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Your world at risk. How the impossible becomes the inevitable.

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China: Troublemaker on the World Stage? – ABC News

Posted by Matt in February 23rd, 2010 | no comment 
Published in China, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

There’s a new ice age between Beijing and Washington, between the two centers that many already see welded together as Chimerica, a new “G-2″ global power. What has got into China?
For a start, the Chinese government is brimming with a self-confidence bordering on arrogance. The Chinese see themselves as the winners of the global economic [...]

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Biggest Bubble in History Is Growing Every Day: William Pesek – BusinessWeek

Posted by Matt in February 4th, 2010 | no comment 
Published in China, , , , , , , , , , , ,

Real estate, stocks, credit. China sure has its share of bubbles. Oddly, little attention is paid to the biggest one of all.
China’s currency reserves grew by more than the gross domestic product of Norway in 2009. Its $2.4 trillion of reserves is a bubble all its own, one growing before our eyes with nary a [...]

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Loan Crisis Looming in Eastern Europe?

Posted by Matt in June 9th, 2009 | no comment 
Published in Europe, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Some €180 billion in loans are ‘at risk’ in Central and Eastern Europe. If they went bad, could Western banks afford it? Should the West intervene now?
Nobody knows just how fast these “at-risk” loans are turning into NPLs, just that they are. The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), which warned of a potential [...]

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The Financial Crisis and the Six Pillars of Russian Strength

Posted by Matt in March 3rd, 2009 | no comment 
Published in Economy, Financial, Russia, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

By Lauren Goodrich and Peter Zeihan
Under the leadership of Vladimir Putin, Russia has been re-establishing much of its lost Soviet-era strength. This has given rise to the possibility — and even the probability — that Russia again will become a potent adversary of the Western world. But now, Russia is yet again on the cusp [...]

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Global Trend: The Russian Resurgence

Posted by Matt in February 5th, 2009 | no comment 
Published in Russia, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Russian power is in long-term decline. Compared to the Soviet Union in 1989, the Russian Federation has less than half the population, one-third the economic bulk, lower commodity production and vastly decreased industrial output. Demographically, Russia is both shrinking and aging at rates that have not been seen outside of wartime since the time of [...]

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Oil’s Crash Stirs Unrest in Russia as Slump Hits Home

Posted by Matt in December 19th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Russia, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Russia’s oil-fired economic miracle is unraveling as industry shrinks and job losses mount. Now the first stirrings of social unrest have the Kremlin groping for a response.

Previous periods of low oil prices in the 1980s and 1990s contributed to the downfall of two Kremlin administrations — those of Mikhail Gorbachev and Boris Yeltsin. Often, social [...]

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New Reports Cite China’s Dangerous Rise

Posted by Matt in November 25th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in China, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The NIC notes that this transformation of world politics is the result of a massive transfer of wealth from West to East, from Europe and North America to Asia. The United States has transferred $1.2 trillion to China since 2001 by running massive trade deficits. These deficits have not only given Beijing the largest currency [...]

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