International Conflict, Western World Threats and Geopolitical Intelligence
By George Friedman
German Chancellor Angela Merkel went to St. Petersburg last week for meetings with Russian President Dmitri Medvedev. The central question on the table was Germany’s position on NATO expansion, particularly with regard to Ukraine and Georgia. Merkel made it clear at a joint press conference that Germany would oppose NATO membership for both [...]
The following are internal Stratfor documents produced to provide high-level guidance to our analysts. These documents are not forecasts, but rather a series of guidelines for understanding and evaluating events, as well as suggestions on areas for focus.
Given the speed with which the Russians reacted to Georgia’s incursion into South Ossetia, Moscow was clearly ready [...]
Recently we have witnessed a flurry of high-profile and contradictory statements on the Russian state. In a role reversal, Russia’s leaders have been abnormally candid while several prominent western politicians and pundits have lavished undeserved praise.
Russian president Dmitri Medvedev was bold enough last week to state that democracy is irrelevant to the Group of Eight [...]
Russia’s new President Dmitri Medvedev recently sacked his military chief of staff. The move has been seen as an attempt to impose reform on the once-feared Russian military. Moscow says its army is rebounding, but experts say the reality is far different.
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Up to a third of votes cast for Dmitri Medvedev to be Russia’s next President were likely to have been rigged, a comprehensive new study of the election results has found.
Millions of votes for the Kremlin’s favoured candidate were the product of mass fraud or the use of “administrative resources” by government officials to [...]
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