mt. Sannine, a strategic asset capable of determining the outcome of the next war, as DEBKA-Net-Weekly 356 revealed.
Radar-guided missile positions and an early warning station have since been deployed on its summit, which are capable of monitoring and [...]

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Israel and Iran: Be very afraid, please

Posted by Matt in July 12th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Iran, Israel, War, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

AMERICA and Israel often hint at military action to stop Iran’s suspected nuclear-weapons programme. The latest rumblings, however, may be more serious. The atmosphere has been charged by a combination of factors: Iran’s expanding uranium-enrichment programme, faltering diplomatic efforts to halt it, a dying American administration and a nervous Israel. Throw in the latest war [...]

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Arabs fear fallout of nuclear conflict

Posted by Matt in July 11th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Iran, Middle East, Nuclear, , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Nervous Arab states fear a war in the Gulf but a nuclear-armed Iran is an even greater concern.
Iranian retaliation against oilfields, refineries and desalination plants in the Gulf, especially in eastern Saudi Arabia, is an obvious worry. Tehran has gone on the record as threatening to close the Straits of Hormuz, the choke point for [...]

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U.S. and Israel differ on range of Iran missiles

Posted by Matt in July 11th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Iran, Missiles, , , , , , , , ,

The U.S. believes the Iranian story that they tested a new Shihab-3 missile with a range of 2,000 kilometers. The Israeli version is that the Iranians tested an older version with a range 1,300 kilometers.
From the article:
A leading Israeli analyst, however, asserted that the Shihab-3 launched on Wednesday was an older model with a range [...]

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More Iran Missiles Launched, Israel Shows Off New Spy Plane

Posted by Matt in July 10th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Iran, Israel, , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Iran claimed to have launched a fresh battery of missiles in war games near the strategic Strait of Hormuz in a muscle-flexing exhibition meant to demonstrate its willingness and ability to defend itself against an invasion by Israel or the United States.
And Israel put its latest spy plane on display, which it claims can track [...]

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The New Era

Posted by Matt in July 10th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Conflict, Iran, Israel, U.S., , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

By Peter Zeihan
As students of geopolitics, we at Stratfor tend not to get overexcited when this or that plan for regional peace is tabled. Many of the world’s conflicts are geographic in nature, and changes in government or policy only rarely supersede the hard topography that we see as the dominant sculptor of the international [...]

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Will Iran’s missile test force the region to war?

Posted by Matt in July 9th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Iran, Israel, War, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

But we seem to keep arriving at them anyway. The news of Iran’s test Wednesday and the seemingly unstoppable nature of its nuclear program made me wonder whether we are close to another such tipping point. And whether it’s too late to turn back. Tehran’s test-firing of nine long- and medium-range missiles was intended to [...]

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Analysis: US and Iran appear on collision course

Posted by Matt in July 9th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Iran, U.S., , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The United States and Iran appear on a collision course in the Middle East, firing off mixed messages that are raising world tension and roiling oil markets amid fears that an eventual confrontation may be military.
Both insist war is not imminent, but their sharp words and provocative actions are stoking uncertainty as Washington and Tehran [...]

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As Iran Tests Missile Fleet, Experts Map High-Tech Israeli Attack

Posted by Matt in July 9th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Iran, Israel, Nuclear, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

An attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities would be far more extensive than the 1980 raid. Some of the would-be targets for the Israeli Air Force (IAF) are hardened with concrete coverings and underground rooms. Dozens of planes would have to dodge radar and antiaircraft missile batteries to deliver multiple payloads of penetrating warheads—bought from the [...]

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