China’s Hidden Debt Risks 2012 Crisis, Northwestern’s Shih Says – BusinessWeek

Posted by Matt in March 2nd, 2010 | no comment

Published in China, Financial, Businessweek, China Crisis, Evanston Illinois, Factions, Financial Crisis, Government Debt, Government Entities, Gross Domestic Product, Hidden Debt, Interview March, Local Government, March 1, Northwestern University, Phone Interview, Political Economist, Professor Victor, Risk, Slowdown, World Economy, Worst Case

China’s hidden borrowing may push government debt to 96 percent of gross domestic product next year, increasing the risk of a financial crisis in the world’s third-biggest economy, Professor Victor Shih said.
“The worst case is a pretty large-scale financial crisis around 2012,” said Shih, a political economist at Northwestern University in Evanston, Illinois, who spent [...]

Chinese slowdown is biggest threat to prosperity, says WEF – Times Online

Posted by Matt in February 7th, 2010 | no comment

Published in China, Economy, Capital Markets, China, Faces, Future World, Global Commodity, Lead, Mankind, prosperity, S Trading, Sharp, Slowdown, Social Unrest, Trading Partners, Unemployment, World Economic Forum

A sharp slowdown in China is one of the biggest threats to future prosperity, the World Economic Forum said in its latest assessment of the risks that mankind faces.
A slowdown could lead to serious unemployment and social unrest in China and badly hit the country’s trading partners, as well as global commodity and capital markets,…
Chinese [...]

Risk Report Warns on Asset Price Collapse – DealBook Blog – NYTimes.com

Posted by Matt in January 17th, 2010 | no comment

Published in Geopolitical, Asset Price, Asset Prices, Blog, China, Collapse, Glance, Global Risks, Globalization, Globe, Nytimes, Path, Relapse, Retrenchment, Risk Report, Slowdown, Systemic Risk, World Economic Forum

Just a few weeks before Davos, the World Economic Forum has released its Global Risks Report 2009, in which it underlines not only an increasing systemic risk across the globe, but the potential for a collapse in asset prices, a slowdown in China and a retrenchment from globalization. The trick to avoiding a financial relapse, [...]

Crisis expert says China’s boom to end soon – MarketWatch

Posted by Matt in January 16th, 2010 | no comment

Published in China, Author Richard, Boom, China Economy, China Factory, Economist, Expert, Global Financial Crisis, Global Growth, Little Hope, Quarter Century, Rapid Growth, Richard Duncan, Slowdown, World Economy

After more than a quarter century of rapid growth, China’s factory-to-the-world economy could now be set for a major slowdown, even as it tries to spend its way to strength, according to an expert on the causes of the global financial crisis.
Noted economist and author Richard Duncan said that, faced with sluggish global growth and [...]

China’s Demographic Imbalances Widen – The Jamestown Foundation

Posted by Matt in November 4th, 2009 | no comment

Published in China, Demographics, Administrative Affairs, Age Population, Aging Population, China Population, Chinese Economy, Chinese Leadership, Civil Affairs, Economic Growth, Financial Crisis, Global Financial Crisis, Growth Mode, Jamestown, Jamestown Foundation, October 26, Political Instability, Population Growth, Senior Officials, Slowdown, Surplus Labor, Total Population, Xinhua News Agency

Even as the Chinese economy under the Hu-Wen administration is set to wean through the global financial crisis with a remarkable eight percent growth rate this year, senior officials from the Ministry of Civil Affairs under the jurisdiction of the State Council, which is responsible for social and administrative affairs, revealed that China’s aging population—people [...]

The Coming Crisis in China – MoneyShow.com

Posted by Matt in November 3rd, 2009 | no comment

Published in China, Favorites, 60th Anniversary, Anniversary Party, China Economy, China S Economy, Communist Party Rule, Dignitaries, Face, Leadership, Moneyshow, Overcapacity, Sharp, Slowdown, Train Wreck

China’s economy may face big problems as overcapacity and overheated bank lending result in a sharp slowdown.
As China’s leadership celebrates the 60th anniversary of Communist party rule, I wonder how many party dignitaries realize the potential economic train wreck coming at them.
The Coming Crisis in China – MoneyShow.com

Top China banker warns on asset bubbles

Posted by Matt in October 22nd, 2009 | no comment

Published in general, Bubbles, Chairman Of China, China Bank, China Merchants Bank, Economy China, Financial Times, Monetary Policy, Slowdown, Stimulus, Stock

China needs an “urgent” tightening of monetary policy to prevent the huge stimulus measures introduced this year from inflating stock and property bubbles, one of the country’s leading bankers has warned.
Qin Xiao – chairman of China Merchants Bank, the country’s sixth-biggest – says in Thursday’s Financial Times that the government should not be afraid of [...]

The Next Chinese Revolution

Posted by Matt in October 5th, 2009 | no comment

Published in China, 60th Anniversary, Chinese Revolution, Communist Party, Economic Growth, Economic Inequality, Far Eastern Economic Review, Job Losses, Military Parades, Political Upheaval, Republic Of China, Slowdown, Speeches, Troubled Economy, Verge

Posted October 1, 2009
Today marks the 60th anniversary of the People’s Republic of China. There will be massive military parades and many speeches by the leaders of the Communist Party. But no one will mention the very real possibility of political upheaval in the near future, or the economic inequality, job losses and slowdown in [...]

The economic crisis and the science of economics

Posted by Matt in June 4th, 2009 | no comment

Published in Economy, Financial, Capital Gains, Consumption, Dividends, Economic Crisis, Greenhouse Emissions, Incomes, Investment, Science Of Economics, Slowdown, Tax Cuts

By the end of 2010, many U.S. tax cuts (on incomes, capital gains, dividends, estates) will expire and will be partially reversed, and the likely introduction of cap-and-trade will represent an additional tax increase (however necessary to control greenhouse emissions). This incipient tax increase may lead to a slowdown of consumption and investment spending.
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