1913 Intel

International Conflict, Western World Threats and Geopolitical Intelligence

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The Geopolitics of $130 Oil

Posted by Matt in May 27th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Oil, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

By George Friedman
Oil prices have risen dramatically over the past year. When they passed $100 a barrel, they hit new heights, expressed in dollars adjusted for inflation. As they passed $120 a barrel, they clearly began to have global impact. Recently, we have seen startling rises in the price of food, particularly grains. Apart from [...]

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Will Israel or the West last another 60 years?

Posted by Matt in May 15th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Israel, West, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

I have serious doubts that the West will look anything like it does today in 60 years. I mean demographically it will be significantly reduced in size due to war. First think about the rise of China and the re-emergence of Russia. Next think about the rise of Islam. These are the storm clouds forming [...]

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Israel: Forecast for the next decade

Posted by Matt in May 8th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Israel, , , , , , , , , , ,

My forecast is based on the assumption that current trends in the world and in the Middle East will continue in the next decade and may even intensify. We should also recall that 10 years are, more or less, the time required to develop new weapon systems. The Israeli experience also proves that every 10 [...]

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