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Your world at risk. How the impossible becomes the inevitable.

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China’s Leadership in Crisis Mode

Posted by Matt in March 9th, 2010 | no comment 
Published in China, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

China’s National People’s Congress (NPC) remains in session. As usual, the meeting has provided Beijing an opportunity to highlight the past year’s successes and lay out the problems that lie ahead. On the surface at least, China has shown remarkable resilience in the face of global economic crisis. It has posted enviable gross domestic product [...]

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China’s Hidden Debt Risks 2012 Crisis, Northwestern’s Shih Says – BusinessWeek

Posted by Matt in March 2nd, 2010 | no comment 
Published in China, Financial, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

China’s hidden borrowing may push government debt to 96 percent of gross domestic product next year, increasing the risk of a financial crisis in the world’s third-biggest economy, Professor Victor Shih said.
“The worst case is a pretty large-scale financial crisis around 2012,” said Shih, a political economist at Northwestern University in Evanston, Illinois, who spent [...]

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Ratings agency warns on China bank ‘bubble risk’ | The Daily Telegraph

Posted by Matt in February 13th, 2010 | no comment 
Published in China, , , , , , , , , , ,

“The agency views ‘bubble risk’ as greatest for Chinese banks given their 32 percent loan growth in 2009; this looks likely to be followed by a further 20 percent in 2010,” Fitch said in a statement.”Credit growth of more than 50 percent over a two-year period in an economy where bank credit is already quite [...]

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Biggest Bubble in History Is Growing Every Day: William Pesek – BusinessWeek

Posted by Matt in February 4th, 2010 | no comment 
Published in China, , , , , , , , , , , ,

Real estate, stocks, credit. China sure has its share of bubbles. Oddly, little attention is paid to the biggest one of all.
China’s currency reserves grew by more than the gross domestic product of Norway in 2009. Its $2.4 trillion of reserves is a bubble all its own, one growing before our eyes with nary a [...]

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Fears grow of South American arms race

Posted by Matt in January 2nd, 2010 | no comment 
Published in Americas, Military, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Tabaré Vázquez, Uruguay’s president, recently described the arms race as a “reality”, while President Alan García of Peru sent his cabinet ministers across the region to try to broker a non-aggression pact. Brazil and Chile are the undeniable heavyweights in terms of spending. Brazil spent $24.6bn on defence in 2008, partly in an attempt to [...]

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The Associated Press: Russian president: Economy sank more than forecast

Posted by Matt in October 11th, 2009 | no comment 
Published in Russia, , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Russian President Dmitry Medvedev said Sunday that Russia’s economy was hit harder than expected by the global financial crisis, but Kremlin measures helped the country avoid the worst-case scenario.
Russia’s gross domestic product will drop by about 7.5 percent this year, compared with earlier forecasts of 3 to 3.5 percent, and industrial production fell by nearly [...]

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The Associated Press: Russian president: Economy sank more than forecast

Posted by Matt in October 11th, 2009 | no comment 
Published in general, , , , , , , , , , , ,

Russian President Dmitry Medvedev said Sunday that Russia’s economy was hit harder than expected by the global financial crisis, but Kremlin measures helped the country avoid the worst-case scenario.
Russia’s gross domestic product will drop by about 7.5 percent this year, compared with earlier forecasts of 3 to 3.5 percent, and industrial production fell by nearly [...]

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Europe is in Trouble

Posted by Matt in July 18th, 2009 | 1 comment 
Published in Europe, Financial, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Globalization is a two-edged sword. On balance, it has brought prosperity to those who have embraced it, with rising lifestyles, better health, longer lives, and more. The more we need each other, the less likely it is that we’ll shoot each other. Shooting your customers is not a good business strategy. And while the growth [...]

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