1913 Intel

International Conflict, Western World Threats and Geopolitical Intelligence

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Stratfor Fourth Quarter Forecast 2008

Posted by Matt in October 30th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in general, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Three issues will dominate the final quarter of 2008: the global financial crisis, U.S. self-absorption and the Russian resurgence.
The financial crisis has its roots in an American liquidity meltdown. But as the days flow by, it will become obvious that the crisis is evolving as it spreads to the rest of the world, and its [...]

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Rising Ambitions, Sinking Population

Posted by Matt in October 25th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Demographics, Russia, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Russia is in the midst of a genuine demographic disaster from which its rulers have no obvious exit strategy. Although the Russia’s fortunes (and the Kremlin’s ambitions) have waxed on a decade of windfall profits from oil and gas, the human foundations of the Russian nation — the ultimate sources of the country’s wealth and [...]

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Desert boom in Qatar

Posted by Matt in June 19th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Middle East, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

A sleepy stretch of sand visited mainly by the odd camel caravan over the centuries, Qatar is in the midst of a massive spending spree, financing museums, skyscrapers and rapid modernization - like much of the Gulf region. But unlike Dubai, which wants to dominate in tourism, Qatar has more modest targets for its seemingly [...]

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Dying Russia

Posted by Matt in April 26th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Demographics, Russia, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Russia’s brutally high levels of mortality, along with anemic fertility levels, fashion a second “exceptional” demographic trend for the country: depopulation. In the 16-plus years since the end of the U.S.S.R., Russia has recorded over 12 million more deaths than births. Net immigration has only partially compensated for this deficit. Consequently, Russia’s population dropped from [...]

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