Category Archives: War

Trump Must Change Policy in Asia to Avoid a War with China | The National Interest

Realist international relations scholars like John Mearsheimer and Robert Kagan affirm the United States and China are drifting closer to a destructive confrontation. This is because the ability and willingness of China to reshape the international order are increasing, just as the United States’ capacity to preserve the status quo is declining.

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Of course, in our current era of globalization, economic interdependence will hinder any conflict between China and the United States from going “hot.” It is the interest of both countries to avoid war, which would entail catastrophic costs to both sides and could easily be the largest war in world history. Top decisionmakers on both sides know this. The Chinese foreign minister, for instance, recently stated that “there cannot be conflict between China and the United States because both will lose, and both sides cannot afford that.”

Trump Must Change Policy in Asia to Avoid a War with China | The National Interest

Israeli bill redefining maritime border with Lebanon labelled a ‘declaration of war’ | The Independent

Lebanese politicians have reacted with anger over a proposed Israeli parliament bill which would redraw the current highly sensitive maritime border with Lebanon.

Israel is seeking to annex a zone of 860 square kilometres (330 square miles) of disputed waters between the two neighbours which is believed to be rich in natural gas reserves, Israeli newspaper Yedioth Ahronoth reported on Monday.

The move comes after Lebanon’s government – formed at the end of 2016 after two years of political deadlock – recently advertised commercial tenders for oil and gas exploration in the same stretch of the Mediterranean.

Israeli bill redefining maritime border with Lebanon labelled a ‘declaration of war’ | The Independent

Mashaal: We are in open war with Israel – Jerusalem Post

Chief Khaled Mashaal said on Monday that Hamas is an “open war” with Israel, in the senior Palestinian leader’s first response to the mysterious assassination of Mazen Fuqaha, a top Hamas militant.

“We were and we still are in an open war with criminal enemy,” Mashaal declared, speaking to a memorial service for Fukaha in Gaza via video broadcast.

Mashaal: We are in open war with Israel – Jerusalem Post

Mashal on assassination: ‘We are at open war’ against Israel | Ynetnews News

Following the assassination of Hamas commander Mazan Fukha, leader Khaled Mashal threatened on Monday that his organization was in “an open war against the criminal enemy.”

“The enemy has uprooted a hero from our heroes in Gaza,” Mashal said during a memorial ceremony for Fukha in a speech broadcast to Al-Qubaisa Square in Gaza City from Qatar, where he resides.

Mashal on assassination: ‘We are at open war’ against Israel | Ynetnews News

Gaza: Israel’s war drums are getting louder | | Al Jazeera

The timing and the tactic of Faqha’s killing raise questions about the possibility of another conflagration between Israel and Hamas in the Gaza Strip. Palestinian factions in Gaza agree unanimously that Israel was behind the assassination. Israel had accused Faqha of planning attacks against it from the occupied West Bank while he lived in the coastal enclave. Israel has neither confirmed nor denied involvement.

Gaza: Israel’s war drums are getting louder | | Al Jazeera

Killing of a Hamas Leader Could Signal a New Conflict With Israel – The New York Times

After spending a day at the beach, Mazen Fuqaha, a commander of Hamas’s military wing, dropped his wife and children at the entrance to their Gaza apartment block and went to park his car.

His life ended in a garage, where he was found dead in the driver’s seat of his car after sunset on Friday, shot four times in the head from close range. Hamas, the Islamic militant group that controls the Palestinian coastal territory of Gaza, blamed Israel. The group presented no evidence but said the “quiet assassination” bore the hallmarks of a hit by Mossad, Israel’s spy agency, and pledged to respond.

Israeli officials have not commented on Mr. Fuqaha’s death other than to say that he was involved in planning attacks against Israel.

Killing of a Hamas Leader Could Signal a New Conflict With Israel – The New York Times

Are Israel and Hezbollah Preparing for War? | The Nation

Hezbollah’s role in the Syria conflict has transformed and emboldened the Lebanese Shiite movement—and worried Israel.

“I can assure you we have a nice, shiny new anti-aircraft system to show them,” says Samir, referring to Hezbollah’s planned response to an Israeli aerial assault. “We’ve got heavy long-range missiles, directly from the Russians, that can hit anywhere in Israel.” He denied requests to see the weapons, citing security concerns.

While he boasts about Hezbollah’s reinforced military capability, Samir says war with Israel isn’t on the agenda at the moment. But he’s convinced that at some point there will be another round of conflict, one that will be very costly for both sides but one that his forces will win.

