1913 Intel

International Conflict, Western World Threats and Geopolitical Intelligence

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Surprise! Russia not about to invade Mideast, says new prophecy theory

Posted by Matt in August 21st, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Israel, War, general, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

But an unexpected war is imminent, according to best-selling new biblical analysis
According to Salus, the next war in the Middle East will involve Israel’s closest Arab neighbors – not faraway Iran or Russia, the re-emerging military power to the north. He says a sometimes overlooked or misinterpreted passage in Psalm 83 is the key to [...]

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How to contain radical Islam

Posted by Matt in July 27th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Islam, U.S., , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The best global strategy for the US may be the one that won the Cold War
Yet, with the seventh anniversary of 9/11 approaching, it seems clear that policy makers have not responded particularly well. Islamic extremists are gaining strength, while America finds itself increasingly isolated in the world. The coalition of the willing, never overly [...]

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‘Israel’s Enemies Are Celebrating’

Posted by Matt in July 17th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Israel, , , , , , , , ,

Israel managed to bring two of its soldiers home on Wednesday. But even still, praise for the prisoner exchange with Hezbollah has been scant. Israel, say German commentators, has allowed itself to be blackmailed. more…

Two Coffins for a Murderer: Israel’s Delicate Prisoner Swap with Hezbollah
Photo Gallery: The Prisoner Swap between Hezbollah and Israel

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High military tension over Iranian presence on strategic Lebanese peak

Posted by Matt in July 14th, 2008 | 1 comment 
Published in Iran, Israel, Middle East, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

DEBKAfile’s military sources report that Israel has placed its military and air forces on its northern borders on high alert after Iran and Syria ignored Jerusalem’s warning, relayed to Washington, that the continued presence of Iranian, Syrian and Hizballah officers on the strategic Lebanese Sannine peak may spark a military clash.
Monday, July 14, two days [...]

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Iranian Early Warning Station, Anti-Air Base on Lebanese Peak

Posted by Matt in July 12th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Iran, Middle East, Syria, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

In the past few weeks, Hizballah at the behest of Iran and Syria has commandeered the 7,800-foot Mt. Sannine, a strategic asset capable of determining the outcome of the next war, as DEBKA-Net-Weekly 356 revealed.
Radar-guided missile positions and an early warning station have since been deployed on its summit, which are capable of monitoring and [...]

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[The Islamist-Leftist] Allied Menace

Posted by Matt in July 7th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Islam, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

By Daniel Pipes
“Here are two brother countries, united like a single fist,” said socialist Hugo Chávez during a visit to Tehran last November, celebrating his alliance with Islamist Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. Che Guevara’s son Camilo, who also visited Tehran last year, declared that his father would have “supported the country in its current struggle against the [...]

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Israel successfully tests missile interceptor: report

Posted by Matt in July 6th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Israel, Missiles, , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Israel has successfully tested a new defence system designed to intercept rockets fired from southern Lebanon and the Hamas-ruled Gaza Strip, public radio reported on Sunday.
The “Iron Dome” system is expected to be fully operational within a year and will be able to intercept the military-grade Katyusha rockets used by Lebanon’s Hezbollah militia and the [...]

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Nuclear-armed Iran changes world

Posted by Matt in July 4th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Iran, Nuclear, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The consequences of a nuclear-armed Iran are obvious. Its leaders are theologically motivated and believe Israel should be wiped off the map. It is the chief global sponsor of terrorism through groups such as Hezbollah and Hamas. Middle East experts believe a nuclear-armed Iran would soon be followed by Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Turkey, and [...]

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Iran’s ‘Nightmare Scenarios’ Are Mulled in Washington

Posted by Matt in June 24th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Iran, Israel, , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

American Intelligence Analysts Work Overtime as Israel Sends Signals
An attack on the U.S. 5th Fleet, exploding Saudi oil refineries, and a Hezbollah operation against a soft target in the Americas, Asia, or Europe. These are scenarios America’s intelligence analysts are now poring over as Israel signals its preparedness to deal with Iran’s race for the [...]

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Lebanon: Deal Or No Deal

Posted by Matt in June 23rd, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Middle East, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

An appearance of peace has returned to Lebanon; but as Hezbollah grows in power, political tensions are becoming palpable. Has the country finally entered a long-term settlement, or are we witnessing the preliminaries to a new conflict?
Thanks to massive financial and military backing from Iran and Syria, Hezbollah has emerged as a powerhouse over [...]

