1913 Intel

International Conflict, Western World Threats and Geopolitical Intelligence

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How Rome Built - and America Is Building - a New World

Posted by Matt in July 25th, 2008 | 3 comments 
Published in History, U.S., , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

In Madden’s historically linked world, the defeat of Carthage in 204 B.C. is the mirror image of the D-Day invasion of World war II. The contempt the Greeks had for Romans even after Rome saved them from civil war is a historical analog to the Europeans’ anti-Americanism and arrogance even after the American military bailed [...]

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Lebanon: Deal Or No Deal

Posted by Matt in June 23rd, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Middle East, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

An appearance of peace has returned to Lebanon; but as Hezbollah grows in power, political tensions are becoming palpable. Has the country finally entered a long-term settlement, or are we witnessing the preliminaries to a new conflict?
Thanks to massive financial and military backing from Iran and Syria, Hezbollah has emerged as a powerhouse over [...]

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Hizbullah’s power play

Posted by Matt in June 5th, 2008 | 1 comment 
Published in Middle East, War, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Understanding why Hizbullah refused to take over Lebanon is key not only for understanding Hizbullah but also for understanding Hamas, Fatah and the insurgency in Iraq.
A compelling answer to this question is found in David Galula’s classic work, Counterinsurgency Warfare: Theory and Practice. Galula, who died in 1967, was a lieutenant colonel in the French [...]

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What Do We Know about Natural Resources and Civil War?

Posted by Matt in May 30th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Conflict, Oil, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Since the late 1990s, there has been a flood of research on natural resources and civil war. This article reviews 14 recent cross-national econometric studies, and many qualitative studies, that cast light on the relationship between natural resources and civil war. It suggests that collectively they imply four underlying regularities: first, oil increases the likelihood [...]

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Hezbollah Triumphs in Lebanon

Posted by Matt in May 29th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Middle East, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

A new civil war has been averted in Lebanon, and Israel and Syria are back at the negotiating table. But Hezbollah is stronger than ever, and its arsenal is brimming with weapons — partly because the United Nations monitoring program has failed. By Daniel Steinvorth and Alexander Szandar more…

Possible Prisoner Exchange: Deal Imminent between Israel [...]

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The power of Hezbollah

Posted by Matt in May 22nd, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Middle East, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Lebanon’s factions appear to have halted a nascent civil war — at least temporarily — with an agreement struck Wednesday in Qatar between the Western-backed government of Fouad Siniora and the Syrian-backed Shiite Muslim militia Hezbollah. But the peace deal cannot fairly be called a compromise. Hezbollah won That’s the result of its stunning military [...]

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No Easy Answers in Lebanon

Posted by Matt in May 20th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Middle East, War, , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Whether Lebanon veered close to “civil war” this month—a question broached by many newspapers—seems purely academic at this point, and perhaps irrelevant. Beirut settled into a tenuous calm after Lebanon’s cabinet conceded (CNN) the immediate demands of Hezbollah, but the upheaval resolved none of the many issues destabilizing the country. Lebanon’s paralyzed government, Beirut’s inability [...]

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Georgia civil war — Part 1

Posted by Matt in May 14th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in War, , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Analysts are actively debating the possible outcomes of an armed conflict between Georgia and the self-proclaimed republic of Abkhazia, which seceded from Georgia in 1992.
Without looking into the most pessimistic scenarios envisioning a nuclear conflict between Russia and NATO, let’s try to predict the possible outcomes of a Georgian-Abkhazian conflict.
In late 2007 the Georgian armed [...]

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Civil war fears grip Lebanon

Posted by Matt in May 8th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Middle East, , , , , , , , , , , ,

Thursday’s gun battles broke out only minutes after the Hezbollah leader, Hassan Nasrallah, appeared on TV to accuse the Lebanese government of declaring war on his movement, whose raison d’etre is to resist Israel.
He said the only way out of the current crisis was for the government to rescind the decisions it took on Monday [...]

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A Cell Phone Civil War in Lebanon

Posted by Matt in May 8th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Middle East, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The rattle of gunfire and crump of exploding rockets that shook the near-deserted streets of Beirut Wednesday seemed to signal the arrival of the long-feared showdown between the Western-backed government and its opponents led by Hizballah. Thick plumes of black smoke from barricades of burning tyres cast a deep pall over the capital, as many [...]

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Clashes in General Strike in Lebanon

Posted by Matt in May 7th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Conflict, Middle East, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

BEIRUT, Lebanon — Supporters of the Iranian-backed group Hezbollah, trying to enforce a general strike called by labor unions, clashed with government supporters and blocked roads in Beirut on Wednesday, escalating tensions as the country remained mired in its worst political crisis since the 1975-1990 civil war.

The government said on Tuesday that it would act [...]

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Tests identify Russia’s crown prince, sister

Posted by Matt in April 30th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Russia, , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

DNA tests carried out by a U.S. laboratory prove that bone fragments exhumed last year belong to two children of Czar Nicholas II, putting to rest questions about what happened to Russia’s last royal family, a regional governor said today.
Bone fragments dug up near the Ural Mountains city of Yekaterinburg are indeed those of Crown [...]

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Rising Gulf

Posted by Matt in July 28th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Dubai, Middle East, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

An unprecedented boom is changing the region—and echoing far past its borders.
Aug. 6, 2007 issue - We all know the headlines by now: the Middle East is burning, right? So it seems, as Palestinians and Iraqis wage civil war, Lebanon seethes, Syria and Israel trade barbs and Iran spits defiance. Yet beyond the smoke a [...]

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