China and Japan appear to be on the verge of a shooting war over some tiny islands that are the subject of a territorial dispute.
Tension between these countries is escalating irrespective of the islands, and it is a matter of immense national concern for the United States and the rest of the world.
Now he comes into a context where the U.S. is already acting in a way that’s concerned about a Chinese challenge in the region. It’s the single biggest strategic effort that the Obama administration has engaged in, from a foreign policy perspective.
And you have to think that the Chinese are going to see all this as provocative. The real question is, to what extent is the Chinese government prepared to respond in an escalatory fashion? Is this Russia vs. Georgia? A little bit, right. Are you poking the bear?
And I don’t know the answer to that, but I suspect it’s not good.
A couple of quick points on that:Sponsored Ads
Do you remember the Russia-Georgia war? That was were Russia threatened the West with war – effectively nuclear war – if they interfered.
Military help for Georgia is a ‘declaration of war’, says Moscow in extraordinary
Moscow has issued an extraordinary warning to the West that military assistance to Georgia for use against South Ossetia or Abkhazia would be viewed as a “declaration of war” by Russia.
The extreme rhetoric from the Kremlin’s envoy to NATO came as President Dmitry Medvedev stressed he will make a military response to US missile defence installations in eastern Europe, sending new shudders across countries whose people were once blighted by the Iron Curtain.