1913 Intel

International Conflict, Western World Threats and Geopolitical Intelligence

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Iran and Washington’s Israeli option

Posted by Matt in July 3rd, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Iran, Israel, U.S., , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Will Israel attack Iran? I see the probability of an Israeli attack at less than 50% with the Olmert government.
Olmert knows he needs to stop Iran from producing nuclear weapons, but he just doesn’t have the will to pull off an attack on Iran.
The bottom line - we need to wait for a new Israeli [...]

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The Coming Nuclear War in 2012 - A Reader Responds

Posted by Matt in March 30th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Nuclear, Russia, War, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

I got an interesting e-mail from one of my readers. EG from Britain didn’t particularly like my article, “The Coming Nuclear war in 2012“. He really let me have it:
I’ve read your blog with interest for over a year - the articles, although spattered with alarmist, narrow sources (such as familysecuritymatters), are usually balanced.
But when [...]

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100% Probability of U.S. Recession in 2008?

Posted by Matt in December 26th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Economy, U.S., , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

That would be consistent with a recently published report by Merrill Lynch Chief Economist David Rosenberg suggesting a 100% probability of a recession. Reading from his latest writing:
“We recently unveiled a new recession probability indicator that uses the shape of the yield curve (10-year note/3-month LIBOR) and corporate spreads (Baa) to predict the probability of [...]

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War Plans: United States and Iran

Posted by Matt in October 30th, 2007 | no comment 
Published in Iran, U.S., War, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

This short answer is that it’s not going to happen. America is not going to war with Iran.
By George Friedman
A possible U.S. attack against Iran has been a hot topic in the news for many months now. In some quarters it has become an article of faith that the Bush administration intends to order such [...]

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