It’s 4th-down and 2 yards to go for a touchdown. Should you go for it or kick? A kick is almost a sure thing, but what about going for it? If one does a little homework, then they will find that the odds of success are 43 percent if a team decides to go for [...]
1913 Intel
International Conflict, Western World Threats and Geopolitical Intelligence
Football: 4th-Down Strategies
Posted by Matt in September 15th, 2008 | no comment
Published in Off-Topic, general, 4th-down, Academic Research, Ardent Advocate, Cal Berkeley, Case Study, Choices, Circumstances, Decisions, Departures, Dynamic Programming, Field Goal, Field Position, Football, Football Coaches, Formula For Success, Frank Broyles, Harvard, Head Football Coach, Homework, Kevin Kelley, Labo, Labor Markets, Maverick, Narrow Decision, National Football League, Notion, Odds, Opponent, Payoffs, Professional Football, Pulaski Academy, Punt, School Coach, Strategies, Success, Sure Thing, Touchdown, Trumpeters, Waffle, Whole Lot, Winning The Game
100% Probability of U.S. Recession in 2008?
Posted by Matt in December 26th, 2007 | no comment
Published in Economy, U.S., 12 Months, 3 Month Libor, Chief Economist, David Rosenberg, Death And Taxes, Downturn, Fed Funds Rate, Good Job, Hmmm, Likelihood, Merrill Lynch, Odds, Probability, Recession, Recessions, Relevant Numbers, Shadow Of A Doubt, Shape, Sure Thing, Yield Curve
That would be consistent with a recently published report by Merrill Lynch Chief Economist David Rosenberg suggesting a 100% probability of a recession. Reading from his latest writing:
“We recently unveiled a new recession probability indicator that uses the shape of the yield curve (10-year note/3-month LIBOR) and corporate spreads (Baa) to predict the probability of [...]
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