Tag Archives: North-Korea

Iran Could Outsource Its Nuclear-Weapons Program to North Korea – WSJ

As the Iran nuclear talks grind toward a soft July 20 deadline in Vienna, U.S. negotiators and their partners seem oblivious to a loophole that could render any agreement meaningless. Tehran could outsource the completion of a bomb to its longtime ally, North Korea.

As a venue for secretly completing and testing a nuclear bomb, North Korea would be ideal. North Korea is the only country known to have tested any nuclear bombs since India and Pakistan both performed underground tests in 1998. Despite wide condemnation, it has gotten away with three nuclear tests, in 2006, 2009 and 2013.

Were Iranian officials present at North Korea’s 2013 nuclear test, or for that matter the earlier ones? Perhaps. But that may not be the relevant question. According to Olli Heinonen, the former deputy director of the International Atomic Energy Agency, all they’d need is the resulting data on a thumb drive.

Iran Could Outsource Its Nuclear-Weapons Program to North Korea – WSJ

There’s a good chance that some sharing is already happening. In my opinion Iran will not be stopped from becoming a nuclear power. When it finally does cross that threshold it won’t be long before we start to see nuclear terrorism.

North Korea and Japan find common cause for cooperation: China | South China Morning Post

Why would North Korea suddenly assent to discussing the issue? And why would Japanese officials be so eager to talk to the North Koreans? The answer is China. Neither North Korea nor Japan can stand for China’s staking out positions that present a clear danger to their territorial integrity. Both are upset by China’s growing strength – and the disturbing tendency of the Chinese to assert their interests.

North Koreans have always expressed degrees of outrage and alarm over China’s efforts to tell them what to do. Lately, the Chinese have been pressuring North Korea not to conduct a fourth nuclear test and not to go on investing badly needed funds in fashioning a nuclear device small enough to attach to a long-range missile. Far better for the North Koreans to invest in an economy that now ranks among the region’s most backward. North Korean leaders will have none of that.

North Korea and Japan find common cause for cooperation: China | South China Morning Post

North Korea May Be Close to Developing Nuclear Missile, Some Say | Washington Free Beacon

North Korea, which this month threatened to carry out a fourth nuclear test, may be closer than previously thought to putting a nuclear warhead on a missile, some experts say, making a mockery of years of U.N. sanctions aimed at curbing such a program.

North Korea has long boasted of making strides in acquiring a “nuclear deterrent”, but there had been general skepticism that it could master the step of miniaturizing a nuclear warhead to mount on a ballistic missile.

North Korea May Be Close to Developing Nuclear Missile, Some Say | Washington Free Beacon

Apparently, nobody is assuming that North Korea is getting help – like from Iran and other countries. North Korea provides missile technology and support to Iran, and Iran kicks back nuclear technology – like miniaturization technology. Meanwhile, both Russia and China are providing various levels of support to both countries.

South Korea’s Success, America’s Failure: Seoul Still Dependent on the U.S. After All These Years

Last week President Barack Obama embarked on his great reassurance tour of Asia.  America’s allies need not fear.  No matter how wealthy, influential, or powerful, they can count on Washington’s continuing protection.

So it is with the Republic of Korea (ROK), with which the U.S. fought a brutal war against North Korea and China, backed by the Soviet Union, between 1950 and 1953.  Afterwards Washington initiated a so-called Mutual Defense Treaty with the South and left a permanent military garrison.  Behind America’s shield the South prospered, developing an economy now around 40 times the size of North Korea’s.  The ROK also has twice the population, an overwhelming technological advantage, access to global markets, and numerous important international friends.

Yet when President Obama arrived in Seoul he announced:  “The commitment that the United States of America has made to the security of the Republic of Korea only grows stronger in the face of aggression.”  In light of new North Korean threats, said the president:  “Our alliance does not waiver with each bout of their attention seeking.”

South Korea’s Success, America’s Failure: Seoul Still Dependent on the U.S. After All These Years

Are You Good at Predicting Future World Events?

The morning I met Elaine Rich, she was sitting at the kitchen table of her small town home in suburban Maryland trying to estimate refugee flows in Syria.

It wasn’t the only question she was considering; there were others:

Will North Korea launch a new multistage missile before May 10, 2014?

Will Russian armed forces enter Kharkiv, Ukraine, by May 10? Rich’s answers to these questions would eventually be evaluated by the intelligence community, but she didn’t feel much pressure because this wasn’t her full-time gig.

“I’m just a pharmacist,” she said. “Nobody cares about me, nobody knows my name, I don’t have a professional reputation at stake. And it’s this anonymity which actually gives me freedom to make true forecasts.”

Rich does make true forecasts; she is curiously good at predicting future world events.

Better Than The Pros

For the past three years, Rich and 3,000 other average people have been quietly making probability estimates about everything from Venezuelan gas subsidies to North Korean politics as part of the Good Judgment Project, an experiment put together by three well-known psychologists and some people inside the intelligence community.

So You Think You’re Smarter Than A CIA Agent : Parallels : NPR

Welcome to the Good Judgment Project

HARNESSING THE WISDOM OF THE CROWD TO FORECAST WORLD EVENTS

The Good Judgment Project is a four-year research study organized as part of a government-sponsored forecasting tournament. Thousands of people around the world predict global events. Their collective forecasts are surprisingly accurate.

