Category Archives: War

Hezbollah says future Israel war could draw fighters from Iran, Iraq, elsewhere | Reuters

Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah said on Friday that a future war waged by Israel against Syria or Lebanon [or Gaza] could draw thousands of fighters from countries including Iran and Iraq.

“This doesn’t mean there are states that might intervene directly. But this could open the way for thousands, even hundreds of thousands of fighters from all over the Arab and Islamic world to participate – from Iraq, Yemen, Iran, Afghanistan and Pakistan,” he said.

Sponsored Ads

He said any Israeli war with Lebanon or the Gaza Strip, which is run by the Palestinian Islamist movement Hamas, would be “very costly” and that Israel would not be able to win.

Hezbollah says future Israel war could draw fighters from Iran, Iraq, elsewhere | Reuters

Here we get a clue that an Israel-Gaza (Hamas) war will be joined quickly by Hezbollah and apparently fighters from all over the Islamic world. Right now the clock is ticking toward a war between Israel and Gaza.

To Deal with the Russians, America Must Think Like the Russians | The National Interest

The risk of nuclear miscalculation is now higher than at any time since the Cuban Missile Crisis, due to increasingly lethal technology and the breakdown in almost all official mechanisms of bilateral communication since Russia’s annexation of Crimea. …”

This June, at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, Vladimir Putin angrily denounced the “hysteria” in Washington and in the U.S. media. Again, bitter accusations and scorn abound. Both U.S. and Russian experts now agree that once again there is a heightened risk of unintended nuclear war—much higher than in the early 1980s—but this danger is not as widely perceived as it was back then. There is less awareness, less alarm. Few people know as much about nuclear policy as William J. Perry, a former secretary of defense. He has been on a crusade this year, warning, “We are starting a new Cold War. We seem to be sleepwalking into this new nuclear arms race. . . . We and the Russians and others don’t understand what we are doing.”

To Deal with the Russians, America Must Think Like the Russians | The National Interest

One of the reasons that the risk is higher is that the people are different today from those during the Cuban Missile Crisis in 1962. The people today have not directly experienced the horror of a major war. They don’t fear war like the people in 1962.

As Syria’s war enters its endgame, the risk of a US-Russia conflict escalates | The Guardian

Not for the first time there are dire warnings of a direct US-Russia confrontation in Syria that could escalate, in the worst case, into a third world war. What is going on has echoes of the proxy conflicts fought by the superpowers during the latter stages of the cold war, but with added elements of risk because the accepted rules and formal channels of communication to a large extent no longer exist.

The latest alarm sounded after US forces shot down a Syrian government warplane and Russia said it would in future treat any US plane flying west of the Euphrates as a potential target. Russia also announced that it was cutting the Russia-US hotline designed to prevent accidental clashes in the Syrian airspace. The US said it had acted in defence of opposition forces fighting Islamic State. Russia asked on what authority it was striking against the government of a foreign state

As Syria’s war enters its endgame, the risk of a US-Russia conflict escalates | The Guardian

Avigdor Liberman: Abbas is dragging Israel into war with Hamas – Jerusalem Post

Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas will halt all financial payments to Gaza in the future and in so doing push Israel into war with Hamas, Defense Minister Avigdor Liberman warned on Thursday morning as he addressed the annual Herzliya Conference.

With regard to the electricity, Abbas “has not made a one time reduction. He will continue to reduce [electricity] payments and to stop playmates all together in a few months both for the fuel and the medicine and payments of [civic salaries],” Liberman said.

Abbas has taken this step unilaterally without consulting Israel, Egypt or Jordan, he said.

Avigdor Liberman: Abbas is dragging Israel into war with Hamas – Jerusalem Post

Syria: Downing of drones threatens to draw U.S., Iran further into war

“The underlying problem is Iranian expansionism,” said James Jeffrey, a former U.S. ambassador to Iraq with extensive experience in the region. The Iranians are worried about who will fill the power vacuum after the defeat of the Islamic State, which is steadily losing territory, he said.

Jeffrey said the administration is now grappling with developing a new strategy that takes into account efforts to blunt Iran’s actions to expand its influence at the same time the U.S. military is focused on defeating the Islamic State, also known as ISIS.

