Stratfor.Com – China Collapse, Global Labor Shortages, New American Dominance

Posted by Matt in January 22nd, 2010 | no comment

Published in Favorites, Forecasts, American Dominance, China, Chinese Game, Collapse Game, Economic Collapse, Global American, Global Intelligence, Intelligence Company, International Engagement, Labor Shortages, Next Decade, Stratfor

What will the next decade bring for the world?
STRATFOR has the answers. In a Decade Forecast released yesterday, the global intelligence company predicts Chinese economic collapse, game-changing global labor shortages, and continued American dominance because of a gradual retreat from international engagement. Welcome to 2010.
Read More at BusinessInsider.Com

Stratfor’s George Friedman Puts The Iranian Incursion in Context

Posted by Matt in December 21st, 2009 | no comment

Published in Iran, American Timeline, George Friedman, Important Point, Incursion, Iran Crisis, Iran Iraq War, Iranian Government, Iranian Missile Tests, Iranian Official, Iranian Territory, Iranian Troops, iranians, Iraqi Border, Nuclear Program, Postponement, Redline, Reparations, Sending A Message, Stratfor, Time And Place

According to George, the Iranian’s are telling us that it has options too. If we push too hard then the Iranians will start pushing back.
The Iranian missile tests are also hints about Iran’s ability to push back.
And so each waits, hoping the other side will back down. The events of the past week were designed [...]

Two Leaks and the Deepening Iran Crisis

Posted by Matt in October 5th, 2009 | no comment

Published in Iran, Russia, Atomic Energy Agency, Benjamin Netanyahu, George Friedman, International Atomic Energy, International Atomic Energy Agency, International Atomic Energy Agency Iaea, Iran Crisis, Israeli Prime Minister, Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, National Intelligence Estimate, National Security Adviser, Nuclear Device, Nuclear Weapons Program, Oversight Group, Prime Minister Benjamin, Prime Vector, Russian Scientists, Second Revelation, Stratfor, York Times Article

By George Friedman
Two major leaks occurred this weekend over the Iran matter.
In the first, The New York Times published an article reporting that staff at the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), the U.N. nuclear oversight group, had produced an unreleased report saying that Iran was much more advanced in its nuclear program than the IAEA [...]

The Russian Economy and Russian Power

Posted by Matt in July 27th, 2009 | no comment

Published in Russia, American Forces, American States, Analytic Framework, Banking Sector, Barack Obama, Countries Of The Former Soviet Union, Former Soviet Union, George Friedman, High Risk, Joe Biden, Population Base, President Joe, Russian Economy, Russian Power, Russian Talks, Sensitive Countries, Shrinking Population, Sphere Of Influence, Stratfor, Wall Street Journal

By George Friedman at Stratfor.Com
The Russian Resurgence
U.S. Vice President Joe Biden’s visit to Georgia and Ukraine partly answered questions over how U.S.-Russian talks went during U.S. President Barack Obama’s visit to Russia in early July. That Biden’s visit took place at all reaffirms the U.S. commitment to the principle that Russia does not have the [...]

How 1913 Intel is Different from Stratfor

Posted by Matt in May 11th, 2009 | 1 comment

Published in general, 1913 Intel, Ahead, Anger, Background, Black Swans, Focus, Global Financial Crisis, Good Job, Historical Context, Hundreds Of Thousands, Intel, Money, People, Remaining 20, Stock Market, Stratfor, Stuff, Swans

I ran into some trouble concerning Stratfor. It seems I stumbled onto a members only report. Brian at Stratfor got pretty mad at me for posting it. I took it down because my policy is to always remove material if there is a complaint from the owner.
Let’s discuss Stratfor a little more. They provide a [...]

