1913 Intel

International Conflict, Western World Threats and Geopolitical Intelligence

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Who Needs Russia?

Posted by Matt in August 23rd, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Russia, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Does the United States really need Russia? According to many pundits, we need Russia more than it needs us. Russia could cause a lot of problems if we’re not careful.
I say bunk to that nonsense. It’s time to throw down the gauntlet. If Russia is going to terrorize its neighbors and exercise strategic unhelpfulness on [...]

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Russian Decline: Population and Health Woes, and Alcoholism

Posted by Matt in August 19th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Demographics, Russia, , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Still, Russia is a giant on feet of clay, demographically speaking. Russia is a country in such steep decline that it is estimated by demographers to decline to 99 million by 2050. Some even predict the figure as low as 77 million. By then the United States, whose population growth continues unparalleled among developed nations, [...]

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Eastern Europe gets jittery over Russia

Posted by Matt in August 18th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Europe, Russia, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

WARSAW — Signing a missile-defense deal with its good friend the United States has earned Poland nothing less than the threat of nuclear attack from Russia — a threat that might not sound so empty these days, given Moscow’s bloody battle with Georgia.
That conflict has plunged Europe into serious crisis, sending waves of jitters through [...]

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Georgia-Russia: Implications for Middle East

Posted by Matt in August 18th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Middle East, Russia, , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The Georgian crisis will have specific repercussions on the Middle East. There is less of a chance that the United States and Russia will be cooperating to stop Iran’s nuclear program. There is a greater chance that Russia will wage a more ambitious and aggressive policy, including selling advanced weapons systems to Iran and Syria. [...]

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Thirst for petroleum forges a new oil reality

Posted by Matt in July 27th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Oil, , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Drivers unlikely to see gas prices retreat to levels enjoyed for a generation
The two events, half a world apart, went largely unheralded.
Early this month, Valero Energy in Texas got the unwelcome news that Mexico would be cutting supplies to one of the company’s Gulf Coast refineries by up to 15 percent. Mexico’s state-owned oil enterprise [...]

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China’s Rise, From Mao to Now

Posted by Matt in July 27th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in China, , , , , , , , , , ,

China, the drumbeat goes, is poised to become the 800-pound gorilla of the international system, ready to dominate the 21st century the way the United States dominated the 20th.
Except that it’s not.
Too many constraints are built into the country’s social, economic and political systems. For four big reasons — dire demographics, an overrated economy, [...]

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Report: Iran now has 6,000 centrifuges for uranium

Posted by Matt in July 27th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Iran, Nuclear, , , , , , ,

Iran’s president said Saturday his country now possesses 6,000 centrifuges, a significant increase in its nuclear program that is certain to further rankle the United States and others who fear Tehran is intent on developing weapons.
The new figure is double the 3,000 uranium-enriching machines Iran had previously said it was operating.
Read More…

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Report: Surviving EMP to depend on preparation

Posted by Matt in July 27th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in U.S., , , , , , , , ,

‘Many people may die for lack of basic elements necessary’
A report from the federal Commission to Assess the Threat to the United States from Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) Attack has painted a bleak picture for America under such attack: Electricity grids down, uncontrolled fires from exploding gas transport systems, no communication to summon firefighters and if [...]

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Analysis: US now winning Iraq war that seemed lost

Posted by Matt in July 26th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Middle East, War, , , , , , , , ,

The United States is now winning the war that two years ago seemed lost. Limited, sometimes sharp fighting and periodic terrorist bombings in Iraq are likely to continue, possibly for years. But the Iraqi government and the U.S. now are able to shift focus from mainly combat to mainly building the fragile beginnings of peace [...]

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Analysis: Threatening Taiwan — Part 2

Posted by Matt in July 25th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in China, Taiwan, , , , , , , , , , ,

In the area of advanced multirole fighters alone, the People’s Republic of China imported 100 Su-30MKK/MK2s over the past eight years, whereas Taiwan did not purchase any new combat aircraft. Nor did it procure any surface warships or submarines, except for one retired Keelung Class DDG from the United States. Taiwan virtually wasted the [...]

