He said that in the event that the P5+1 group of world powers – US, Russia, China, France, Britain and Germany – sign an unsatisfactory deal with Iran that does not dismantle its nuclear program, the Islamic Republic could have 50-100 nuclear warheads by the year 2024. In addition to the nuclear bombs, Steinitz warned [...]
Although North Korea is unlikely to precipitate a nuclear arms race in Asia, China’s growing military capabilities and assertive diplomatic posture very well might. Indeed, just as history has demonstrated that states don’t need nuclear arsenals to deter rivals from attacking them with nuclear weapons, it has also demonstrated that nuclear weapons are extremely effective [...]
The clandestine production of nuclear weapons by rogue states promises to create what Yale Professor Paul Bracken terms an “exceedingly volatile poly-nuclear Middle East.”
What can history tell us?
On one side, in 1981 and 2007, Israel warplanes respectively struck an Iraqi and Syrian nuclear reactor.
Great Britain and the United [...]
The risk, says Illarionov, is that Iran, North Korea and other prospective nuclear countries will conclude that the only way to guarantee their own territorial integrity is by being nuclear powers. Implicit is the suggestion–which others have made– that if Ukraine had not given up its nuclear weapons, Russia would never have dared [...]
In addition to the US having seriously neglected the sustainment and improvement of its nuclear deterrent enterprise for over two decades, equally serious is that the U.S. seems to have lost sight of some of the alarmingly real nuclear dangers America still faces.
Since 1972, for example, the U.S. and the Soviet Union — and [...]
America’s policy of opposing the proliferation of nuclear weapons needs to be more nuanced. What works for the United States in the Middle East may not in Asia. We do not want Iran or Saudi Arabia to get the bomb, but why not Australia, Japan, and South Korea? We are opposed to nuclear weapons because [...]
The U.S government today released a precise accounting of its strategic nuclear forces, something it is required to do by treaty, and it’s worth a careful read.
The world now knows that, by February of 2018, the U.S. will have approximately 400 intercontinental ballistic missiles, down from 450; 240 submarine-launched ballistic missiles, down about 50; [...]
The U.S. intelligence community has determined that Iran, despite its agreement with the West, would continue to enhance its nuclear weapons capability.
Officials said the intelligence community has dismissed the prospect that Iran would slow down its nuclear weapons program.
The officials said the community, despite assurances by the White House, assessed that Teheran would [...]
“The global situation is extremely serious,” Lars Christensen from Danske Bank. “Russia is committing economic suicide, there is a massive corruption scandal in Turkey, and capital outflows from China threaten to have huge ramifications.”
“If the US dollar were to strengthen drastically at this point, we would go straight into a global recession.”
Indeed it [...]
The astronomical funding required to replicate our Cold War arsenal does not square with the security threats in today’s world. Nor will our conventional forces be able to withstand the cuts necessitated by the price burden of these nuclear delivery systems.
Procurement is racing ahead of policy. Do we need these new nukes? Can we [...]