Category Archives: Israel

Mystery Blasts in Damascus: An Israeli Intelligence Analysis

Tehran has learned from bitter experience that the Mezzeh airport in Damascus is under close surveillance by Israeli intelligence. As a result, it no longer uses the airfield.

Instead, Iran flies arms shipments for Hezbollah to Beirut using commercial aircraft, which Israel prefers not to attack. When shipments come by land, they take a detour. Coming overland through Iraq to northwestern Syria, the the consignments are picked up and transferred to Lebanon by sea.

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So, if an Israeli F-35 air strike on the Damascus airport should be confirmed, its target would not have been Iranian-Hezbollah military supplies.

Mystery Blasts in Damascus: An Israeli Intelligence Analysis

Israel Attacks Hezbollah Missiles in Mezzeh – ASHARQ AL-AWSAT English

The Syrian regime accused Israel of carrying out strikes on the Mezzeh military airport near Damascus at dawn Friday as Israeli unofficial sources said the attack targeted missiles on their way to Lebanon’s “Hezbollah.”

As usual, the Syrian regime accused Israel of standing behind the strikes.

“Syrian army command and armed forces warn Israel of the repercussions of the flagrant attack,” Syria’s news agency SANA quoted military sources as saying.

The Syrian regime’s Foreign Ministry condemned the missile attack in two letters to the U.N. secretary general and the president of the U.N. Security Council, and called on the international community to “punish the Israeli aggressor.”

Israel Attacks Hezbollah Missiles in Mezzeh – ASHARQ AL-AWSAT English

Syrian army says Israel fires rockets at air base near Damascus | Reuters

Syrian army command said on Friday that Israeli artillery fired rockets at a major military airbase outside Damascus, and warned Israel of repercussions for what it called a “flagrant” attack.

Explosions were heard in the capital, and residents in the southwest suburbs saw a large plume of smoke rising from the area, while video footage downloaded on social media showed flames leaping from parts of Mezzah military airport’s compound.

Syrian army says Israel fires rockets at air base near Damascus | Reuters

Iran Steps Up Threats to Israel, U.S.

Iran’s threats against Israel and the US are becoming bolder and louder. Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, is now repeatedly threatening Israel’s annihilation relatively soon.

According to Iran’s Press TV, Khamenei recently stated:

“The Zionist regime — as we have already said — will cease to exist in the next 25 years if there is a collective and united struggle by the Palestinians and the Muslims against the Zionists.”

In addition, Iranian officials are warning President-elect Donald Trump that if he makes any wrong move, it would lead to a World War, wiping Israel from the face of earth and destroying the smaller Gulf states.

Iranian leaders are adopting their classic tactics and strategy of threatening in advance — and frequently — probably to obtain concessions, push the next US administration to pursue policies of appeasement, and, more importantly, to drive the US to abandon Israel.

Iran Steps Up Threats to Israel, U.S.

Israel’s continued preemptive strikes against Hezbollah could lead to a war no one wants

According to reports coming from Israel, the IDF would continue to use preemptive operations, such as the “unconfirmed” attacks on Syrian armories and on truck convoys hauling advanced weapons across the Lebanese border, to be handed to Hezbollah.

IDFF is reportedly “cautiously optimistic” in its assessment of the security challenges of 2017, expecting to get to the other side “without having to wage major combat operations,” writes DefenseNews‘ Barbara Opall-Rome, after an interview with a senior defense official in Tel Aviv. However, she quotes the same official, “Today, the most probable war is one in which both sides didn’t want it, but due to the dynamic of escalation, we might find ourselves in it.”

Israel’s continued preemptive strikes against Hezbollah could lead to a war no one wants

Hamas slams ‘barbaric’ Israel over decision not to return terrorists’ bodies | The Times of Israel

The Hamas terrorist group has slammed Jerusalem’s decision to stop returning bodies of Hamas militants killed while carrying out attacks, calling the directive “evidence of criminality and barbaric occupation” by Israel.

In a renewed effort to pressure Hamas into returning two Israeli civilians and the remains of two soldiers, the high-level security cabinet on Sunday ruled that Hamas terrorists killed while carrying out attacks against Israeli civilians or security forces would be buried quietly, instead of being returned to their families.

Hamas slams ‘barbaric’ Israel over decision not to return terrorists’ bodies | The Times of Israel

Iranian Revolutionary Guards Spokesman: Settlements Will Spark War That Will Lead to Israel’s Destruction | Algemeiner.com

An Iranian military official said that Israeli settlement construction could spark a war leading to the destruction of Israel.

Israel has just announced plans to move forward with the building of thousands of new homes (ultimately 5,600 homes) in East Jerusalem. East Jerusalem is predominately Palestinian.

A key point not to ignore is the remark about war leading to the destruction of Israel. This is not an idle boast. Iran is seriously positioning it’s allies to destroy Israel. This will likely happen through hundreds of precision guided missiles launched each day and the likelihood of chemical weapons use on Israeli cities.

Ongoing Israeli settlement construction will spark a war that will lead to the Jewish state’s “complete destruction,” an Iranian military official said on Thursday, the Tehran regime-aligned Tasnim news agency reported.

A day after US Secretary of State John Kerry assailed Israel’s settlement policies and less than week after the UN Security Council passed an anti-settlement resolution, General Ramezan Sharif — a spokesman for the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps — stated that further settlement building would “definitely provoke a reaction.”

