There is an odd quiet globally. The Middle East is seeing tension easing across the board. Tensions between Russia and the Czechs or Georgians have mounted, but nothing like they could have. The Chinese are tense but managing the run-up to the Olympics and the oil price rise as well as can be expected. Nothing [...]
1913 Intel
International Conflict, Western World Threats and Geopolitical Intelligence
Stratfor Intelligence Guidance: Week of July 13, 2008
Posted by Matt in July 11th, 2008 | no comment
Published in general, Crises, Czechs, Disruptions, Georgians, Guidance, Intelligence, Middle East, Oil Price Rise, Olympics, Periods, Russia, Seams, Tension, Tensions
The Geopolitics of $130 Oil
Posted by Matt in May 27th, 2008 | no comment
Published in Oil, 1980s, 2000s, Anticipation, Assumption, Commodities, Commodity Prices, Disruptions, Food Exports, Food Shortages, geopolitics, George Friedman, Global Impact, Grains, inflation, Oil Prices, Political Instability, Primary Source, Realities, Source Of Energy, Swiftness
By George Friedman
Oil prices have risen dramatically over the past year. When they passed $100 a barrel, they hit new heights, expressed in dollars adjusted for inflation. As they passed $120 a barrel, they clearly began to have global impact. Recently, we have seen startling rises in the price of food, particularly grains. Apart from [...]
Trouble in the pipeline
Posted by Matt in May 8th, 2008 | no comment
Published in Oil, Russia, Disruptions, iraq, LOST, Nigeria, Oil Industry In Russia, Oil Price, Pipeline, Pipelines, Price Of Oil, Saudi-Arabia, Turmoil
Russia’s oil industry
WHEN the price of oil reached another record on May 6th, of over $122 a barrel, analysts pointed to attacks on pipelines in Nigeria and turmoil in Iraq as the immediate causes. Even small disruptions to supplies from such places can cause the price to jump, since only Saudi Arabia has the capacity [...]
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