Beijing and Washington are geopolitical rivals and Beijing has used the gains from trade and investment to strengthen its capabilities. It has been foolish to allow China to amass its dollar hoard through an inattentive trade policy. It would be even more irresponsible to allow Beijing to use its money any way it pleases to [...]
1913 Intel
International Conflict, Western World Threats and Geopolitical Intelligence
Inviting in the Trojan Horse?
Posted by Matt in June 10th, 2008 | no comment
Published in China, Trade, U.S., Ambitions, beijing, Capabilities, China, Gains From Trade, Hoard, Money, Odds, Rivals, Trojan Horse
Defense Focus: Makarov’s mission — Part 1
Posted by Matt in June 9th, 2008 | no comment
Published in general, Armed Forces, Chief Of Staff, Focus, Gloom And Doom, Important Factors, Military Power, Nikolai Makarov, Odds, Russia, Yury
Gen. Nikolai Makarov has replaced tough, old Gen. Yury Baluyevsky as the chief of staff of Russia’s armed forces and has been tasked with rapidly modernizing them — but the odds are against him.
Despite all the stories of gloom and doom about them that regularly appear in the Western media, the Russian armed forces [...]
How to Survive A Disaster
Posted by Matt in May 29th, 2008 | no comment
Published in general, Act, Air France, Air France Crash, Air France Crash In Toronto, Brains, Catastrophes, Cuban American, Decorum, Disaster, Disaster Victims, Earthquake, Extreme Duress, Flight Crew, Flight Safety, Heroic Acts, High Heeled Shoes, How To Survive A Disaster, Irrationality, Mass Deaths, Odds, Panic Attack, People, Personality, Ripley Ms, Safety Card, Stairwells, survival, Survival Skills, Takeoff, Tower 1, Water Heater
This is a fascinating article about survival in a disaster. Most people tend to freeze in a disaster, but the thing to do is act. I recommend reading this article.
From the article:
But survival is not just a product of luck. We can do far more than we think to improve our odds of preventing and [...]
100% Probability of U.S. Recession in 2008?
Posted by Matt in December 26th, 2007 | no comment
Published in Economy, U.S., 12 Months, 3 Month Libor, Chief Economist, David Rosenberg, Death And Taxes, Downturn, Fed Funds Rate, Good Job, Hmmm, Likelihood, Merrill Lynch, Odds, Probability, Recession, Recessions, Relevant Numbers, Shadow Of A Doubt, Shape, Sure Thing, Yield Curve
That would be consistent with a recently published report by Merrill Lynch Chief Economist David Rosenberg suggesting a 100% probability of a recession. Reading from his latest writing:
“We recently unveiled a new recession probability indicator that uses the shape of the yield curve (10-year note/3-month LIBOR) and corporate spreads (Baa) to predict the probability of [...]
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