1913 Intel

International Conflict, Western World Threats and Geopolitical Intelligence

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Unhappy America

Posted by Matt in July 24th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Economy, U.S., , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

One source of angst is the sorry state of American capitalism (see article). The “Washington consensus” told the world that open markets and deregulation would solve its problems. Yet American house prices are falling faster than during the Depression, petrol is more expensive than in the 1970s, banks are collapsing, the euro is kicking sand [...]

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Nations with vast oil wealth gaining clout

Posted by Matt in July 17th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Iran, Oil, Russia, Venezuela, , , , , , , , , , , ,

Some autocratic governments are challenging U.S. policies and silencing domestic dissent. But their increased spending raises the risk of inflation, which could erode popular support.
But some of the most obvious effects are in countries whose leaders are most hostile to the United States: Venezuela’s populist President Hugo Chavez, Iran’s stringent Islamic rulers and Russia’s growing [...]

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This Week in China

Posted by Matt in June 11th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in China, , , , , , , , , ,

Is the world’s most dynamic economy headed for the rocks? Chinese stocks have taken a pounding over the last six days on speculation that the central bank will raise interest rates to quell worsening inflation. But it gets worse, Newsweek reports.
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Stratfor Intelligence Guidance: Week of June 1, 2008

Posted by Matt in May 30th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Asia, Energy, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Asia in general, and China in particular: The pressure in Asia is starting to show, beginning with South Korea. But anecdotal reports out of China also show the ratcheting of pressure. We have reports of plant closures due partly to informal taxes for earthquake relief imposed by the government and partly to the business environment. [...]

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The Economic Dimensions of Syria’s Strategic Relations with Iran

Posted by Matt in May 29th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Economy, Iran, Syria, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

An examination of the economic relations between the two countries reveals that, beyond their propaganda value, these relations are of small benefit to Syria and of negligible benefit to Iran. The alliance is driven first and foremost by political and strategic interests, not by economic considerations. While Syria has benefited from Iran’s economic support, this [...]

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The Geopolitics of $130 Oil

Posted by Matt in May 27th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Oil, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

By George Friedman
Oil prices have risen dramatically over the past year. When they passed $100 a barrel, they hit new heights, expressed in dollars adjusted for inflation. As they passed $120 a barrel, they clearly began to have global impact. Recently, we have seen startling rises in the price of food, particularly grains. Apart from [...]

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Inflation dragon that opened gates for Mao, now threatens regime, global economy

Posted by Matt in January 12th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in China, Economy,

Word that the Chinese cabinet has moved to freeze prices on gas and oil and crack down on profiteering, hoarding and other activities fuelling inflation bodes ill. Prime Minister Wen Jiabao put his name on the announcement which comes on the eve of Chinese New Year’s in early February when millions will leave their jobs [...]

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