Are Israel and Hezbollah Preparing for War? | The Nation

Ynetnews Opinion – The winds of war are blowing on Israel’s borders

Analysis: The Israeli strike in Syria, the Russian and Syrian responses, and the flare-up in Gaza, are bringing Israel one step closer to a military collision. The relative calm along the borders in recent years, which has become a symbol of security stability and deterrence, is gradually wearing out.

The working assumption in Israel is that the Syrian missile was directed at some target—but not at the Air Force fighter aircraft, as they were no longer there. The Israeli Air Force is now investigating what was actually shot down by the Arrow missile. It might have been a large fragment of the S-200 that exploded in the air after missing its original target.ar

Ynetnews Opinion – The winds of war are blowing on Israel’s borders

Israel’s Next Big War – Opinion – Forward.com

Israel’s next big war is almost certainly going to pit it against some combination of Iranian, Syrian and Hezbollah forces along its northern borders with Syria and Lebanon. To be sure, an additional confrontation with Hamas in Gaza (Israel’s opponent in the costly 2014 Gaza War. which led to the death of roughly 2,100 Palestinians and 73 Israelis) could also be in the offing. But the forthcoming war in Israel’s North — home to an estimated 1.2 million people — could be closer to the kind of all-out war that the Jewish state hasn’t fought since 1973.

These developments raise weighty questions. Can Putin be persuaded to escort Iran’s forces and proxies out of Syria as part of the Russian endgame there? Will the Israeli threat to target all of Lebanon next time around succeed in deterring another war with Hezbollah, or could it have the unfortunate effect of widening that war? And if war breaks out and Hezbollah rains tens of thousands of missiles over most of Israel, will an all-out Israeli response that targets large portions of both Syria and Lebanon succeed in ending the next war quickly? Will Iranian forces suffer enough damage in the fighting to deter Tehran in the future? Will Israel, too, suffer heavy civilian and infrastructure damage?

Israel’s Next Big War – Opinion – Forward.com

Hezbollah is preparing Syria as second battlefield against Israel | FDD’s Long War Journal

Hezbollah intends to wage its next war against Israel from deep within Syria, according to a report on a pro-Hezbollah news site last week.

The report, found on the web site Ya Sour, quoted Hezbollah sources saying the group intends to fire long-range projectiles at the Jewish state from the Qalamoun and Anti-Lebanon Mountain ranges, areas firmly under the Shiite group’s control on both the Syrian and Lebanese sides of the border.

There is reason to suspect that Hezbollah has indeed built up a missile arsenal in those areas, particularly as the city of Baalbek, the heartland of its Beqaa Valley stronghold, lies nearby. Israeli airstrikes against the group in Syria have been concentrated in Qalamoun. Moreover, a spokesman for the opposition’s Syrian National Salvation Front, named Fahd al-Masri, said in Dec. 2016 that Hezbollah was nearing completion of a tunnel in the Zabadani valley linking these two areas. Hezbollah seeks to facilitate the transfer of weapons and “reinforce its presence in the strategically important areas” in the western Damascus countryside, which includes Qalamoun, according to al-Masri.

Hezbollah is preparing Syria as second battlefield against Israel | FDD’s Long War Journal

What Are the Chances of the U.S. and China Going to War?

With improved long-range sensors and weapon accuracy, the conventional forces of each are increasingly able to target and strike those of the other. In a crisis, the inhibition toward war could give way to the impulse to gain advantage by striking first, even pre-emptively, before being struck. Thus, the test is not whether barriers against war are strong enough in peacetime but whether they would hold in time of crisis.

Of course, Chinese and American leaders could instantly intervene to stop a conflict before it got out of hand. But here, too, complacency would be a mistake. Because both sides have increasingly potent but vulnerable strike forces, there is an incentive to “use ’em or lose ’em” once hostilities began. A conflict could escalate swiftly and become even harder to stop.

What Are the Chances of the U.S. and China Going to War?

What nuclear war would look like, according to an expert – VICE News

As Secretary of Defense under President Clinton, Bill Perry has spent most of his life watching the world prepare for nuclear war. And given the current political climate, he thinks the world isn’t nearly as scared as it should be.

All of this has experts, including Perry, worried about an era of renewed nuclear threat from jittery states and rogue actors. Perry often talks about his nightmare scenario: a small amount of enriched uranium falling into the hands of a terrorist group.

“I think of all of the nuclear catastrophes that could happen, this is the most probable,” the 89-year-old said. “I think, I would say, there’s probably an even chance, this would happen sometime in the next 10 years.”

What nuclear war would look like, according to an expert – VICE News