Welcome to the Good Judgment Project

A possible military ‘perfect storm’ closer to reality

With the recent blatant military aggression of Putin and Russia into Crimea, the possibility of a military “perfect storm” becomes more of a reality, and it is scary.

Add to Russia’s ambitions of regaining the Baltic states of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania and those of North Korea wanting South Korea, China wanting Taiwan and Iran wanting to destroy Israel, and you have the potential coordinated mix of adversaries that believe the enemy of my enemy is my friend. The enemy of all of these nations, led by ruthless tyrants, is the United States.

Just as we did not anticipate Pearl Harbor or the attack on 9/11, I wonder if we have given any serious thought to the following possibility. If, on a given day, North Korea attacks South Korea, China attacks Taiwan, Iran attacks Israel and Russia attacks the Baltic states of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania, what do we do? We have a war-weary citizenry, an indecisive president and a military that has a diminished worldwide ability to defend our nation and our allies, especially if the attacks were in multiple regions of the world at the same time.

A possible military ‘perfect storm’ closer to reality – Daily Commercial: Voices

Top Republicans Call for Return to Cold War – The Daily Beast

“In this administration, we trust all these people,” he said, referring to the leaders in Russia, China, and North Korea. “It’s a real scary situation and we kid ourselves when we think we can trust them.”

McKeon agreed and harkened back to the days when he said Russia and China could be depended on to keep their client states in line.

“When we used to have superpowers, they would let things go until it looked like it was going to spill over. Then they would step in and stop it,” he said. “We can’t get any help from Russia now with Iran or Syria, they are just pushing us all over the place. It’s a dangerous world and we are making it more so, because by cutting defense we are totally eliminating Reagan’s line ‘peace through strength.’”

Top Republicans Call for Return to Cold War – The Daily Beast

There’s already a new cold war. It’s just that most people aren’t paying attention.

So the administration trusts the leaders in Russia, China, Iran and North Korea. And why wouldn’t you trust these leaders if you believe in diversity and multiculturalism? There can be only one reason for their bad behavior – somebody else (read US, Israel or Europe) is provoking them. There can be no other reason. Certainly it could not be that these leaders just might be evil. If you believe that we are all the same, nobody is better or worse than any other, then everybody is basically good. Diversity and multiculturalism only serve to bring in more goodness. Other leaders aren’t bad. They are only provoked.

If you can’t see evil, then how can you prepare for it? How can this have a happy ending? An insane ideology (modern liberalism) has taken hold of the West.

This all reminds me of King Belshazzar’s feast in Daniel 5. The king’s enemies had been preparing and plotting against him for quite some time. The king was utter obvious to this grave danger rising up against him. One night at a big feast a finger appeared out of thin air and wrote a message on the wall: MENE, MENE, TEKEL, PARSIN. It means that you have been counted, count totaled, weighed and found deficient, and you will be divided. “That very night Belshazzar, king of the Babylonians, was slain.”

Now the US has a leader who is utterly obvious to the grave dangers rising up against the nation. Not only is he not preparing, he is disarming.

Japan’s war threat to North Korea | Mail Online

A crisis was brewing in the Far East yesterday after Japan threatened a military strike on North Korea if fears that it has embarked on a nuclear weapons programme proved correct.

With North Korea warning it could strike US targets anywhere in the world, Japan’s defence minister Shigeru Ishiba said it was ready to carry out a pre-emptive strike with ballistic missiles.

The war of words came a day after US intelligence chiefs said North Korea probably had missiles capable of attacking America’s west coast as well as one or two nuclear missiles.

Mr Ishiba said: “Our nation will use military force as a self-defence measure if North Korea starts to resort to arms against Japan.”

Japan’s war threat to North Korea | Mail Online

Don’t Be Fooled: North Korea Is Getting Ready to Provoke | The Diplomat

North Korea appears to be laying the groundwork to begin a new round of provocations, which could very well take the form of a missile and/or nuclear test.

Despite its deliberate (and successful, in the U.S. at least) attempts to portray itself as an irrational actor, North Korea’s provocations usually follow a well-worn playbook. This begins with North Korea mounting a charm offensive that is aimed primarily at South Korean audiences. The purpose of this charm offensive is to create hope that Pyongyang could be turning over a new leaf. Amid this charm offensive, North Korea quietly demands that South Korea and/or the United States do something that Pyongyang knows full well they won’t do. When they predictably fail to meet the demand, Pyongyang insists that it is being provoked, and uses this supposed provocation to justify its brazen actions. This allows North Korea to blame its own actions on South Korea and the U.S., which can be convincing to some audiences in China, South Korea, and even the West.

Don’t Be Fooled: North Korea Is Getting Ready to Provoke | The Diplomat

Online clues located North Korea’s missile-launcher factories | PCWorld

It’s the stuff of spy thrillers. From a few seconds of video, a handful of images and some satellite pictures, a team of researchers has been able to pinpoint two factories deep inside North Korea where the country assembles its mobile missile launchers.

But what’s perhaps more remarkable is that they did it without any of the classified tools of the intelligence trade: The factories were located by tying together information that was already freely available on the Internet.

This is the world of open-source intelligence.

Researchers at companies, governments and institutions are increasingly harnessing freely available information to find secrets that might have remained hidden in the past. It’s not so much that the information is new, although there is much more of it now. It’s that it’s now available to anyone with an Internet connection.

Online clues located North Korea’s missile-launcher factories | PCWorld