Forecast 2009

Posted by Matt in April 6th, 2009 | no comment

Published in Geopolitical, Black Death, centrifuges, Chemical Warheads, Cities Of Israel, Commodity Production, Educational System, Fight To The Death, Forecast, Great Depression, Hamas, hezbollah, Iran Iran, Knock Down, Missiles, Never Again, Nuclear Warhead, Nuclear Warheads, Population One, Rapprochement, Russian Power, Stratfor, Subprime Mortgage Crisis

Stratfor gave itself an F for completely missing the subprime mortgage crisis. The biggest economic story since the great depression, and Stratfor completely missed it. Ouch!
I think Stratfor’s analysis of Russia is correct in that Russia is in a long-term decline. Short-term, however, anything goes. By short-term I mean the next 15 to 20 years.
Strafor’s [...]

Israel, Prepare for Retaliation

Posted by Matt in February 11th, 2009 | no comment

Published in Israel, American Blood, Fred Burton, General Secretary, hezbollah, Israeli Attack, Israelis, Jan 29, Military Commanders, Mourning Period, Mughniyah, News Conference, No Doubt, Observers, Outcry, Plausible Deniability, Retaliation, Retribution, Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah, Stratfor, Tel Aviv, Time And The Place

Retribution for Mughniyah: A Dish Served Cold?
By Fred Burton and Scott Stewart
Feb. 12 will mark the one-year anniversary of the assassination of Imad Mughniyah, one of Hezbollah’s top military commanders. The anniversary certainly will be met with rejoicing in Tel Aviv and Washington — in addition to all the Israelis he killed, Mughniyah also had [...]

The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century

Posted by Matt in January 15th, 2009 | 1 comment

Published in Amazon.Com, general, 100 Year Forecast, 100 Years, Amazon, American Army, Austro Hungarian, Continent, Eastern Hemisphere, George Friedman, Global Financial Markets, Great Britain, Interdependence, Left Communism, Less Than Five Years, Living In London, Nazi Germany, Ottoman Empires, Peace Treaty, Periphery, Prosperous Europe, Soviet Union, Stratfor, Unprecedented Prosperity, World Europe

Link to Amazon.Com
By George Friedman at Stratfor.Com
OVERTURE
An Introduction to the American Age
Imagine that you were alive in the summer of 1900, living in London, then the capital of the world. Europe ruled the Eastern Hemisphere. There was hardly a place that, if not ruled directly, was not indirectly controlled from a European capital. Europe was [...]

GHOST: Confessions of a Counterterrorism Agent, Chapter 2

Posted by Matt in June 4th, 2008 | no comment

Published in Middle East, Terrorism, Afterthought, Alice In Wonderland, Alice Wonderland, Beirut, Corporate Security, counterterrorism, Deputy Chief, Diplomatic Security Service, File Folder, File Folders, Fred Burton, Gleason, Hand Lettering, Kamikaze, Lebanon, Magic Marker, Miss Manners, Rabbit Hole, State Evidence, Stratfor, Subheadings, Suicide Bomber, Witness Statements

Editor’s Note: This week’s Terrorism Weekly is the second chapter of Fred Burton’s new book, GHOST: Confessions of a Counterterrorism Agent. Burton is vice president for counterterrorism and corporate security at Stratfor. He is the former deputy chief of the counterterrorism division of the U.S. State Department’s Diplomatic Security Service.
Chapter Two: Down the Rabbit Hole
“CT03.” [...]

Russia and Rotating the U.S. Focus

Posted by Matt in April 1st, 2008 | 1 comment

Published in Russia, U.S., American Options, Baltic States, Commodity Prices, Disintegration, Energy Sector, European Influence, Former Soviet Union, George Friedman, Global Power, Hegemon, Internal Affairs, Islamic World, Jihadist, Military Posture, Military Resources, Rollback, Soviet Republics, Sphere Of Influence, Strategic Point, Stratfor

By George Friedman
For the past year, Stratfor has been focusing on what we see as the critical global geopolitical picture. As the U.S.-jihadist war has developed, it has absorbed American military resources dramatically. It is overstated to say that the United States lacks the capacity to intervene anywhere else in the world, but it is [...]