It is now clear that the West was overly hasty in unilaterally recognizing “Palestine” as a non-member observer state in the UN, against Israel’s wishes and in legal contravention of the Oslo Accords. The decision was made without providing Israel with a minimum commitment for the end of the conflict, without recognizing Israel as a Jewish state and without sufficient, agreed-upon security arrangements.
The recognition of “Palestine” will lead, actually, to the establishment of the United Islamic Terrorist State of Hamastan in the Gaza Strip and West Bank.
The Western world did not internalize that, within the Arab Spring, the Muslim Brotherhood was closing ranks in the Middle East. It did not understand the short role assigned to Mahmoud Abbas in gaining international recognition for the terrorist state of Hamastan in an Islamist process that now probably cannot be reversed. The Palestinians now wait, and pray for the safe arrival of the ships from Iran, bringing weapons to refill the Gaza Strip arsenals of Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad, while the masses fill the squares and roar for the destruction of Israel.
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Is a third intifada unavoidable? The recent Palestinian success in the UN, the deadlocked Israeli-Palestinian peace process and the achievements noted by Hamas during Operation Pillar of Defense have prompted greater agitation in the West Bank, and the IDF is concerned that the area may soon reach a boiling point.
According to Shin Bet data, the unrest in the area is ripe for the development of the kind of infrastructure that could potentially support a third intifada – prolonged and violent unrest the likes of which Israel had to deal with in 1987 and 2000.
There has been no mention of peace process or coexistence with Israel. The belligerent and defiant tone of Fatah officials sent the message that the Palestinians are now headed toward confrontation with Israel — not peace.
Hamas and Islamic Jihad leaders say they are already preparing for the next war with Israel. They say that their groups still have many rockets that will be used against Israel in the future.
As one Hamas official put it, “In the next war with Israel, Israelis will be forced to flee not only their homes, but the whole country.”
Fatah is also preparing for a possible confrontation with Israel, both on the ground and in the international arena. Some Fatah leaders are now talking about a new intifada against Israel, especially in the West Bank and east Jerusalem.
A ceasefire between Israel and Hamas may have been reached on paper, but evidence already indicates that it is unlikely to hold. A top Palestinian Islamic Jihad leader has already warned that the ceasefire would be short and that a “new, more savage round” of fighting with Israel lies ahead.
Palestinian Islamic Jihad Leader Promises “Savage Round” of Fighting :: The Investigative Project on Terrorism
A leader of the third-largest Palestinian faction told the Egyptian newspaper El-Balad Thursday that the truce with Israel will be brief and that Palestinians are braced for a “more savage and bloody round” of fighting with Israel.
“We are preparing for a new, more savage round,” Dr. Mohammed Al-Hindi, a leading Palestinian Islamic Jihad figure told the newspaper. “We are in a short truce (hudna), the Israeli enemy is preparing for further rounds of war in Gaza.”
The “resistance factions” must be prepared for the next battle, which will be more violent and “start the curve of the collapse of the Israeli occupation,” Al-Hindi said Wednesday night at a ceremony honoring journalists working in the Gaza Strip.
With most of the world’s attention focused on the realignment of the “Arab Spring,” Islamists and the latest Hamas-Israeli conflict, China continues its aggressive island imperialism in both the South China and East China seas with its illegal territorial claims. The confrontational incidents forced by China’s bullying tactics on our regional allies — most recently, Japan over the Senkaku Islands and the Philippines over Scarborough Shoal — are clearly unacceptable.
There are multiple territorial claims throughout the East China and South China seas. This is a strategic maritime area transited by more than half of the world’s total shipping trade. While there is a growing competition for the natural resources near the contested islands, these confrontations must be viewed in a broader context involving China’s ultimate objective: As part of its anti-access and area-denial strategy, China wants to replace the United States as the dominant power in the Western Pacific.
The Syrian army “has completely opened the gates of hell before all who would even consider approaching Damascus or planning to attack it,” the pro-government Al Watan newspaper reported Sunday.
Experts told The New York Times that the government’s defense of the capital could be the fiercest and most destructive phase yet of the 20-month conflict. Assad’s best and most loyal troops (along with much of his artillery) remain at the center of the city. They’ll clash with better-organized units of army defectors in southern Syria, and with Jordan’s force that’s been training to attack Damascus.
Emile Hokayem, an analyst based in Bahrain for the International Institute for Strategic Studies, told the Times that everyone is simply “waiting for the big battle to begin.”
If Assad is going down soon, then what if he redirects attention by attacking Israel with Hezbollah and Hamas? What does the leadership have to lose if they are probably going to die soon anyway?
Iron Dome is a game-changer that not only consigns Hamas’ and Hezbollah’s current terror model to the trash can, it completely undermines the military doctrines of all of Israel’s enemies.
Not so fast. In a feedlback loop process, which this is, any suppression of smaller collapses must lead to bigger collapses. In this case that means Israel’s enemies will employ more sophisticated strategies and missiles. It’s going to the next level which is a coordinated attack including Hezbollah, Hamas and Syria, and chemical warhead missiles.
The Iranian engineers had an important finding to work with: On Tuesday, Nov. 20, the day before the ceasefire, Hamas rocket teams carried out an experiment against Israel’s wonder weapon: They fired a 16-rocket Grad salvo at Beersheba. Iron Dome blew up 8 in mid-air, 4 landed outside built-up areas but 4 made it into the heart of the town. A few minutes later Hamas started shooting 14 Grades in volley after volley just a few minutes apart – altogether 30 rockets at the same target in the space of two hours.
The score was 8 to 22 in favor of the Hamas tactic. The experiment was designed to assess the Iron Dome teams’ post-operation reloading speed – information which is a close IDF secret.
What the Palestinians learned from the Beersheba experiment was that their strength against the Israeli defense system lies in numbers: the bigger the multiple missile barrage, the greater its chances of penetrating Iron Dome cover and reaching urban targets. They accordingly put together large batteries of 6 to 8 rockets each side by side and fired them all at the same time from underground silos.
In a story describing President Obama’s six conversations with Egyptian president Mohammed Morsi that led to the cease-fire between Israel and Hamas, the New York Times summarized Obama’s estimation of Morsi. Obama told his aids “he was impressed with the Egyptian leader’s pragmatic confidence. He sensed an engineer’s precision with surprisingly little ideology.” Obama “considered Mr. Morsi a straight shooter who delivered on what he promised and did not promise what he could not deliver . . . This was somebody focused on solving problems.”
Technocratic qualities like “engineer’s precision” and “little ideology” sound strange when describing the leader of an organization whose credo is “Allah is our objective; the Prophet is our leader; the Quran is our law; Jihad is our way; dying in the way of Allah is our highest hope.” …