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The Decline That Never Happens

Posted by Matt in July 23rd, 2008 | no comment 
Published in U.S., , , , , , , , ,

Many declinists begin to measure the start of America’s fall from eminence from 1945, when it is typically assumed that U.S. power was unequalled in the world and could only diminish.
The reports of my death have been greatly exaggerated,” once wrote Mark Twain. “Greatly exaggerated” also described the repeated, periodic predictions of American decline. Indeed, [...]

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Review: The World Without US

Posted by Matt in July 23rd, 2008 | no comment 
Published in U.S., general, , , , , , , , , ,

If the United States really did that—pulled out our troops from around the world and just kept to ourselves—what would the world look like?
“The World Without US” is a 2008 documentary film by Mitch Anderson and Jason J. Tomaric, and through interviews with public figures around the world and some dramatic “what if” clips, it [...]

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Saudi-Russian Military Cooperation

Posted by Matt in July 18th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Middle East, Russia, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

While no text of the agreement was published, the news apparently represents a major potential realignment of the Middle East’s geopolitical realities, made all the more extraordinary by the fact that, beginning 29 years ago and continuing through the entire Soviet occupation of Afghanistan, Saudi Arabia matched, dollar for dollar, the United States’ covert assistance [...]

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Battling Cold War Cliches

Posted by Matt in July 14th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in New Cold War, Russia, West, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

In recent years, Moscow started to think that it could most easily express its dissatisfaction with Western politics by resorting to old Cold war cliches. The Kremlin does not like that Ukraine and Georgia want to join NATO, therefore it claimed that Western military bases will inevitably be built in those countries and that they [...]

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More Iran Missiles Launched, Israel Shows Off New Spy Plane

Posted by Matt in July 10th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Iran, Israel, , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Iran claimed to have launched a fresh battery of missiles in war games near the strategic Strait of Hormuz in a muscle-flexing exhibition meant to demonstrate its willingness and ability to defend itself against an invasion by Israel or the United States.
And Israel put its latest spy plane on display, which it claims can track [...]

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US ‘faces great challenge’ as global power shifts

Posted by Matt in July 10th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in U.S., , , , , , , , , , , ,

Wealth and innovation are bubbling up in the most unexpected places. The tallest buildings, the biggest dams, the highest grossing movies, some of the most advanced technologies: they’re all being created outside of the United States. It’s called “the rise of the rest”, and as global power shifts, Washington will face its greatest challenge: it’ll [...]

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Analysis: US and Iran appear on collision course

Posted by Matt in July 9th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Iran, U.S., , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The United States and Iran appear on a collision course in the Middle East, firing off mixed messages that are raising world tension and roiling oil markets amid fears that an eventual confrontation may be military.
Both insist war is not imminent, but their sharp words and provocative actions are stoking uncertainty as Washington and Tehran [...]

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Iran threatens to set Israel ablaze as fears grow of US-backed war

Posted by Matt in July 8th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Iran, Israel, U.S., , , , , , , , , , , ,

IRAN has issued a strident warning that it would “set on fire” Israel and target the US navy in the Persian Gulf as its first response to any American attack over its nuclear programme.
Rising tension in the area where Iran and the United States are both carrying out military exercises have contributed to driving oil [...]

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U.S. Military Base Mash-Up

Posted by Matt in July 7th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Military, U.S., , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Wanna see a map of every military base in the United States? Check out the map at SeeAndAvoid.org.
We don’t want to make it too hard to target Russian and Chinese ICBMs against our military.
From the article:
In an era of increasingly accessible information about America’s defenses, the Federal Aircraft Administration (FAA) has launched a website overlaying [...]

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Iran and Washington’s Israeli option

Posted by Matt in July 3rd, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Iran, Israel, U.S., , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Will Israel attack Iran? I see the probability of an Israeli attack at less than 50% with the Olmert government.
Olmert knows he needs to stop Iran from producing nuclear weapons, but he just doesn’t have the will to pull off an attack on Iran.
The bottom line - we need to wait for a new Israeli [...]

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Russia Calls for New World Order

Posted by Matt in June 29th, 2008 | no comment 
Published in Russia, , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

A “new world order” cannot be based on “an Anglo-Saxon pattern that some have tried to establish for the rest of the world,” Lavrov said. It would involve doing away with “the Cold war architecture for the security of Europe.”
He proposed a European Security Conference to bring together the United States, Russia, the European Union [...]

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