1913 Intel

Your world at risk. How the impossible becomes the inevitable.

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Flashpoint recipe: Mix Russia, Islam, border war

Posted by Matt in February 16th, 2010 | no comment 
Published in Islam, Russia, , , , , , , , , , , , ,

U.S. military experts say the “most likely flashpoint” in Eurasia has become the Caucasus, a strategic location that is grabbing intelligence attention because of the prospect of a border war between Armenia and Azerbaijan, a conflict that not only could draw in Russiabut also Islamic interests there
Flashpoint recipe: Mix Russia, Islam, border war

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DEBKAfile – New US anti-missile system in Israel, Azerbaijan to replace scrapped shield in E. Europe

Posted by Matt in September 17th, 2009 | no comment 
Published in Israel, Missiles, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Deputy US army chief, Gen. James Cartwright and defense secretary Robert Gates amplified President Barack Obama’s statement on the US missile shield in East Europe in Washington Thursday, Sept. 17, by announcing that a new and better anti-missile missile system would be deployed in Israel and the Caucasus.
DEBKAfile discloses exclusively that the site would be [...]

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Exclusive interview of a KGB agent – drzz .info

Posted by Matt in August 19th, 2009 | no comment 
Published in Russia, , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Strategically Russia is surrendering to the Muslim world. The Russian population is declining rapidly, being undermined by 70 years of Communist experiment and the cold indifference of post-communist rulers. Annually, Russia is losing 900 thousand people who are being replaced by Muslims from the Caucasus and Central Asia. Islam is now the second-largest religion in [...]

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Blunder: A New Age for Russia

Posted by Matt in December 26th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Economy, Russia, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

In August, Putin’s Russia seemed unstoppable, specifically after its five-day war with Georgia punctured the appearance of a new era of U.S. power in the former Soviet Caucasus and Central Asia. Georgia seemed the crowning achievement of a several-year-campaign of projecting Russian power over its borders after a decade of retrenchment following the Soviet collapse. [...]

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The Problem: China and Caucasus

Posted by Matt in December 18th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in China, Russia, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Russia has two major problems: China and the Caucasus.
The problem with China is that, in the Russian Far East, people are living in the 21st century on the Chinese side of the Amur River, while on the Russian side they are still stuck in the 19th century. On the Chinese side is the prosperous boom [...]

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Half of Poles Fear Russian Attack

Posted by Matt in August 19th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Europe, Russia, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

As NATO ministers gather in Brussels to discuss how tough to get with Russia after the Georgian crisis, an opinion poll shows one in two Poles fear an attack by Russia. Eastern European countries are unhappy with the response of the West. more…

The Dangerous Neighbor: Vladimir Putin Takes on a Powerless West
SPIEGEL Interview with Gerhard [...]

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Report: Russia may arm Baltic fleet with nuclear warheads

Posted by Matt in August 18th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Russia, , , , , , , , , , , , ,

New Russian threat comes in response to war in Caucasus, US-Poland deal for missile defense shield in Europe. According to Sunday Times, nuclear warheads could be supplied to submarines, cruisers and fighter bombers of Russia’s Baltic fleet based between Poland and Lithuania
Read More…

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Georgia-Russia: Implications for Middle East

Posted by Matt in August 18th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Middle East, Russia, , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The Georgian crisis will have specific repercussions on the Middle East. There is less of a chance that the United States and Russia will be cooperating to stop Iran’s nuclear program. There is a greater chance that Russia will wage a more ambitious and aggressive policy, including selling advanced weapons systems to Iran and Syria. [...]

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RED ALERT – Georgia Intelligence Guidance from Stratfor.Com

Posted by Matt in August 8th, 2008 | 3 comments 
Published in Russia, War, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The following are internal Stratfor documents produced to provide high-level guidance to our analysts. These documents are not forecasts, but rather a series of guidelines for understanding and evaluating events, as well as suggestions on areas for focus.

Given the speed with which the Russians reacted to Georgia’s incursion into South Ossetia, Moscow was clearly ready [...]

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