1913 Intel

International Conflict, Western World Threats and Geopolitical Intelligence

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Half of Poles Fear Russian Attack

Posted by Matt in August 19th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Europe, Russia, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

As NATO ministers gather in Brussels to discuss how tough to get with Russia after the Georgian crisis, an opinion poll shows one in two Poles fear an attack by Russia. Eastern European countries are unhappy with the response of the West. more…

The Dangerous Neighbor: Vladimir Putin Takes on a Powerless West
SPIEGEL Interview with Gerhard [...]

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Report: Russia may arm Baltic fleet with nuclear warheads

Posted by Matt in August 18th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Russia, , , , , , , , , , , , ,

New Russian threat comes in response to war in Caucasus, US-Poland deal for missile defense shield in Europe. According to Sunday Times, nuclear warheads could be supplied to submarines, cruisers and fighter bombers of Russia’s Baltic fleet based between Poland and Lithuania
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Georgia-Russia: Implications for Middle East

Posted by Matt in August 18th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Middle East, Russia, , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The Georgian crisis will have specific repercussions on the Middle East. There is less of a chance that the United States and Russia will be cooperating to stop Iran’s nuclear program. There is a greater chance that Russia will wage a more ambitious and aggressive policy, including selling advanced weapons systems to Iran and Syria. [...]

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RED ALERT - Georgia Intelligence Guidance from Stratfor.Com

Posted by Matt in August 8th, 2008 | 3 comments 
Published in Russia, War, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The following are internal Stratfor documents produced to provide high-level guidance to our analysts. These documents are not forecasts, but rather a series of guidelines for understanding and evaluating events, as well as suggestions on areas for focus.

Given the speed with which the Russians reacted to Georgia’s incursion into South Ossetia, Moscow was clearly ready [...]

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The Geopolitics of Iran: Holding the Center of a Mountain Fortress

Posted by Matt in July 24th, 2008 | 1 comment 
Published in Iran, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

By George Friedman

To understand Iran, you must begin by understanding how large it is. Iran is the 17th largest country in world. It measures 1,684,000 square kilometers. That means that its territory is larger than the combined territories of France, Germany, the Netherlands, Belgium, Spain and Portugal - Western Europe. Iran is the 16th most [...]

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Quarterly Forecast: Third Quarter 2008

Posted by Matt in July 10th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Economy, Financial, general, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

This is brought to you by JohnMauldin@InvestorsInsight.com. John provides a free daily newsletter that you can sign up for. George Friedman is making this forecast available so that you might sign up for his service.
Read original source with maps included.
Here’s the article:
By George Friedman at Stratfor.Com.
Introduction
For the first half of 2008, Stratfor focused [...]

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Oil to hit $400 a barrel by 2018

Posted by Matt in June 5th, 2008 | 1 comment 
Published in China, Oil, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

“The big story is productivity in China,” he asserts, noting it is an incredible 9%, or three times the level of productivity in the US during its 1990s peak. Admiral Owens attributes this to the country’s high-quality infrastructure. It will allow the Chinese economy to soon become the second-largest in the world, with a GDP [...]

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Troubling news from the Caucasus

Posted by Matt in March 6th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Asia, ,

Bloodshed in Armenia worries both Russia and the West
THE day after Dmitry Medvedev’s presidential victory, Moscow’s leading papers turned their attention away from the long-predicted result to the unexpected bloodshed in Armenia. At least eight people were killed in clashes between security forces and opposition supporters protesting against alleged fraud in the country’s presidential elections. [...]

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US Missile Shield In Ukraine And Caucasus Could Spark Regional Crisis

Posted by Matt in March 5th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Missiles, Russia, , , ,

Including Ukraine and the Caucasus nations into a U.S. air-defense system could cause another internal political crisis in these countries, a senior Russian MP said Friday. A senior Pentagon official said Thursday that the United States “would like to place a radar base in the Caucasus” amid earlier reports of plans to deploy elements of [...]

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