“They believe Iran must be contained, but what they haven’t worked out is the implications of that,” Jeffrey said.

Syria: Downing of drones threatens to draw U.S., Iran further into war

The stakes in Syria now include US-Russia war | New York Post

What’s wryly striking is that the Russians, who see themselves as master strategists, are blind to the way Iran has been manipulating them: Iran got us to fight ISIS and may get Putin to fight us. Guess who wins, either way?

This could spin out of control very, very fast. If it does, we have to win rapidly and decisively — and keep it within Syria.

What happens now? Our military is war-gaming contingencies to ensure that, should the Russians fire on us, we’ll be prepared. We cannot let the Russians dictate where we fly and who we can protect. We’ve gone out of our way to avoid confrontations with Putin’s war criminals, but there’s a limit. And we may be about to reach it.

The stakes in Syria now include US-Russia war | New York Post

Are China and the US destined for war?

By 431 BCE, under the leadership of Pericles, Athens had become a formidable maritime power whose empire extended across the eastern Mediterranean region. Its challenge to the supremacy of Sparta, the warrior nation of the Peloponnesian peninsula, was obvious. According to historian and general Thucydides:

Growth of the power of Athens, and the alarm which this inspired in Sparta, made [the Peloponnesian] war inevitable.

Graham Allison’s new book, Destined for War, suggests a modern parallel in a rising power (Athens/China) causing fear in an established power (Sparta/the US) in which the necessary trust in one another is lost, and war becomes inevitable.

Are China and the US destined for war?

The Syrian War Enters a New Phase – and We’re In It

Interactions between Assad’s forces and the U.S. have spiked just over the last month, both near ISIS’s capital of Raqqa — where the plane was shot down — and further south where the U.S. has carried out three “self-defense” strikes and shot down a Syrian drone. But instead of pulling back, Syrian forces kept coming for American-allied groups.

That should tell us just how badly Assad and his Russian allies want to prevent U.S., Syrian opposition, and Kurdish forces from taking control of any sizable chunk of Syria. Washington, remember, wants ISIS deprived of the safe zone where, it believes, the terrorist group is developing laptop bombs and promoting – if not actually masterminding – terror attacks in the region, Europe, and beyond. But our Syrian and Kurdish allies want something quite different – to build up their own power against Assad’s regime, and then expand into other parts of Syria.

So Assad cannot allow them to win. That means we should not expect the loss of one airplane to deter him, any more than the bombing of an airbase did earlier this spring. He will keep coming.

The Syrian War Enters a New Phase – and We’re In It

America’s Collision Course With China – The New York Times

The Chinese superpower has arrived. Could America’s failure to grasp this reality pull the United States and China into war? Here are two books that warn of that serious possibility. Howard W. French’s “Everything Under the Heavens: How the Past Helps Shape China’s Push for Global Power” does so through a deep historical and cultural study of the meaning of China’s rise from the point of view of the Chinese themselves. Graham Allison’s “Destined for War: America, China, and Thucydides’s Trap” makes his arguments through historical case studies that illuminate the pressure toward military confrontation when a rising power challenges a dominant one. Both books urge us to be ready for a radically different world order, one in which China presides over Asia, even as Chinese politicians tell a public story about “peaceful rise.” The books argue persuasively that adjusting to this global power shift will require great skill on both sides if conflagration is to be avoided.

America’s Collision Course With China – The New York Times

Four reasons why Gaza’s electricity crisis could spark a war – Israel News – Jerusalem Post

There have been three large scale military operations between Israel and Hamas since the Islamist terror group came to power in a bloody coup in June 2007, the last one being Operation Protective Edge in the summer of 2014. But the group’s rule over the Gaza Strip has not been significantly challenged by its residents. While both Israel and Hamas have stated that they are not looking for conflict, the current fuel crisis to hit the Strip–residents have less than 4 hours of electricity daily– has led to concerns, including by senior IDF officials, that a confrontation might break out if one side miscalculates the other side’s actions.

Four reasons why Gaza’s electricity crisis could spark a war – Israel News – Jerusalem Post