Given the state of the world today, how is it even possible to think about a Russian nuclear attack on the US? Why would Russia want to attack the US?
What I want to show is that the Russian leadership (Putin) is quite capable of launching a nuclear attack against America and absorbing the resulting counter-attack. We need to get into the mind of Putin and find out what he is like. If he is capable of such an attack, then why, and when, would he do it?
Very briefly, Putin hates America. In effect he has told us this many times. Next we will learn that Putin thinks Stalin wasn’t all that bad. Now that should make you take notice.
How likely is Russia to initiate a nuclear war? Did you know it almost did in the last Russia-Georgia war? If the West had supported Georgia militarily, then Russia was ready to launch a nuclear attack. So you get a sense that the Russian leadership has already crossed the line mentally. It is already prepared to start a nuclear war and absorb the resulting losses in order to achieve its goals. Let’s just say the resulting losses in Russia are a necessary evil to eliminate the United States.
Russia’s military is falling apart fast, so it has to rely heavily on its nuclear forces. The problem is that much of its nuclear forces are starting to age and must be decommissioned in the not too distant future. This presents Russia with a problem: How much longer can it fend off the United States? Over the next 10 to 20 years will Russia become vulnerable to an American first strike?
Russia itself is starting to fall apart. The conditions that existed before the fall of the Soviet Union exist today. There is a danger of another Russian collapse. With Russia on its back, Putin may feel that a nuclear strike on America at this time would produce optimal results. If Russia waits then the outcome could be much worse as its condition deteriorates.
The concept of a Russian nuclear attack on America should not shock you. But what would trigger it? I explained how the Russia-Georgia war almost triggered it. So a direct conflict between Russia and an American backed ally could trigger it. Another option is a conflict between an ally of Russia and an ally of America. For example, a nuclear war between Israel and Syria. This is actually the best case scenario for Russia, because it would leave the Americans completely off-guard.
– “War and Oil”