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Chinese Role in Syrian Nukes

Posted by Matt in June 18th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in China, Nuclear, Syria, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Last September, a couple of Israeli army planes bombed a mysterious structure in Syria. Later it was officially confirmed that it was a Syrian nuclear reactor, built with assistance from North Korea. NTD Israel reporters interviewed two senior experts, who say that the Chinese regime also has a connection.
Read More…
The CCP and Syrian nukes: an [...]

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Israel and Hizballah: 2006 and 2008

Posted by Matt in June 10th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Israel, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Almost two years have passed since Israel’s war against Hizballah in 2006, and the balance of power is far from positive from an Israeli point of view. One of the major remaining questions is that of deterrence. Although the Israeli Defense Force (IDF) performed disappointingly during the war, the army’s image and its deterrent capability [...]

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Hizbullah’s power play

Posted by Matt in June 5th, 2008 | 1 comment 
Published in Middle East, War, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Understanding why Hizbullah refused to take over Lebanon is key not only for understanding Hizbullah but also for understanding Hamas, Fatah and the insurgency in Iraq.
A compelling answer to this question is found in David Galula’s classic work, Counterinsurgency Warfare: Theory and Practice. Galula, who died in 1967, was a lieutenant colonel in the French [...]

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Oil and the Saudi Peace Offensive

Posted by Matt in June 3rd, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Middle East, Oil, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

By George Friedman
The Saudis are hosting an interfaith conference June 4. Four hundred Islamic scholars from around the world will be there, with one day devoted to interfaith issues. Saudi King Abdullah will open the conference, over which Saudi Shura Council head Saleh bin Huma will preside. This is clearly intended to be a major [...]

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Hezbollah’s Shadow War

Posted by Matt in May 31st, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Middle East, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

For their part, Hezbollah’s leaders remain coy on specifics, but have not disputed the characterization that their capabilities are greater than prewar levels. In mid-2007, Nasrallah said his militia has missiles “able to hit every point in occupied Palestine.” Still, finding independent sources on Hezbollah has proven difficult. Western military assessments tend to agree that [...]

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Hezbollah Triumphs in Lebanon

Posted by Matt in May 29th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Middle East, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

A new civil war has been averted in Lebanon, and Israel and Syria are back at the negotiating table. But Hezbollah is stronger than ever, and its arsenal is brimming with weapons — partly because the United Nations monitoring program has failed. By Daniel Steinvorth and Alexander Szandar more…

Possible Prisoner Exchange: Deal Imminent between Israel [...]

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Deal Imminent between Israel and Hezbollah

Posted by Matt in May 28th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Israel, , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

srael and Hezbollah are once again close to a deal that would bring two kidnapped Israeli soldiers back home. Details of the agreement, negotiated by a German middleman, indicate that the two might not still be alive. By Ulrike Putz in Beirut more…

Syrian-Israeli Negotiations: Olmert’s Deft Golan Deal
SPIEGEL ONLINE Interview with Lebanese Minister Nayla Moawad: [...]

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MI: Syria bolsters Hizbullah despite Israel-talks

Posted by Matt in May 27th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Syria, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Damascus continues to strengthen Hizbullah, and “plays a significant role in transferring weapons to the south of Lebanon,” Head of Military Intelligence research division Brig.-Gen. Yossi Baidatz told the Knesset on Monday.
He added that “at the same time as negotiating with Israel, Syria is working diligently on its own army, especially in terms of missiles [...]

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The Fall of Lebanon

Posted by Matt in May 24th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Middle East, War, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

“If you have tears, prepare to shed them now….
Oh, what a fall was there…
Then I, and you, and all of us fell down.”
–William Shakespeare, “Julius Caesar,” Act 3, Scene 1.
May 21, 2008, is a date–like December 7 (1941) and September 11 (2001)–that should now live in infamy. Yet who will notice, mourn, or act the [...]

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The power of Hezbollah

Posted by Matt in May 22nd, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Middle East, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Lebanon’s factions appear to have halted a nascent civil war — at least temporarily — with an agreement struck Wednesday in Qatar between the Western-backed government of Fouad Siniora and the Syrian-backed Shiite Muslim militia Hezbollah. But the peace deal cannot fairly be called a compromise. Hezbollah won That’s the result of its stunning military [...]

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Lebanon Braces for Failure of Talks

Posted by Matt in May 20th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Middle East, , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Unfortunately for the Lebanese, their leaders are almost certainly coming back soon, and probably without a workable agreement. That’s because 18 months into the stalemate between the U.S. and Saudi-backed government on the one hand and the Syrian- and Iranian-supported opposition on the other, the differences between the two camps appear to be irreconcilable for [...]

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