Successful states may generate trouble, but failures produce catastrophes: Nazi Germany erupted from the bankrupt Weimar Republic; Soviet Communism’s economic disasters swelled the Gulag; a feckless state with unpaid armies enabled Mao’s rise.
Putin might treat sick economy with war.
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1913 Intel
International Conflict, Western World Threats and Geopolitical Intelligence
Bankrupt Rogues: Beware Failing Foes
Posted by Matt in October 29th, 2008 | no comment
Published in Economy, Russia, Bankrupt States, Catastrophes, Economic Disasters, Foes, Gulag, Mao, Nazi Germany, putin, Rogue States, Rogues, Sick Economy, Soviet Communism, Weimar Republic
China’s Rise, From Mao to Now
Posted by Matt in July 27th, 2008 | no comment
Published in China, 21st Century, Adolescent, Constraints, Demographics, Drumbeat, Economy, Mao, Pound Gorilla, T Travel, Travel China, United States
China, the drumbeat goes, is poised to become the 800-pound gorilla of the international system, ready to dominate the 21st century the way the United States dominated the 20th.
Except that it’s not.
Too many constraints are built into the country’s social, economic and political systems. For four big reasons — dire demographics, an overrated economy, [...]
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