Iranian Revolutionary Guards Spokesman: Settlements Will Spark War That Will Lead to Israel’s Destruction | Algemeiner.com

A Defiant Israel Vows to Expand Its Settlements – The New York Times

Undeterred by a resounding defeat at the United Nations, Israel’s government said Monday that it would move ahead with thousands of new homes in East Jerusalem and warned nations against further action, declaring that Israel does not “turn the other cheek.”

Just a few days after the United Nations Security Council voted to condemn Israeli settlements, Jerusalem’s municipal government signaled that it would not back down: The city intends to approve 600 housing units in the predominantly Palestinian eastern section of town on Wednesday in what a top official called a first installment on 5,600 new homes.

A Defiant Israel Vows to Expand Its Settlements – The New York Times

Tasnim News Agency – Settlement Activities to Bring About Israel’s End: IRGC Spokesman

The Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) spokesman reminded the Tel Aviv regime of a certain defeat it will have to suffer in a war that may break out as a result of pressing ahead with illegal settlement construction in Palestine, saying it will result in Israel’s annihilation.

Tasnim News Agency – Settlement Activities to Bring About Israel’s End: IRGC Spokesman

Connecting the dots

Should chemical weapons be used on Israeli cities then a nuclear response is very likely. However, an Israeli nuclear response will significantly lower the threshold for or even act as a catalyst for a great power nuclear war (World War III) between America, Russia and China.

In the following video, George Friedman discusses how instabilities reign from Europe to Asia. This was last seen in 1945. While we don’t know what is going to happen, the signs are ominous. Great things are possible. The world is going to change because it has to.

George Friedman, Founder & Chairman @ Geopolitical Futures, Keynotes #BPOG 2016

George Friedman on the Global Crises

Will the great stress that exists in the world today change smoothly? Well, based on the number of articles discussing the possibility of world war III, I would not count on a smooth change. This suggests that something like a great-power war now moves from the unthinkable to the thinkable.

How World War III became possible – Vox

There is a growing chorus of political analysts, arms control experts, and government officials who are sounding the alarm, trying to call the world’s attention to its drift toward disaster. The prospect of a major war, even a nuclear war, in Europe has become thinkable, they warn, even plausible.

What they describe is a threat that combines many of the hair-trigger dangers and world-ending stakes of the Cold War with the volatility and false calm that preceded World War I — a comparison I heard with disturbing frequency.

They describe a number of ways that an unwanted but nonetheless major war, like that of 1914, could break out in the Eastern European borderlands. The stakes, they say, could not be higher: the post–World War II peace in Europe, the lives of thousands or millions of Eastern Europeans, or even, in a worst-case scenario that is remote but real, the nuclear devastation of the planet.

How World War III became possible – Vox

The article points out how a major war could break out in Europe. But the real point is that a major war is no longer unthinkable. We are sitting at a tipping point. We sit at a tipping point with both Russia and China. Given that Syria, Iran and Hezbollah are allies of Russia, should Israel use nuclear weapons to destroy one or more of them then serious trouble could ensure.

Here’s how World War Three could start tomorrow

It is no longer politic to avoid talking about these trends. It may seem like a fear of the distant past or the realm of fiction, but if there is a hope of averting such great power fights, a frank and open discussion about their real risks of and likely horrors is needed.

Not persuaded? At least weigh the statement of a Chinese military officer in an official regime publication last year.

“The world war is a form of war that the whole world should face up to”, he said. It is a statement to be both considered and chilled by.

Here’s how World War Three could start tomorrow

We sit watching a great mountain that is about to avalanche. Events in the Middle East just might be the catalyst that starts it.

Fearing UN vote on principles of Palestinian statehood, PM ‘reaching out to Trump’ | The Times of Israel

Netanyahu’s fear is that Secretary of State John Kerry will set out principles or parameters for a Palestinian state in a speech that he has said he will deliver in the next few days on his Middle East vision. The prime minister fears that, in its final days, the Obama administration will seek to have a resolution enshrining those parameters adopted by the UN Security Council, the report said.

France is to hold a conference on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict on January 15, and Netanyahu expects that Kerry will attend, that the Middle East Quartet — the US, UN, Russia and EU — will coordinate their positions at that summit, and that they will then turn to the Security Council in the very last days of the Obama presidency, a Channel 10 report further suggested.

Fearing UN vote on principles of Palestinian statehood, PM ‘reaching out to Trump’ | The Times of Israel

Hamas’s deployment at the Gaza border carries echoes of South Lebanon | The Times of Israel

The Islamists are positioned just across the fence, better trained and better equipped than in the past. And it won’t take much to shatter the current calm

For now, Hamas is restrained and calm. It is even stopping Gazan operatives of Salafia Jihadia who are attempting to fire rockets at Israel. But this period of calm will likely end one of these days. That end could come as the result of a rocket attack or simply because of the severe economic situation in the Gaza Strip. In such a case, Israel will encounter a far tougher and stronger adversary than the one it faced in the summer of 2014.

Hamas’s deployment at the Gaza border carries echoes of South Lebanon | The Times of Israel

Israeli Military Official Says Low Chances of War in 2017 – ABC News

The Middle East regional chaos has weakened Israel’s enemies and created a low probability of war involving the country in 2017, a senior Israeli military officer said on Wednesday.

The official said the army has concluded that neither Hezbollah militants in Lebanon nor Hamas militants in the Gaza Strip are interested in sparking a new conflict with Israel.

Hezbollah is bogged down in the Syrian civil war and has sustained heavy losses, while Hamas is deterred and in crisis mode having lost much of its support from the outside, he added.

Still, he cautioned that an unexpected “dynamic of escalation” could always risk sparking a new conflict.

Israeli Military Official Says Low Chances of War in 2017 – ABC News